# PeoplesOdds — Active Markets

> Free-to-play prediction platform. The free alternative to Polymarket.
> Browse and vote on real-world outcomes at https://www.peoplesodds.com

Generated: 2026-09-09T19:24:05.700Z
Total active markets: 200

## Sports (78 markets)

### Will Pep Guardiola still be Manchester City manager on Monday 1 June 2026?
A new era of F1 regulations shakes up the grid.
- YES: 58.55% | NO: 41.45%
- Total votes: 45148
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e8db7a9a-7d47-4162-ba1e-e5a3451c6b0e

### Will England win a single knockout game at the World Cup this year?
The England men's senior football team wins a match in the knockout stage (Round of 16 or beyond) of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- YES: 49.77% | NO: 50.23%
- Total votes: 25332
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b005de0d-a3b5-483b-b8f4-b852a75b03d3

### Will Conor McGregor fight in 2026?
Conor McGregor, a former UFC champion, has not fought since July 2021 due to injury and other ventures, fueling speculation about his retirement. His potential return is a major topic in combat sports, with fans and analysts debating his future impact on UFC events and pay-per-view sales. Recent discussions have centered on his training updates and UFC's efforts to book high-profile fights, making 2026 a key year for his career trajectory.
- YES: 79.68% | NO: 20.319999999999993%
- Total votes: 53130
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1cd931d1-e738-4079-b375-48ff2de3ec04

### Will England appoint a foreign manager before Euro 2028?
This question resolves YES if the Football Association officially appoints a non-English citizen as head coach of the England men's national team on or before the start of UEFA Euro 2028 (14 June 2028). Resolves NO if the manager is English. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 43.66% | NO: 56.34%
- Total votes: 20328
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/865534e5-1a07-452b-aa0a-baf2e4cf9920

### Will the next permanent England manager be English?
This question resolves YES if the next permanent head coach of the England men's national football team appointed by the FA holds English citizenship. Resolves NO if they hold any other citizenship. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 63.63% | NO: 36.37%
- Total votes: 45941
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5b743b41-dfed-4d02-b47f-8f06b8f4addc

### Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
This question resolves YES if Erling Haaland wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or award. Resolves NO if any other player wins. Source: official Ballon d'Or announcement.
- YES: 39.12% | NO: 60.88%
- Total votes: 43900
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a82361e1-d129-4e24-a806-7ca21572dc63

### Will Wimbledon be forced to pay players more prize money?
- YES: 33.43% | NO: 66.57%
- Total votes: 21378
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/096b6eba-7216-4dec-84ea-0fe28b6c4373

### Will US host security concerns cause a team withdrawal by year end?
Official statement from any qualified national team or football association confirming withdrawal from the 2026 World Cup due to US security concerns.
- YES: 59.55% | NO: 40.45%
- Total votes: 40389
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b125be44-04ef-4efb-9c0b-3d52a6543cb4

### Will another country back Iran's call by year end?
Any other FIFA member nation publicly endorses or supports Iran's call for USA removal by 23:59 GMT on 2026-12-31.
- YES: 63.57% | NO: 36.43%
- Total votes: 12135
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5062a6fe-6d01-4318-879a-7f45c1c55807

### Will 'The Wall' at Intuit Dome cause 5+ opponent turnovers in the Clippers' first 10 home games?
This question resolves YES if LA Clippers opponents commit 5 or more turnovers directly attributable to 'The Wall' fan section during the first 10 regular season home games at Intuit Dome in the 2026-27 NBA season. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official NBA play-by-play data and team attribution.
- YES: 60.01% | NO: 39.99%
- Total votes: 45246
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/883072bc-7e85-449f-9263-a301bc0859e1

### Will Pellegrino Matarazzo win a trophy in a top European league before 1st July 2027?
This question resolves YES if Pellegrino Matarazzo wins any domestic cup (e.g., Copa del Rey, DFB-Pokal) or league title in La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, or Premier League on or before 1 July 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official league/federation announcements.
- YES: 58.4% | NO: 41.6%
- Total votes: 40665
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ef5b64a1-8dc0-448c-88fa-3c34a7e65d63

### Will flag football be an Olympic sport by the 2032 Brisbane Games?
This question resolves YES if flag football is included as an official medal sport in the 2032 Brisbane Olympic Games programme. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official IOC announcement.
- YES: 71.34% | NO: 28.659999999999997%
- Total votes: 38382
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d62efb78-23aa-44ff-968f-529e16c73e62

### Will Jannik Sinner win the men's French Open singles title on Sunday 7 June 2026?
- YES: 67.65% | NO: 32.349999999999994%
- Total votes: 36259
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/31ef7a20-f206-439b-bc16-964df8771c53

