# PeoplesOdds — Active Markets

> Free-to-play prediction platform. The free alternative to Polymarket.
> Browse and vote on real-world outcomes at https://www.peoplesodds.com

Generated: 2026-05-24T19:27:52.334Z
Total active markets: 200

## Sports (90 markets)

### Will Erling Haaland win the 2025-26 Premier League Golden Boot, settled on Sunday 24 May 2026?
The road to the Champions League final.
- YES: 43.35% | NO: 56.65%
- Total votes: 8675
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9e4e0708-c276-457b-8dc3-6e54b07a045b

### Will Pep Guardiola still be Manchester City manager on Monday 1 June 2026?
A new era of F1 regulations shakes up the grid.
- YES: 50.89% | NO: 49.11%
- Total votes: 9572
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e8db7a9a-7d47-4162-ba1e-e5a3451c6b0e

### NBA Finals 2026 MVP
The MVP race for the biggest stage in basketball.
- YES: 50.63% | NO: 49.37%
- Total votes: 6978
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fd628c47-63f8-4fc9-ac39-b7ffd1682202

### Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks
Predict the winner of Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks in the NBA.
- YES: 53.11% | NO: 46.89%
- Total votes: 949
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/89219103-9cf8-4981-a7c1-12fff0b7194e

### Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov
Predict the winner of Arthur Rinderknech vs Jurij Rodionov in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 36.86% | NO: 63.14%
- Total votes: 841
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/378e66bb-606f-4d83-a92f-9af4886db8a0

### Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkova
Predict the winner of Julia Grabher vs Rebecca Sramkova in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 37% | NO: 63%
- Total votes: 827
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c8ff2916-365d-4916-99cc-ad56614dbc5f

### Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino
Predict the winner of Flavio Cobolli vs Andrea Pellegrino in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 49.32% | NO: 50.68%
- Total votes: 1174
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/34c2292e-218d-4116-9644-8b029936ee0a

### Guo Hanyu vs McCartney Kessler
Predict the winner of Guo Hanyu vs McCartney Kessler in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 42.56% | NO: 57.44%
- Total votes: 1203
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4aa87131-9aaf-4ee6-b148-1e1197c706ea

### Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
Predict the winner of Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs in the NBA.
- YES: 51.52% | NO: 48.48%
- Total votes: 924
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d8b790a8-9a67-4c66-ac68-90322f2f2954

### San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Predict the winner of San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA.
- YES: 56.15% | NO: 43.85%
- Total votes: 1544
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c11443b9-1336-4a53-b6ca-3ede1d5316fd

### Catherine McNally vs Belinda Bencic
Predict the winner of Catherine McNally vs Belinda Bencic in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 44.47% | NO: 55.53%
- Total votes: 443
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c44ab195-ccb1-4015-b790-f431362daac0

### Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsa
Predict the winner of Susan Bandecchi vs Cristina Bucsa in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 64.79% | NO: 35.209999999999994%
- Total votes: 1119
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/190ab663-8bb6-4e7a-be2c-afc23b7a6968

### Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti
Predict the winner of Karen Khachanov vs Marco Trungelliti in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 52.34% | NO: 47.66%
- Total votes: 256
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/6dda2959-6b28-4fa5-bad0-56bef15d3ccc

### Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets
Predict the winner of Marta Kostyuk vs Katie Volynets in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 47.33% | NO: 52.67%
- Total votes: 919
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/455c9252-cc05-49e4-ab08-62bd04d3565b

### Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Predict the winner of Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 59.45% | NO: 40.55%
- Total votes: 217
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f430cad3-6c1b-4f8a-8bd4-53ea2c8f2ff7

### Nigeria vs Zimbabwe
Who will win: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe?
- YES: 36.46% | NO: 63.54%
- Total votes: 1152
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/50c3b1a2-f598-428a-a93d-6e6061848ad2

### Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev
Predict the winner of Tomas Machac vs Alexander Zverev in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 61.04% | NO: 38.96%
- Total votes: 308
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/0d54ba42-3b16-4e85-a4c3-9fcc5d29bced

### Bosnia-Herzegovina vs North Macedonia
Predict the result of Bosnia-Herzegovina vs North Macedonia in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 39.81% | NO: 60.19%
- Total votes: 834
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/08a71a84-7d64-4a06-ac81-377bef2c1111

### Andorra vs Iraq
Predict the result of Andorra vs Iraq in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 34.32% | NO: 65.68%
- Total votes: 1113
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/77baca24-531c-43d0-a352-c1197c7929d5

### Iran vs Gambia
Predict the result of Iran vs Gambia in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 31.8% | NO: 68.2%
- Total votes: 610
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/173b6cf4-fede-4036-b330-e5d0033fcadf

### South Africa vs Nicaragua
Predict the result of South Africa vs Nicaragua in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 34.9% | NO: 65.1%
- Total votes: 894
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9e96ee7c-96bb-4dc4-86cd-4db5419038c1

### Will Phil Foden start England's first World Cup 2026 match?
This question resolves YES if Phil Foden is named in England's starting lineup for their first FIFA World Cup 2026 group stage match. Resolves NO if he is on the bench or not in the squad. Source: official FIFA team sheet.
- YES: 57.39% | NO: 42.61%
- Total votes: 12056
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a17f6973-c553-4620-9e73-6843a54f8a7d

### Jamaica vs India
Predict the result of Jamaica vs India in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 31.7% | NO: 68.3%
- Total votes: 937
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/01a59a1c-dd5c-4357-bb3d-ed1d2d5c03bb

### Will Chelsea face a points deduction before the 2026/27 season starts?
This question resolves YES if the Premier League officially deducts points from Chelsea for the 2026/27 season on or before 8 August 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Premier League statement.
- YES: 43.48% | NO: 56.52%
- Total votes: 9904
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8ebc4ee5-86ca-4c49-b2d0-77e802450bd6

### Will Thomas Tuchel be sacked as England manager before the World Cup kicks off on 12th June 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Football Association (FA) officially announces Thomas Tuchel's departure as England manager on or before 11 June 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if he remains in the role when the World Cup begins. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 55.97% | NO: 44.03%
- Total votes: 11153
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c10c931a-99c7-42ac-92d7-02ce035fc75f

### Hailey Baptiste vs Wang Xiyu
Predict the winner of Hailey Baptiste vs Wang Xiyu in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 57.48% | NO: 42.52%
- Total votes: 842
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8736f709-6d83-4a07-a333-9c566beeb743

### Tamara Korpatsch vs Wang Xinyu
Predict the winner of Tamara Korpatsch vs Wang Xinyu in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 43.32% | NO: 56.68%
- Total votes: 861
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/27b029a4-1ba1-480d-9f58-2c09f6b5dccb

### Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic
Predict the winner of Nuno Borges vs Miomir Kecmanovic in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 59.9% | NO: 40.1%
- Total votes: 192
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b29d9471-13e0-4899-a4ce-c2d105f631da

### Where will Adam Wharton play in the 2026/27 season?
Resolves to the club Adam Wharton is registered with for the 2026/27 Premier League season as of 1 September 2026. Source: official Premier League squad lists.
- YES: 56.73% | NO: 43.27%
- Total votes: 12247
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/877812a0-cb2a-4c2e-b15d-baa651648e97

### Will a major nation have a squad boycott before the World Cup?
Official announcement or credible media report confirming a boycott by a national team ranked in FIFA's top 20 before the World Cup kicks off on 11 June 2026.
- YES: 58.4% | NO: 41.6%
- Total votes: 8303
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/6af1924d-13c3-445e-b429-0c411e949333