### Will US host security measures cause a major fan incident by year end?
Credible news report (e.g., Reuters, AP) confirming a security-related incident at a US World Cup venue—such as a stampede, major breach, or violent protest—resulting in significant injury, arrest, or disruption.
- YES: 35.1% | NO: 64.9%
- Total votes: 41147
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d5babb9a-6bee-4eb8-a7ee-5b938f093d66

### Nottingham vs Coventry City
Predict the result of Nottingham vs Coventry City in the Premier League.
- YES: 28.78% | NO: 71.22%
- Total votes: 1998
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b6f7b867-2366-4bfa-af98-a066660f20e8

### Newcastle vs Hull City
Predict the result of Newcastle vs Hull City in the Premier League.
- YES: 35.58% | NO: 64.42%
- Total votes: 1841
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/76400156-bb60-42fd-9736-47edc97c2c7e

### Brighton Hove vs Arsenal
Predict the result of Brighton Hove vs Arsenal in the Premier League.
- YES: 38.25% | NO: 61.75%
- Total votes: 2110
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/db03b851-6cfa-4581-9c4d-e17fc458a412

### Everton vs Ipswich Town
Predict the result of Everton vs Ipswich Town in the Premier League.
- YES: 36.59% | NO: 63.41%
- Total votes: 1957
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/85f00967-7a46-4386-9178-2649cb2ca7a7

### Tottenham vs Aston Villa
Predict the result of Tottenham vs Aston Villa in the Premier League.
- YES: 35.59% | NO: 64.41%
- Total votes: 2321
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/08124dd2-815c-4124-9eab-4203cb57878a

### Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula
Predict the winner of Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Pegula in the US Open.
- YES: 38.57% | NO: 61.43%
- Total votes: 783
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ec204153-7956-4c42-80cf-6851a531b0f7

### Saka to score more goals this season than Palmer?
- YES: 46.39% | NO: 53.61%
- Total votes: 2384
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/7915375c-f18d-4c45-b06b-bc099c577adc

### Sunderland vs Arsenal
Predict the result of Sunderland vs Arsenal in the Premier League.
- YES: 33.65% | NO: 66.35%
- Total votes: 4065
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/cf5bde03-9c1a-4585-9de9-e5bc922ee1d1

### Tottenham vs Everton
Predict the result of Tottenham vs Everton in the Premier League.
- YES: 33.59% | NO: 66.41%
- Total votes: 4385
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5bf8bf5f-66f4-4a51-a4a5-978f274c68cf

### Chelsea vs Hull City
Predict the result of Chelsea vs Hull City in the Premier League.
- YES: 36.42% | NO: 63.58%
- Total votes: 4404
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/abc7088d-d949-49ff-8785-758748f2915c

### Bournemouth vs Brentford
Predict the result of Bournemouth vs Brentford in the Premier League.
- YES: 37.1% | NO: 62.9%
- Total votes: 4642
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a5672045-a22a-4fff-a69c-7bcb284c6d3f

### Aston Villa vs Nottingham
Predict the result of Aston Villa vs Nottingham in the Premier League.
- YES: 30.41% | NO: 69.59%
- Total votes: 3972
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/75c641b5-6a41-49e3-8536-ef7810f43059

### Liverpool vs Fulham
Predict the result of Liverpool vs Fulham in the Premier League.
- YES: 35.02% | NO: 64.97999999999999%
- Total votes: 4149
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/629abf27-4e37-4e8d-a9b1-d0ac8dd3b9cf

### Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town
Predict the result of Crystal Palace vs Ipswich Town in the Premier League.
- YES: 33.97% | NO: 66.03%
- Total votes: 4207
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/3395c66b-9530-49c0-b3a8-cf902288d856

### West Brom vs QPR
Predict the result of West Brom vs QPR in the Championship.
- YES: 29.81% | NO: 70.19%
- Total votes: 3827
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/3cbde97c-6e8e-414e-bf1b-5685f7bf6238

### Bolton vs Cardiff
Predict the result of Bolton vs Cardiff in the Championship.
- YES: 20.48% | NO: 79.52%
- Total votes: 3745
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d7908835-8b06-4259-ac9b-612a885d63f8

### Derby County vs Birmingham
Predict the result of Derby County vs Birmingham in the Championship.
- YES: 34.95% | NO: 65.05%
- Total votes: 4060
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/628b949b-cb88-44cc-93fe-83cab795ffa9

### West Ham vs Wrexham
Predict the result of West Ham vs Wrexham in the Championship.
- YES: 35.38% | NO: 64.62%
- Total votes: 4189
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1f76eb0f-ed03-47c5-a833-f2b610efc606

### Stade Rennais vs Marseille
Predict the result of Stade Rennais vs Marseille in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 37.05% | NO: 62.95%
- Total votes: 4262
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/45d5c547-92da-43ba-9f26-5d9dccf44ac3

### Venezia FC vs Fiorentina
Predict the result of Venezia FC vs Fiorentina in the Serie A.
- YES: 35.54% | NO: 64.46000000000001%
- Total votes: 4040
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/7ce40570-9881-4e65-a9a7-0e80ace8ff97

### Union Berlin vs Schalke
Predict the result of Union Berlin vs Schalke in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 34.35% | NO: 65.65%
- Total votes: 4367
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c1aa8f38-e16f-4fe4-85a5-695087e8bcf4

### Man United vs Man City
Predict the result of Man United vs Man City in the Premier League.
- YES: 33.58% | NO: 66.42%
- Total votes: 3850
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/04328d30-6dc3-4f0c-ac8d-94800061d8a1

### Coventry City vs Brighton Hove
Predict the result of Coventry City vs Brighton Hove in the Premier League.
- YES: 35.79% | NO: 64.21000000000001%
- Total votes: 4077
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/909f34b6-67a1-494f-bb95-bdb0ce8e1cad

### Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol
Predict the result of Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol in the La Liga.
- YES: 30.68% | NO: 69.32%
- Total votes: 2200
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8d5498ff-1476-4eec-89a4-ac094b07f64f

### Fiona Ferro vs Barbora Palicova
Predict the winner of Fiona Ferro vs Barbora Palicova in the Montreux Nestlé Open.
- YES: 58.96% | NO: 41.04%
- Total votes: 575
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c6bc1d6c-f590-4235-89d1-6990a895c253

### Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail
Predict the winner of Simona Waltert vs Despina Papamichail in the Montreux Nestlé Open.
- YES: 53.28% | NO: 46.72%
- Total votes: 1038
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9dec5715-3579-4afe-ad60-b24646f86fdd

### Alavés vs Valencia
Predict the result of Alavés vs Valencia in the La Liga.
- YES: 57.11% | NO: 42.89%
- Total votes: 1154
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/02277b5f-036e-47d1-b7ef-fded2b2fa389

### Napoli vs Bologna
Predict the result of Napoli vs Bologna in the Serie A.
- YES: 38.48% | NO: 61.52%
- Total votes: 2651
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/884c60d5-a5c7-4622-9546-28059fddba24

### Getafe vs Deportivo
Predict the result of Getafe vs Deportivo in the La Liga.
- YES: 34.28% | NO: 65.72%
- Total votes: 2795
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/10a4d556-2054-4b40-888d-684f15668d4b

### Villarreal vs Real Betis
Predict the result of Villarreal vs Real Betis in the La Liga.
- YES: 32.26% | NO: 67.74000000000001%
- Total votes: 2263
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b0fa05d3-0424-4662-a15c-6deb98d2ce7a

### Inter vs Udinese
Predict the result of Inter vs Udinese in the Serie A.
- YES: 33.69% | NO: 66.31%
- Total votes: 2553
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f5666440-e401-49fe-b793-e91b7144e926

### Como 1907 vs Parma
Predict the result of Como 1907 vs Parma in the Serie A.
- YES: 31.48% | NO: 68.52%
- Total votes: 2519
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/bae50b58-550d-4aad-85f6-1538ea2f5926

### Torino vs Roma
Predict the result of Torino vs Roma in the Serie A.
- YES: 29.83% | NO: 70.17%
- Total votes: 2102
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c4b74055-271d-4a51-b0c4-3aa132e3c544

### Real Sociedad vs Atleti
Predict the result of Real Sociedad vs Atleti in the La Liga.
- YES: 37.94% | NO: 62.06%
- Total votes: 2430
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/6d954415-7f6f-4627-a1cd-34985385d9c3

### Brest vs PSG
Predict the result of Brest vs PSG in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 61.72% | NO: 38.28%
- Total votes: 2610
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/927abf4b-5039-41fa-9408-e356f6763030

### Sassuolo vs Juventus
Predict the result of Sassuolo vs Juventus in the Serie A.
- YES: 33.92% | NO: 66.08%
- Total votes: 2559
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/dcc280f2-92ae-4333-9f39-f844f0c4a1df

### Le Mans vs RC Lens
Predict the result of Le Mans vs RC Lens in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 62.62% | NO: 37.38%
- Total votes: 2373
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/cee40238-ce22-4cc7-b91c-330655cfca8f

### Levante vs Barça
Predict the result of Levante vs Barça in the La Liga.
- YES: 36.36% | NO: 63.64%
- Total votes: 2973
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1c6bfd76-bc71-4b42-ad1f-c5a2de40e855

### Lille vs Troyes
Predict the result of Lille vs Troyes in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 27.54% | NO: 72.46000000000001%
- Total votes: 2237
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/59512df9-3c4b-44cd-9481-cad3328ea376