### How many England players will pull out injured before the World Cup?
Official England squad announcement for the World Cup, with any player withdrawals due to injury counted from today until 11 June 2026.
- YES: 38.48% | NO: 61.52%
- Total votes: 17145
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fce1f871-5f4b-44cb-9e6c-7a998c7c2686

### Will a Frenchman reach the quarterfinals? 🇫🇷
Resolves YES if any French player (men's or women's singles) reaches the quarter-finals at Roland Garros 2026 per official FFT draw.
- YES: 33.01% | NO: 66.99000000000001%
- Total votes: 2351
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/06252bea-de36-4da3-b7a7-f83567fde680

### Morocco vs Burundi
Who will win: Morocco vs Burundi?
- YES: 37.36% | NO: 62.64%
- Total votes: 1250
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b63e2283-ef42-4e67-be99-91dfa5b64811

### Will Djokovic win Slam #25 before Father Time catches him? 👑
Resolves YES if Novak Djokovic is the official ATP-recognised men's singles champion of Roland Garros 2026.
- YES: 20.92% | NO: 79.08%
- Total votes: 2667
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ce4b2f4e-fbe4-4816-a5ea-dbbc0f151e8c

### Will Loïs Boisson repeat her Cinderella run to the semis? ✨
Resolves YES if Loïs Boisson reaches the women's singles semi-final (wins her quarter-final) at Roland Garros 2026.
- YES: 19.38% | NO: 80.62%
- Total votes: 2755
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e7e17d5f-41fe-4876-b8f6-dc8b98923a1c

### Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova
Predict the winner of Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 60.17% | NO: 39.83%
- Total votes: 801
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5a5c0a71-fd6a-4cb9-be0f-474dfe194e48

### Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic
Predict the winner of Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmic in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 53.2% | NO: 46.8%
- Total votes: 797
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4b771678-195a-488d-b18a-171dc9911459

### PSG vs Arsenal
Predict the result of PSG vs Arsenal in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 39.91% | NO: 60.09%
- Total votes: 882
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e0f40279-a581-462b-9647-eb48258dd29d

### Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearns
Predict the winner of Daria Snigur vs Peyton Stearns in the Roland Garros.
- YES: 41.16% | NO: 58.84%
- Total votes: 311
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5e1d13dd-91f9-464a-a503-472c2276d9f7

### South Korea vs Trinidad and Tobago
Predict the result of South Korea vs Trinidad and Tobago in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 34.62% | NO: 65.38%
- Total votes: 962
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/203f0ee5-d169-4a2c-b783-36f656d38190

### Mexico vs Australia
Predict the result of Mexico vs Australia in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 34.13% | NO: 65.87%
- Total votes: 841
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/400ada8b-77ca-49d5-8992-6c1a235b48b6

### Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia
Predict the result of Ecuador vs Saudi Arabia in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 34.77% | NO: 65.22999999999999%
- Total votes: 532
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/86c068c7-cff7-4ae4-a67a-95bd0aa5ef68

### Scotland vs Curacao
Predict the result of Scotland vs Curacao in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 42.42% | NO: 57.58%
- Total votes: 356
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5ea18530-9bd5-432a-a7de-24d6f7a21220

### San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Predict the winner of San Antonio Spurs vs Oklahoma City Thunder in the NBA.
- YES: 50.17% | NO: 49.83%
- Total votes: 3147
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/7537f85d-18b4-4d98-a608-61f900ed8fbd

### Canadian Grand Prix winner
Predict the winner for the Canadian Grand Prix at Montreal.
- YES: 23.25% | NO: 76.75%
- Total votes: 3320
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/024c2804-6551-4d71-a33d-cba32fe0deee

### Will England win a single knockout game at the World Cup this year?
The England men's senior football team wins a match in the knockout stage (Round of 16 or beyond) of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- YES: 55.28% | NO: 44.72%
- Total votes: 7857
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b005de0d-a3b5-483b-b8f4-b852a75b03d3

### Will Conor McGregor fight in 2026?
Conor McGregor, a former UFC champion, has not fought since July 2021 due to injury and other ventures, fueling speculation about his retirement. His potential return is a major topic in combat sports, with fans and analysts debating his future impact on UFC events and pay-per-view sales. Recent discussions have centered on his training updates and UFC's efforts to book high-profile fights, making 2026 a key year for his career trajectory.
- YES: 75.7% | NO: 24.299999999999997%
- Total votes: 17635
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1cd931d1-e738-4079-b375-48ff2de3ec04

### Will Junior Kroupi sign for Manchester United before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Manchester United officially announce the signing of Junior Kroupi from AFC Bournemouth on or before 1 September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official club announcements.
- YES: 57.15% | NO: 42.85%
- Total votes: 8268
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/3fda5cb1-01fb-44a9-b4eb-8a94ae6bada5

### Who will win the 2026 NBA Championship?
Resolves to the team that wins the 2026 NBA Finals. If none of the listed teams win, resolves to 'Other'. Source: official NBA championship records.
- YES: 50.7% | NO: 49.3%
- Total votes: 12280
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/63cdb1d4-9d20-4b52-9fa7-aca4da67c049

### Will the LEGO Messi mini-figure outsell the Ronaldo one before the World Cup final?
This question resolves YES if, according to LEGO's official sales data or a major retail analyst report (e.g., NPD Group), the Lionel Messi World Cup mini-figure records higher unit sales than the Cristiano Ronaldo mini-figure in the period from launch until 19 July 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO if Ronaldo's outsells Messi's. Source: LEGO or reputable retail analyst report.
- YES: 49.15% | NO: 50.85%
- Total votes: 7042
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/054aaed2-d825-423e-a3cc-dbd6cdb632fd

### Will England appoint a foreign manager before Euro 2028?
This question resolves YES if the Football Association officially appoints a non-English citizen as head coach of the England men's national team on or before the start of UEFA Euro 2028 (14 June 2028). Resolves NO if the manager is English. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 55.86% | NO: 44.14%
- Total votes: 18631
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/865534e5-1a07-452b-aa0a-baf2e4cf9920

### Will England reach the semi-finals of the 2026 World Cup?
This question resolves YES if England are confirmed as semi-final participants at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Resolves NO if England are eliminated before the semi-finals. Source: official FIFA match records.
- YES: 52.84% | NO: 47.16%
- Total votes: 9722
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/675e2e3d-2863-48d1-8b86-e1e1a806320b

### Will the next permanent England manager be English?
This question resolves YES if the next permanent head coach of the England men's national football team appointed by the FA holds English citizenship. Resolves NO if they hold any other citizenship. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 55.61% | NO: 44.39%
- Total votes: 10564
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5b743b41-dfed-4d02-b47f-8f06b8f4addc

### Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks
Predict the winner of Cleveland Cavaliers vs New York Knicks in the NBA.
- YES: 35.53% | NO: 64.47%
- Total votes: 2077
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d35ac0c6-2384-4eeb-80d4-18cca712de2c

### Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
This question resolves YES if the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals. Resolves NO if they are eliminated at any stage or do not win the championship. Source: official NBA results.
- YES: 56.43% | NO: 43.57%
- Total votes: 5563
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c7a17d2d-a15a-4ee3-be86-8c9c2cb9663e

### Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
This question resolves YES if Erling Haaland wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or award. Resolves NO if any other player wins. Source: official Ballon d'Or announcement.
- YES: 48.68% | NO: 51.32%
- Total votes: 8123
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a82361e1-d129-4e24-a806-7ca21572dc63

### Will Swiatek lose before the quarterfinals? 🤔
Resolves YES if Iga Świątek is eliminated (loses any match) before the women's singles quarter-finals at Roland Garros 2026.
- YES: 30.34% | NO: 69.66%
- Total votes: 2670
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9dc2f345-58a8-4db6-a906-c5ae51f32a13

### Will Arsenal win the Premier League this season?
Will Arsenal win the Premier League this season?
- YES: 76.6% | NO: 23.400000000000006%
- Total votes: 11220
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8724d9b5-c7e0-4475-9b6d-97c23fe7ebda

### Will an English club win the Champions League?
Will an English club win the Champions League?
- YES: 30.58% | NO: 69.42%
- Total votes: 11133
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4dc2c462-73ad-467f-a213-40b7db4401b7

### Will Zverev win his FIRST Slam, or stay the eternal bridesmaid? 😤
Resolves YES if Alexander Zverev is the official ATP-recognised men's singles champion of Roland Garros 2026.
- YES: 19.15% | NO: 80.85%
- Total votes: 2741
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ace3e82c-216c-43e1-9c67-a7969358353f

### Who is the greatest of all time — Messi or Ronaldo? Lock in your verdict.
This is a crowd confidence question. It resolves based on the crowd's majority vote at the close of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 19 July 2026. The option with the highest crowd confidence percentage at resolution time is declared the winner. Source: PeoplesOdds crowd data.
- YES: 43.07% | NO: 56.93%
- Total votes: 8326
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d23af85b-ae42-4d46-9ab6-ae605354a29b

### Will Coco Gauff defend her title, or crash out early? 👸
Resolves YES if Coco Gauff is the official WTA-recognised women's singles champion of Roland Garros 2026 (Saturday June 6 final).
- YES: 22.25% | NO: 77.75%
- Total votes: 2791
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/0dafc5c7-fc98-4424-843e-329d7af62c93

### Will World Cup ticket prices rise again before the tournament?
Official FIFA announcement or confirmed price list showing an increase in ticket prices from the initial 2026 World Cup pricing before the tournament kicks off on June 11, 2026.
- YES: 61.05% | NO: 38.95%
- Total votes: 4958
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d92531ee-113e-4a6e-8a3e-ecc86399a70f

### Will Salah sign a new Liverpool contract?
Mohamed Salah's current contract expires in June 2025, and negotiations have been ongoing amid speculation about his future. With Liverpool aiming to maintain competitiveness under new manager Arne Slot, securing Salah's extension is crucial for their attacking strength and financial planning.
- YES: 74.85% | NO: 25.150000000000006%
- Total votes: 8981
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/40c4223c-62cd-4120-b641-c40ebd9997cf

### 2026 World Cup Winner
The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be the first to feature 48 teams, co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Recent trends show emerging teams challenging traditional powerhouses.
- YES: 70.01% | NO: 29.989999999999995%
- Total votes: 13440
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/636d9d72-bbd6-40be-b02d-8ed0e5c07788

### Will Sinner FINALLY win his first Roland-Garros, or choke again? 🏆
Resolves YES if Jannik Sinner is the official ATP-recognised men's singles champion of Roland Garros 2026 (Sunday June 7 final).
- YES: 73.91% | NO: 26.090000000000003%
- Total votes: 2342
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/369fecb5-16a2-4981-9f10-59481c8f2e41

### Will Brazil announce their World Cup squad before the FA Cup Final?
Official announcement from the Brazilian Football Confederation (CBF) or manager naming the preliminary or final squad for the 2026 World Cup.
- YES: 42.95% | NO: 57.05%
- Total votes: 8429
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/cc6c20d8-000e-4c9f-95c1-9dc960b4662e

### Will the 2026 Monaco Grand Prix winner complete the race with just one pit stop?
F1 has scrapped the mandatory two-stop rule for the 2026 Monaco GP, opening the door for potential single-stop strategies at the iconic street circuit.
- YES: 75.45% | NO: 24.549999999999997%
- Total votes: 5662
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c7f7a373-338a-4d50-8e63-898a5f9870bb

### Will we see a NEW women's champion crowned in Paris? 👑
Resolves to the official WTA-recognised women's singles champion of Roland Garros 2026. "Other" resolves if the winner is not Świątek, Sabalenka, or Gauff.
- YES: 33.46% | NO: 66.53999999999999%
- Total votes: 2433
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/607d1743-9388-4c7c-bf27-37a3fd64ab2e

### Will Monfils reach Week 2 in his LAST ever Roland-Garros? 💔
Resolves YES if Gaël Monfils wins a Round 3 match (reaches Round 4 / the second week) at Roland Garros 2026 per official ATP draw.
- YES: 19.22% | NO: 80.78%
- Total votes: 2778
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/bf6a5846-a367-4891-b3ca-113e2cdf3f84

### Will US host security concerns cause a team withdrawal by year end?
Official statement from any qualified national team or football association confirming withdrawal from the 2026 World Cup due to US security concerns.
- YES: 50.62% | NO: 49.38%
- Total votes: 4836
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b125be44-04ef-4efb-9c0b-3d52a6543cb4

### Will another country back Iran's call by year end?
Any other FIFA member nation publicly endorses or supports Iran's call for USA removal by 23:59 GMT on 2026-12-31.
- YES: 59.91% | NO: 40.09%
- Total votes: 5578
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5062a6fe-6d01-4318-879a-7f45c1c55807

### Will 'The Wall' at Intuit Dome cause 5+ opponent turnovers in the Clippers' first 10 home games?
This question resolves YES if LA Clippers opponents commit 5 or more turnovers directly attributable to 'The Wall' fan section during the first 10 regular season home games at Intuit Dome in the 2026-27 NBA season. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official NBA play-by-play data and team attribution.
- YES: 51.25% | NO: 48.75%
- Total votes: 10089
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/883072bc-7e85-449f-9263-a301bc0859e1

### Will Pellegrino Matarazzo win a trophy in a top European league before 1st July 2027?
This question resolves YES if Pellegrino Matarazzo wins any domestic cup (e.g., Copa del Rey, DFB-Pokal) or league title in La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, or Premier League on or before 1 July 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official league/federation announcements.
- YES: 50.62% | NO: 49.38%
- Total votes: 5334
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ef5b64a1-8dc0-448c-88fa-3c34a7e65d63

### Max Verstappen fastest in Monaco GP qualifying?
This question resolves YES if Max Verstappen sets the fastest time in Monaco Grand Prix qualifying on 6 June 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official FIA qualifying results.
- YES: 58.01% | NO: 41.99%
- Total votes: 8300
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4b35cd4d-80c0-4a24-9312-b6a85d149b05

### Will Bronny James play 20+ minutes in an NBA playoff game before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if Bronny James logs 20 or more minutes in a single NBA playoff game on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 ET. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official NBA box scores.
- YES: 56.45% | NO: 43.55%
- Total votes: 10283
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a664c13f-2df7-4593-85bd-d0e1bc5e56f3

### Will flag football be an Olympic sport by the 2032 Brisbane Games?
This question resolves YES if flag football is included as an official medal sport in the 2032 Brisbane Olympic Games programme. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official IOC announcement.
- YES: 65.63% | NO: 34.370000000000005%
- Total votes: 2802
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d62efb78-23aa-44ff-968f-529e16c73e62

### Will a 5-star recruit commit to a non-Power 4 school before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if any player rated as a 5-star recruit by 247Sports, Rivals, or ESPN commits to a school outside the Power 4 conferences (ACC, Big Ten, Big 12, SEC) on or before 1 June 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official recruiting service announcements.
- YES: 61.24% | NO: 38.76%
- Total votes: 6004
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ec20d1ff-badd-4086-b059-5cf8e8f86035

### Will Real Madrid reach the UCL Final?
Real Madrid is the most successful club in Champions League history with 14 titles, and they are currently in the knockout stages of the 2023-24 season. Their performance this year is closely watched as they aim to add another trophy under coach Carlo Ancelotti, with key players like Jude Bellingham making an impact. Reaching the final would extend their legacy and set up a high-stakes match in European football.
- YES: 66.79% | NO: 33.209999999999994%
- Total votes: 8552
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/30e47d91-c577-481b-acd4-00f830763a70

### Will Haaland break the PL scoring record this season?
Erling Haaland scored 36 goals in his debut Premier League season, just one short of the record held by Andy Cole and Alan Shearer. With Manchester City's strong attacking lineup and Haaland's consistent form, this season's race could redefine scoring benchmarks. The record has stood for decades, making this a historic chase in modern football.
- YES: 56.55% | NO: 43.45%
- Total votes: 12510
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e140742d-ca43-45b0-b89d-41af0de9aa5a

### Kaoru Mitoma fit for World Cup 2026 opener?
This question resolves YES if Kaoru Mitoma is named in Japan's starting XI or substitutes for their first World Cup 2026 match. Resolves NO if he is not in the matchday squad. Source: official FIFA team sheets.
- YES: 58.25% | NO: 41.75%
- Total votes: 9647
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1ab7a6f5-038f-4698-be33-9e0b5ee5a6c2

### Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs
Predict the winner of Oklahoma City Thunder vs San Antonio Spurs in the NBA.
- YES: 66.65% | NO: 33.349999999999994%
- Total votes: 1586
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/096417ef-6923-414a-9685-cfd6c513da09

### Nigeria vs Zimbabwe
Predict the result of Nigeria vs Zimbabwe in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 33.6% | NO: 66.4%
- Total votes: 1750
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fac2fee5-62fa-4807-bf0a-3c414b549426

### Morocco vs Burundi
Predict the result of Morocco vs Burundi in the International Friendlies.
- YES: 32.26% | NO: 67.74000000000001%
- Total votes: 1934
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/538bc06f-cf80-4f42-ae5f-50ec7cf45fbc

### Will US host security measures cause a major fan incident by year end?
Credible news report (e.g., Reuters, AP) confirming a security-related incident at a US World Cup venue—such as a stampede, major breach, or violent protest—resulting in significant injury, arrest, or disruption.
- YES: 44.92% | NO: 55.08%
- Total votes: 5663
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d5babb9a-6bee-4eb8-a7ee-5b938f093d66

### Will the average fan spend over £5,000 on a World Cup trip?
Official survey or report from a credible source (e.g., UK travel agency, FIFA, or major news outlet) stating that the average cost for a UK fan to attend the 2026 World Cup exceeds £5,000, including tickets, travel, and accommodation.
- YES: 42.7% | NO: 57.3%
- Total votes: 5876
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/7035d83e-f5fd-458e-aa31-ac80317af3cb

### Will Roberto De Zerbi still be Tottenham manager on 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Roberto De Zerbi is still the head coach of Tottenham Hotspur on 1 September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if he has been sacked or resigned. Source: official Tottenham club announcement.
- YES: 61.84% | NO: 38.16%
- Total votes: 9120
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9196863d-f213-4d5a-afe0-08fd90d82900

### Will Roberto De Zerbi be sacked as Marseille manager before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if Olympique de Marseille officially announce Roberto De Zerbi's departure as head coach on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 CEST. Resolves NO if he remains in the role. Source: official Marseille club announcement.
- YES: 56.83% | NO: 43.17%
- Total votes: 9659
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8d7a2b7e-9140-48a0-8492-79516e10024e

### Who will be England's top scorer at World Cup 2026?
Resolves to the England player who scores the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If multiple players tie, resolves to the player with fewer minutes played. Source: official FIFA statistics.
- YES: 50.51% | NO: 49.49%
- Total votes: 11331
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9e067061-512b-4b80-ab50-7c8f6d90486c

### Will England fail to win their World Cup 2026 group?
This question resolves YES if England does NOT finish first in their 2026 FIFA World Cup group. Resolves NO if England finishes first. Source: official FIFA group stage standings.
- YES: 59.66% | NO: 40.34%
- Total votes: 8396
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/624f59f4-3942-40fd-8c52-2a6e082e2d0f

## Crypto (32 markets)

### Will Bitcoin close above $80,000 on 31 May 2026?
Bitcoin's next major milestone.
- YES: 38.34% | NO: 61.66%
- Total votes: 6953
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/4c4dcaea-e4aa-40e8-82d0-2fc0e92ad23e

### ETH Flippening in 2026
The long-awaited flippening debate.
- YES: 40.45% | NO: 59.55%
- Total votes: 6390
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/45ede71b-b54e-4c2b-8e86-9af50ef2d567

### Solana Above $500?
Solana's high-speed blockchain continues to gain traction.
- YES: 43.78% | NO: 56.22%
- Total votes: 8433
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/b2fa2a5e-62b0-4634-9453-761dbed2ee39

### Bitcoin above $100,000 before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if BTC/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $100,000 at any point on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 50.35% | NO: 49.65%
- Total votes: 7684
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/58e56bb1-958c-4e2e-807d-ff6dce87f043

### Will a quantum computer crack Bitcoin's encryption before 1st January 2030?
This question resolves YES if a quantum computer successfully breaks Bitcoin's SHA-256 encryption, as verified by a peer-reviewed paper or major cryptographic institution (e.g., NIST) on or before 1 January 2030 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 51.88% | NO: 48.12%
- Total votes: 8924
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6eeb75a7-f678-42a7-a0a6-97082cb31e91

### Will the total crypto market cap hit $5 trillion before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if the total global cryptocurrency market capitalization on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $5 trillion at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 46.55% | NO: 53.45%
- Total votes: 6853
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/7fbf9d12-3ca8-4a3f-a40a-22e08e0bbf52

### DOGE above $1 in 2026?
Dogecoin's price has been volatile, influenced by social media trends and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk. The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing renewed interest, with major coins seeing significant gains. Reaching $1 would represent a major milestone for DOGE, which has struggled to maintain high valuations despite its popularity.
- YES: 34.84% | NO: 65.16%
- Total votes: 11695
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/2fb7cecb-8ed6-448d-bd53-017d7cbb0b2a

### Will Rain (RAIN) double to $0.016 before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if RAIN/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.016 at any point on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 58.06% | NO: 41.94%
- Total votes: 5379
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/2bfbc685-f13b-4748-9c57-27ef0fd0e6ef

### Will Hedera (HBAR) recover to $0.10 before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if HBAR/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.10 at any point on or before 1 September 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 54.47% | NO: 45.53%
- Total votes: 8123
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/5319bf01-3e2f-486a-aee3-ae3398149711

### Will ZEC outperform Bitcoin this quarter?
This question resolves YES if the percentage price increase of ZEC/USD from 1 April 2026 to 30 June 2026 (inclusive) exceeds the percentage price increase of BTC/USD over the same period, based on CoinGecko closing prices. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 62.25% | NO: 37.75%
- Total votes: 7258
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/285e3c72-44d7-4655-a584-c6f05431fc95

### Will Hedera (HBAR) beat its 2024 high before 31st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if HBAR/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.18 at any point on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 56.33% | NO: 43.67%
- Total votes: 5654
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/4fe7d6cd-efb8-412c-9e44-2a7d167f4bf0

### Will Rain (RAIN) lose its $4B market cap before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if the market capitalization of Rain (RAIN) as reported by CoinGecko falls below $4,000,000,000 at any point on or before 1st June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 56.93% | NO: 43.07%
- Total votes: 8779
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6e7c4f6a-7574-4032-bc15-ac7eb7caaaf7

### Will Rain (RAIN) lose its top 50 crypto rank before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if Rain (RAIN) falls below rank 50 in the CoinGecko market capitalization rankings at any point on or before 1st July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap rankings.
- YES: 53.62% | NO: 46.38%
- Total votes: 7095
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/7d8e74c2-34c6-4ed3-981c-af1a491f61de

### Will Rain (RAIN) lose its top 50 crypto rank before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if Rain (RAIN) falls to rank 51 or lower by market capitalization on CoinGecko's global crypto rankings on or before 1st July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO if it remains rank 50 or higher. Backup source: CoinMarketCap rankings.
- YES: 54% | NO: 46%
- Total votes: 4641
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/e51e279e-edea-4266-b5b1-f996d68cc61f

### Will MemeCore (M) drop below $2 before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if M/USD spot price on CoinGecko falls to or below $2.00 at any point on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 48.62% | NO: 51.38%
- Total votes: 4712
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/3ba31ae1-f821-4cac-a6e4-377cea976cfa

### Will Rain (RAIN) drop below $0.005 before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if RAIN/USD spot price on CoinGecko falls to or below $0.005 at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 61.46% | NO: 38.54%
- Total votes: 4787
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/41f63d4f-60d3-4bd6-a9a9-b0d8f1d24bcd

### Will MemeCore (M) hit $3 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if M/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $3.00 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 51.89% | NO: 48.11%
- Total votes: 6142
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/78efdba1-9c0d-4289-a026-7155be0901a1

### Will Rain (RAIN) recover to $0.01 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if RAIN/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.01 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 59.57% | NO: 40.43%
- Total votes: 6218
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/e2d0c773-28fe-4cec-a807-44efbb7ab52a

### Will Rain (RAIN) lose its top 50 crypto rank before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if Rain (RAIN) falls below rank 50 in the CoinGecko market capitalization rankings at any point on or before 1st July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap rankings.
- YES: 54.86% | NO: 45.14%
- Total votes: 10282
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/aee64566-5c23-46f6-9a64-c78777900e47

### Will Hedera (HBAR) lose its top 30 crypto spot before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if Hedera (HBAR) falls below rank 30 in the CoinGecko global cryptocurrency market cap rankings on or before 1st June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap rankings.
- YES: 56.46% | NO: 43.54%
- Total votes: 9685
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/108c2116-8bcf-4833-8831-2f810d630797

### Will ZEC outperform Bitcoin this quarter?
This question resolves YES if the percentage price increase of ZEC/USD from 1 April 2026 to 30 June 2026 (inclusive) exceeds the percentage price increase of BTC/USD over the same period, using CoinGecko closing prices at 23:59 UTC on each date. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 58.05% | NO: 41.95%
- Total votes: 7495
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6c2509a0-e4a0-43ca-9264-eec1a7584a88

### Will Avalanche (AVAX) hit $50 before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if AVAX/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $50.00 at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 63.79% | NO: 36.21%
- Total votes: 8106
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/76e582c0-6a62-421b-9871-5284156b18b5

### Will Rain (RAIN) outperform Bitcoin this quarter?
This question resolves YES if the percentage price increase of RAIN/USD from 1 April 2026 to 30 June 2026 (inclusive) exceeds the percentage price increase of BTC/USD over the same period, using CoinGecko closing prices at 23:59 UTC on those dates. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 58.8% | NO: 41.2%
- Total votes: 5316
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6f5f6a94-fee1-49ae-a05c-0fcbb7fc8a8e

### Will Ethereum break $5,000 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if ETH/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $5,000 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 52.91% | NO: 47.09%
- Total votes: 15909
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/22e33c28-8ade-469c-92c4-5f63afafbb20

### Will Zcash (ZEC) hit $300 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if ZEC/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $300 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 58.54% | NO: 41.46%
- Total votes: 8570
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/c84db7d1-dcd9-46c4-bb9f-596cdd25b861

### Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) drop below $30 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if HYPE/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or falls below $30.00 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 54.8% | NO: 45.2%
- Total votes: 9334
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/567a8c09-3fc3-4322-bbc5-89a61712546b

### Will Hedera (HBAR) break $0.12 before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if HBAR/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.12 at any point on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 55.54% | NO: 44.46%
- Total votes: 8743
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/32b88f4f-a7e3-4a9d-8287-f8c7677fb192

### Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) drop below $30 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if HYPE/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or falls below $30.00 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 52.55% | NO: 47.45%
- Total votes: 7417
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/32cc92ce-4663-4330-a19b-3a60170e8135

### Will ZEC outperform Bitcoin this quarter?
This question resolves YES if the ZEC/BTC price ratio on CoinGecko is higher on 30 June 2026 at 23:59 UTC than it was on 31 March 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 50.74% | NO: 49.26%
- Total votes: 4503
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/ffabd388-26e4-4d75-b8fe-f6d4d0f55981

### Will Hyperliquid (HYPE) drop below $30 before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if the HYPE/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or falls below $30.00 at any point on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 61.69% | NO: 38.31%
- Total votes: 4221
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/b6237bb5-1164-4d71-8d3d-0170cba093d0

### Will Bittensor (TAO) drop below $400 before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if TAO/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or falls below $400 at any point on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 61.35% | NO: 38.65%
- Total votes: 3765
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/1c42fe69-771e-4f4e-bbbd-dc71e7746eca

### Will Rain (RAIN) double to $0.40 before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if RAIN/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.40 at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 58.76% | NO: 41.24%
- Total votes: 5395
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/3ae63ec2-e52f-4464-a8bf-c0312c9315f4

## Politics (9 markets)

### Will the prison population in England and Wales reach 90,000 on or before 30 September 2026?
The next UK general election is expected by 2029.
- YES: 43.5% | NO: 56.5%
- Total votes: 6673
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5e4fef73-ddc0-446c-8a99-01cc65d11a03

### Trump administration to impose tariffs above 25% on European Union automobiles before 4 July 2026?
Congress faces another funding deadline.
- YES: 37.66% | NO: 62.34%
- Total votes: 8563
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5dd31b68-10a7-460b-963a-620185dfe441

### Trump Executive Orders Count
Tracking presidential executive action volume.
- YES: 35.57% | NO: 64.43%
- Total votes: 10657
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/0a959df4-2563-4979-83fe-51ed500ef186

### Will the UK have fewer than 15 frigates and destroyers by year end?
Official Ministry of Defence or Royal Navy statement confirming the total number of active frigates and destroyers is 15 or fewer by 2026-12-31.
- YES: 53.74% | NO: 46.26%
- Total votes: 10508
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/3e78e07b-6a38-47ca-9ee3-2ff3e0db1de8

### Will Nigel Farage be Reform UK leader on 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Nigel Farage holds the official position of Reform UK leader on 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO if he has resigned, been replaced, or the party has dissolved. Source: Reform UK official announcements.
- YES: 53.95% | NO: 46.05%
- Total votes: 7541
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/3b4b70be-20cc-4612-92c3-6c5d42aaa792

### Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028?
This question resolves YES if Kamala Harris is officially nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for President at the 2028 Democratic National Convention. Resolves NO if any other candidate is nominated. Source: official DNC convention results.
- YES: 55.44% | NO: 44.56%
- Total votes: 7815
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/9e654fde-dfdd-4ff0-9839-bdd81edfe70d

### Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?
- YES: 37.44% | NO: 62.56%
- Total votes: 15308
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/d9af4259-648e-44a5-965f-c5bd6c3fcef9

### Will Nigel Farage use the Green Party's Hamas row to pull Reform above 30% in polls by June 2026?
This question resolves YES if any of the following pollsters — YouGov, Ipsos, Opinium, or Survation — publish a Westminster voting intention poll showing Reform UK at 30% or above on or before 30 June 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: named pollster's published headline figures on their official websites.
- YES: 49.09% | NO: 50.91%
- Total votes: 7237
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/588abfe0-0183-4436-b902-adecce172764

### Wes Streeting as Labour leader before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Wes Streeting holds the office of Labour Party leader on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Labour Party announcements.
- YES: 58.14% | NO: 41.86%
- Total votes: 4880
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/b9ee0d99-f524-402f-9ea8-b5d252b305f7

## Showbiz (28 markets)

### Best Picture Oscar 2027
The race for Hollywood's top prize.
- YES: 58.61% | NO: 41.39%
- Total votes: 4380
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/06f01dfe-e850-4171-b391-43d9ab9580c5

### Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be evicted from Royal Lodge before 31 December 2026?
If any islander voluntarily leaves the villa (not voted out) before the Casa Amor twist begins (as confirmed by ITV).
- YES: 41.72% | NO: 58.28%
- Total votes: 3507
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/cd76a97f-40e1-4720-9a28-974cc308b76d

### First recoupling in Week 1?
If a formal recoupling ceremony (where islanders choose new partners) occurs in episodes airing within the first week (7 days from launch).
- YES: 60.75% | NO: 39.25%
- Total votes: 3164
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/88272e9f-624c-4237-907a-b8774e7fc6a9

### Will Meghan's new Netflix show get cancelled within 6 months?
Netflix officially announces the cancellation of the show featuring Meghan, Duchess of Sussex, or confirms it will not proceed beyond its initially announced season/filming commitment.
- YES: 60.54% | NO: 39.46%
- Total votes: 2684
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/011c5026-36e7-4772-94ae-c3bf471c1a33

### Will a UK artist's AI-generated song reach the Top 40 this year?
A song credibly and primarily generated by AI (e.g., using tools like Suno, Udio) by a UK-based artist or group enters the Official UK Singles Chart Top 40, as confirmed by the Official Charts Company.
- YES: 60.69% | NO: 39.31%
- Total votes: 4215
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/71f89259-6bfa-4263-b364-c41cf68475ec

### First couple forms within 48 hours?
If two islanders officially couple up (as shown on the episode) within the first 48 hours of the launch (by end of Day 2 episode).
- YES: 58.35% | NO: 41.65%
- Total votes: 4646
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/9716c75d-a773-4697-ba5d-7d6d97bf3935

### Will the BBC's Glastonbury coverage reach 20M viewers?
Official BARB or BBC report on total viewership across all platforms for the festival weekend.
- YES: 60.67% | NO: 39.33%
- Total votes: 4310
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/56cbcacf-fdc6-44f0-949b-09f8c2176370

### Will assisted dying be legalised in the UK before Esther Rantzen's 86th birthday?
This question resolves YES if assisted dying is legalised for terminally ill adults in the UK (through Act of Parliament) on or before 22 June 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: UK Parliament official records.
- YES: 58.95% | NO: 41.05%
- Total votes: 3674
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/233941f1-1635-4c8b-a98c-15b9a70e695e

### Will a Spice Girls documentary or biopic get announced by end of 2026?
Official announcement from a studio, network, or streaming service confirming a Spice Girls documentary or biopic for release by 2026-12-31.
- YES: 55.83% | NO: 44.17%
- Total votes: 4369
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/5fa00842-a412-4598-b374-b3547919c5ad

### Will the UK finish in the bottom 3 at the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final on Saturday 16 May?
If any islander says 'I love you' to another (as aired on the show) before Day 20 of the season (counting from launch).
- YES: 42.23% | NO: 57.77%
- Total votes: 2174
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/87782766-0b8c-4867-b625-9659a13086d5

### Who wins Love Island 2026?
The couple officially crowned winners in the live final episode (as per ITV broadcast).
- YES: 51.49% | NO: 48.51%
- Total votes: 3045
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/23730af5-9a92-4db5-baf8-63fb7d313629

### Who will headline the Pyramid Stage on Saturday?
Official Glastonbury Festival schedule confirming the Pyramid Stage headliner for Saturday, June 27, 2026.
- YES: 48.4% | NO: 51.6%
- Total votes: 3562
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/71e9d63e-2a17-4f79-ae9f-afe3a8746af3

### Will a headliner cancel or pull out before the festival?
Official announcement from Glastonbury Festival or the artist confirming cancellation of a scheduled headlining act.
- YES: 57.5% | NO: 42.5%
- Total votes: 4376
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/c3ff92a5-a31a-482e-aa2f-d74e85e42791

### Will it rain on the Saturday of Glastonbury 2026?
Official Met Office weather report for Pilton, Somerset on Saturday, June 27, 2026, confirming measurable rainfall.
- YES: 58.9% | NO: 41.1%
- Total votes: 4922
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/596ead0a-cc2d-4f4b-a6ef-8e8e3f89d561

### Will the BBC scrap the licence fee before 2027?
Official announcement from the UK government or the BBC confirming the abolition of the television licence fee, or a government white paper/legislation tabled in Parliament with that explicit aim.
- YES: 57.77% | NO: 42.23%
- Total votes: 3955
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/b52121ff-294f-4f80-af18-e9f71fcba82a

### Will any headliner cancel or pull out before Glastonbury 2026?
Official cancellation or postponement of a Pyramid Stage headliner (Friday, Saturday, or Sunday) announced before the festival.
- YES: 63.46% | NO: 36.54%
- Total votes: 1987
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/86e45920-387b-4acf-b153-993452123616

### Will the true crime series 'The Night Caller' get a season 2 before 2027?
This question resolves YES if a second season of the true crime series 'The Night Caller' is officially announced for release on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: platform press release or official social media.
- YES: 63.19% | NO: 36.81%
- Total votes: 2755
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/20119292-204e-4326-95c5-5d222b6fe8c4

### Will The Apprentice winner's business survive until Christmas?
Public announcement of business closure or Lord Sugar confirming the investment has been withdrawn by 31 Dec 2026.
- YES: 45.9% | NO: 54.1%
- Total votes: 3497
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/67de067a-98d4-470f-9dd0-42bfb0732e80

### Will the premiere beat last year's ratings?
If the overnight/viewing figures for the launch episode (2026-06-09) exceed 3.2 million (last year's reported launch audience).
- YES: 57.76% | NO: 42.24%
- Total votes: 4304
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/1826682b-6433-473c-8a73-a22f9bfa0631

### Will Glastonbury 2026 sell out in under 30 minutes?
Official Glastonbury Festival announcement of ticket sell-out time after general sale.
- YES: 58.52% | NO: 41.48%
- Total votes: 4296
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/d8602ba1-821b-4c64-80af-86b23bef5610

### How many bombshells in the first 2 weeks?
Total number of new islanders introduced as 'bombshells' (not original cast) in episodes airing from launch through Week 2 (14 days).
- YES: 41.85% | NO: 58.15%
- Total votes: 3711
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/29224a33-bc74-4c6d-838e-10754c8d7c9f

### Which stage will have the longest queue?
Social media reports and festival-goer accounts confirming the stage with the most significant queue times over the weekend.
- YES: 48.9% | NO: 51.1%
- Total votes: 5301
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/265bb20e-8eb8-4e8f-9dcb-5f4e15024275

### Will a surprise guest join the Sunday legends slot?
Official confirmation or live footage during the Sunday legends slot of an unannounced guest performance.
- YES: 62.93% | NO: 37.07%
- Total votes: 4235
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/bd166f62-4613-47b5-8538-8e3230782ac0

### Who will headline the Pyramid Stage on Saturday?
Official lineup announcement or Glastonbury website confirms Saturday Pyramid Stage headliner.
- YES: 61.62% | NO: 38.38%
- Total votes: 4445
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/8c982f27-809b-407f-b8d8-ba670d2f020d

### Will the Apple TV+ thriller with the Peaky Blinders star be rated Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes?
This question resolves YES if the Apple TV+ thriller series (featuring the Peaky Blinders star and created by the acclaimed writer) achieves a 'Fresh' rating (60% or higher) on Rotten Tomatoes for its first season within 30 days of its premiere, on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Rotten Tomatoes official score.
- YES: 57.75% | NO: 42.25%
- Total votes: 3110
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/1e80f591-836b-42f9-9384-497432e7ecb5

### Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day open above $150M at the US box office?
This question resolves YES if Spider-Man: Brand New Day grosses $150 million or more in its domestic opening weekend (Fri-Sun) at the US box office, as reported by Box Office Mojo. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 60.18% | NO: 39.82%
- Total votes: 3031
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/7d76dbb1-9728-4890-8054-a386542a8e58

### Who will be the surprise guest in the Sunday legends slot?
Official confirmation or reliable report of a surprise guest performing in the Sunday afternoon legends slot.
- YES: 49.04% | NO: 50.96%
- Total votes: 4325
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/868cf34b-be3a-4a54-a69c-d99a61dd8192

### Will Sandrine Holt appear in Daredevil: Born Again before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Sandrine Holt is officially credited as appearing in any episode of Daredevil: Born Again that premieres on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Disney+ credits or Marvel Studios press release.
- YES: 63.47% | NO: 36.53%
- Total votes: 3947
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/7d138c3c-04c2-4af7-96f7-d5e3894dbdff

## Tech (10 markets)

### Will OpenAI release a model branded "GPT-6" before 31 December 2026?
The most debated question in AI research.
- YES: 51.14% | NO: 48.86%
- Total votes: 3242
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/7606a1da-87ef-4340-aa33-03a1045e802e

### £2 per litre before 1st of July 2026?
The next generation of language models.
- YES: 54.54% | NO: 45.46%
- Total votes: 6619
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/9a63f544-e31e-4d41-9ca8-7916b969624a

### SpaceX Mars Landing by 2028?
Elon Musk's ambitious Mars timeline.
- YES: 48.37% | NO: 51.63%
- Total votes: 5433
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/ce0d5d8d-abab-4ed4-8220-f556adf3d0ff

### Apple AR Glasses 2026
Rumors of a lighter, cheaper Apple AR device.
- YES: 57.78% | NO: 42.22%
- Total votes: 3264
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/6bac3cb8-424f-4bd9-a26a-223a4d28914b

### Will OpenAI's valuation hit $1 trillion before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if OpenAI achieves a valuation of $1 trillion or more in a public funding round, acquisition, or IPO as reported by credible financial sources (Bloomberg, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal) on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 50.56% | NO: 49.44%
- Total votes: 6284
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/8b3e54a6-efc7-452c-879a-5ebc59fb440c

### Kash Patel sued by Beastie Boys before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Beastie Boys or their estate files a copyright infringement lawsuit against Kash Patel on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: court records or official announcement.
- YES: 49.14% | NO: 50.86%
- Total votes: 5395
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/92190869-7336-4088-adc2-0ac5d4afd176

### Will OpenAI reach a formal agreement with the U.S. government before the end of May 2026?
OpenAI CEO Sam Altman told staff the company is negotiating with the U.S. government, raising questions about AI regulation and public-private partnerships.
- YES: 49.89% | NO: 50.11%
- Total votes: 6116
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/d2414c20-521c-4eab-9d67-a1626b6e18b6

### Pennsylvania settles with Character.AI before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Pennsylvania and Character.AI reach a settlement agreement in the lawsuit over the chatbot posing as a doctor, confirmed by court filing or official announcement on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: court records or official press release.
- YES: 57.24% | NO: 42.76%
- Total votes: 5540
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/18b5ab9a-732d-45b0-968d-c1853b147f2a

### Scott Turow wins Meta copyright lawsuit before 2027?
This question resolves YES if a court or jury rules in favor of Scott Turow and the publishing houses in their copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta, on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO if Meta wins or the case is dismissed. Source: official court ruling.
- YES: 64.22% | NO: 35.78%
- Total votes: 4164
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/7e71f725-be99-434d-9708-4ee48f4b43b1

### Polymarket fined by US regulators before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if the CFTC or any US federal regulator imposes a fine or penalty on Polymarket on or before 1 July 2026 at 23:59 ET. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official CFTC announcement or court filing.
- YES: 64.4% | NO: 35.599999999999994%
- Total votes: 2854
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/e8ad76c5-1e2f-42e3-9dd3-e01db1c25578

## World (14 markets)

### Clarity Act triggers a parliamentary rebellion before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if a formal rebellion (10 or more MPs voting against the party whip) occurs during any vote on the Clarity Act on or before 1 July 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: UK Parliament voting records.
- YES: 65.94% | NO: 34.06%
- Total votes: 2387
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/32e46dc1-913e-4be9-8ab5-d24901640479

### Will the UK see another rabies case before summer?
Official UK Health Security Agency (UKHSA) report confirming a new rabies case in the UK.
- YES: 71.27% | NO: 28.730000000000004%
- Total votes: 5006
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/cebd96ed-9f29-4b8f-9314-cb2d7b98528e

### Will the Iran-Israel conflict see a ceasefire before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Iran and Israel announce a formal ceasefire agreement confirmed by both governments on or before 1 September 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official statements from Iranian and Israeli governments.
- YES: 41.82% | NO: 58.18%
- Total votes: 4314
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/c8a1c1d4-33e0-495f-9283-50b32661559f

### Will Meta's AI data centre spending exceed $100bn globally by end of 2026?
This question resolves YES if Meta's cumulative announced or confirmed capital expenditure on AI data centres and infrastructure — across all global projects — reaches or exceeds $100 billion by 31 December 2026 at 23:59 GMT, as reported by Meta's official earnings filings (SEC 10-K or quarterly reports) or confirmed by Reuters/Bloomberg. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 48.88% | NO: 51.12%
- Total votes: 4476
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/8f188ae4-aa1e-44ba-b051-a0ae1dfca23a

### Will Brent crude oil hit $100 per barrel before 1st July 2026?
This question resolves YES if the closing price of Brent crude oil futures (ICE) reaches or exceeds $100.00 per barrel on or before 1 July 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) official settlement data.
- YES: 68.76% | NO: 31.239999999999995%
- Total votes: 2058
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/d9ecf852-a00c-49af-8b2b-3282bc951472

### Will US ground forces enter Iran before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if US Department of Defense confirms US ground troops have crossed into Iranian territory on or before 15th of April 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Pentagon statements or major wire services (Reuters, AP).
- YES: 52.24% | NO: 47.76%
- Total votes: 4797
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/d5e6f0cc-1d98-4abf-a6fb-a1b06c71607e

### Will Trump impose new sanctions or military strikes on Iran before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if the US government imposes a new round of economic sanctions targeting Iran's oil, banking, or military sectors, OR if US forces conduct any confirmed military strike on Iranian territory or Iranian-backed forces in a third country, as confirmed by Reuters and AP, on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 57.65% | NO: 42.35%
- Total votes: 3823
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/df56ae71-fb57-4949-bc2e-3f94b77c2f84

### Will a 5% wealth tax on US billionaires pass Congress before 2028?
This question resolves YES if the US Congress passes legislation imposing a 5% annual wealth tax on billionaires (individuals with net worth exceeding $1 billion) on or before 1 January 2028. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Congressional records.
- YES: 38.34% | NO: 61.66%
- Total votes: 2217
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/7cf9dba2-79e2-4efb-a49c-11d530c8c500

### Will Rachel Reeves' mansion tax pass into UK law before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the mansion tax legislation receives Royal Assent and becomes UK law on or before 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if it has not received Royal Assent by that deadline, including if it is withdrawn, delayed, or defeated. Source: UK Parliament official records and GOV.UK legislation portal.
- YES: 38% | NO: 62%
- Total votes: 2908
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/ff0b5d12-d4b1-40fc-8f4b-cfd0276897bf

### Clarity Act passed by UK Parliament before 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Clarity Act receives Royal Assent on or before 1 June 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: UK Parliament official legislation tracker.
- YES: 60.63% | NO: 39.37%
- Total votes: 4392
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/8bec724d-9e6b-42ce-99c8-6c7d579ad8f2

### Jessica Pegula in WTA top 5 on 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Jessica Pegula's official WTA singles ranking is 5th or higher in the rankings published on 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: WTA official rankings.
- YES: 56.54% | NO: 43.46%
- Total votes: 4411
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/a6da41a6-ed24-4b7c-a3d7-1e91755497b9

### Jessica Pegula wins a Grand Slam before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Jessica Pegula wins a singles Grand Slam title (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, or US Open) on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official tournament results.
- YES: 66.7% | NO: 33.3%
- Total votes: 3474
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/745380fc-f9e3-48b1-a31b-1a90e2469d1d

### Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election as declared by the TSE. If none of the listed candidates win, resolves to 'Other'. Source: official TSE results.
- YES: 62.41% | NO: 37.59%
- Total votes: 3461
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/6069ae2b-9753-496e-ab77-d44d4fd0a31a

### Will Asia's coal consumption increase by 10%+ in 2026 due to the Iran war?
This question resolves YES if the International Energy Agency's 2026 report shows Asia's coal consumption increased by 10% or more compared to 2025 levels. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: IEA annual coal market report.
- YES: 46.61% | NO: 53.39%
- Total votes: 4321
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/80d14297-2636-45ee-8989-317ef5d4823f

## Finance (9 markets)

### Gold outperforms the S&P 500 in 2026?
Gold has historically underperformed equities over long periods, but in times of uncertainty it can surge ahead. With recession fears and geopolitical risks elevated, 2026 could be gold's year.
- YES: 31.14% | NO: 68.86%
- Total votes: 1429
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/f69305e8-e233-44af-841d-f2bf96f2844a

### Will average UK 2-year fixed mortgage rates drop below 4% before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Bank of England or Moneyfacts publishes data showing the average UK 2-year fixed residential mortgage rate (75% LTV) at below 4.0% on or before 1 April 2027 at 23:59 BST. Source: Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report or Bank of England quoted household interest rates. Resolves NO if no such data confirms a sub-4% average by the deadline.
- YES: 51.06% | NO: 48.94%
- Total votes: 5881
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/140574d4-39f4-4a7b-90ee-33309f46a9f5

### Will the UK unemployment rate exceed 5% before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the ONS Labour Market Statistics release published on or before 1 October 2026 shows the UK unemployment rate at 5.0% or above for any reported monthly period. Resolves NO if no such release shows the rate at or above 5.0% by the deadline. Source: ONS official Labour Market Overview. If the ONS delays publication, resolves when the next available release is published.
- YES: 58.02% | NO: 41.98%
- Total votes: 3826
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/2fe73503-26a9-4de3-b65d-ab57af12c87b

### Oil hits $100/barrel again in 2026?
Oil hasn't sustainably traded above $100 since 2022. For it to return there, a major supply shock or surge in demand would be needed. Most analysts see this as unlikely given the energy transition.
- YES: 38.59% | NO: 61.41%
- Total votes: 10784
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/9f8be0f0-811b-4654-adbb-926bfdf9ff92

### Will the major home and DIY retailer announce further store closures before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if the major home and DIY retailer (e.g., B&Q, Homebase) officially announces additional store closures beyond the initial 23 on or before 1st September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: company financial results or press release.
- YES: 58.26% | NO: 41.74%
- Total votes: 4562
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/fc601392-812f-49a4-8478-2fb82b566325

### Will the average UK council tax bill exceed £2,500/year before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the UK government's official statistics for the average Band D council tax bill in England reaches or exceeds £2,500 per year in any financial year starting on or before 1 April 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities official release.
- YES: 59.36% | NO: 40.64%
- Total votes: 4154
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/5dc2676f-8b11-4bb1-a8a3-7b3a7b330fb0

### Will HMRC's allowance cuts affect over 5 million taxpayers before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if HMRC or ONS data confirms that 5 million or more UK taxpayers are negatively impacted by the allowance cuts announced in the 2026 Budget (e.g., reduced personal allowance, savings allowance) on or before 1st January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: HMRC official statistics or ONS report.
- YES: 47.72% | NO: 52.28%
- Total votes: 4151
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/1a4fa6df-f418-44fd-85d0-10a095d5f5e3

### Is Keir Starmer still Labour leader on 1st June 2026?
This question resolves YES if Keir Starmer remains the leader of the Labour Party on 1 June 2026, confirmed by official Labour Party records or verified reporting. Resolves NO if he has resigned, been removed, or announced his departure on or before that date at 23:59 BST.
- YES: 44.53% | NO: 55.47%
- Total votes: 7143
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/728d4e55-25f3-463f-b628-c18006e45a35

### Will the average UK water bill exceed £600/year before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the average household water and sewerage bill in England and Wales, as published by Water UK, reaches or exceeds £600 per year in any financial year starting on or before 1 April 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Water UK's annual 'Water Matters' report.
- YES: 50.82% | NO: 49.18%
- Total votes: 7766
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/6ff95982-9763-4a0d-99a6-6a1b561bc42d