### Elversberg vs Bayern
Predict the result of Elversberg vs Bayern in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 30.66% | NO: 69.34%
- Total votes: 2603
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/49a55869-6f60-4fb2-a9f2-bfc9b0a6235c

### Man United vs Sabah FK
Predict the result of Man United vs Sabah FK in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 33.66% | NO: 66.34%
- Total votes: 2834
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/563d480c-0a77-41c9-949d-f5393bf4c620

### Como 1907 vs RB Leipzig
Predict the result of Como 1907 vs RB Leipzig in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 31.45% | NO: 68.55%
- Total votes: 2623
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9f6f3982-e723-4b12-b276-41fbc559798b

### Slavia Praha vs RC Lens
Predict the result of Slavia Praha vs RC Lens in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 28.21% | NO: 71.78999999999999%
- Total votes: 2829
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/36e994c8-e92a-4b97-930e-262d976e3cfa

### Bayern vs Bodø/Glimt
Predict the result of Bayern vs Bodø/Glimt in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 32.29% | NO: 67.71000000000001%
- Total votes: 2744
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/dfd8d712-d99c-4f06-af67-59cd92b7284b

### Strasbourg vs Monaco
Predict the result of Strasbourg vs Monaco in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 34.78% | NO: 65.22%
- Total votes: 2818
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/951ba7f9-922e-4988-841e-4bb84bc71cf1

### Dortmund vs SC Paderborn
Predict the result of Dortmund vs SC Paderborn in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 34.94% | NO: 65.06%
- Total votes: 3217
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/272d92af-ddbc-4b56-95d9-0b84ef864393

### Augsburg vs Leverkusen
Predict the result of Augsburg vs Leverkusen in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 29.37% | NO: 70.63%
- Total votes: 2669
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/756aeda7-fe36-4575-b71d-61b34c1a1dff

### Freiburg vs M'gladbach
Predict the result of Freiburg vs M'gladbach in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 30.31% | NO: 69.69%
- Total votes: 2742
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/53ae8096-a61d-4dd5-808c-5ecb3456f7bb

### Fenerbahçe vs Roma
Predict the result of Fenerbahçe vs Roma in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 33.84% | NO: 66.16%
- Total votes: 2624
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/cbd99c9d-2f69-4bed-988d-9ee801baa0d6

### Mainz vs Frankfurt
Predict the result of Mainz vs Frankfurt in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 29.24% | NO: 70.76%
- Total votes: 3139
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1246d3a1-30fd-4f43-b3dd-601e5398b697

### Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart
Predict the result of Hoffenheim vs Stuttgart in the Bundesliga.
- YES: 33.12% | NO: 66.88%
- Total votes: 3318
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b6aef434-64ac-4c66-af27-01fc0308c12c

### PSV vs Shaktar
Predict the result of PSV vs Shaktar in the UEFA Champions League.
- YES: 31.51% | NO: 68.49%
- Total votes: 2742
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/83ceca63-bc17-406d-a4f5-56799f3b7d74

### Middlesbrough vs Norwich
Predict the result of Middlesbrough vs Norwich in the Championship.
- YES: 29.83% | NO: 70.17%
- Total votes: 2819
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/82295780-8778-431d-87d8-9e680a1b37c2

### Southampton vs Bristol City
Predict the result of Southampton vs Bristol City in the Championship.
- YES: 34.79% | NO: 65.21000000000001%
- Total votes: 3176
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/3db8048d-5d05-49b8-bb8b-a3044b177a32

### Preston NE vs Lincoln City
Predict the result of Preston NE vs Lincoln City in the Championship.
- YES: 37.66% | NO: 62.34%
- Total votes: 3181
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/224f98d6-0384-4b22-86a8-4e3f320f3f76

### Blackburn vs Millwall
Predict the result of Blackburn vs Millwall in the Championship.
- YES: 36.87% | NO: 63.13%
- Total votes: 2696
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c352f487-1be6-4cdb-843e-66de5a38ca14

### Charlton vs Portsmouth
Predict the result of Charlton vs Portsmouth in the Championship.
- YES: 58.31% | NO: 41.69%
- Total votes: 2624
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e78ca856-4628-40fc-8f11-32faae745d6e

### Sevilla FC vs Valencia
Predict the result of Sevilla FC vs Valencia in the La Liga.
- YES: 63.22% | NO: 36.78%
- Total votes: 2904
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/78867fdb-aef1-45e1-a779-e00f7a90dffa

### Paris FC vs Olympique Lyon
Predict the result of Paris FC vs Olympique Lyon in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 39.66% | NO: 60.34%
- Total votes: 3139
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b65f7967-a538-44d3-a755-e7587b5a2d71

### Auxerre vs Nice
Predict the result of Auxerre vs Nice in the Ligue 1.
- YES: 33.74% | NO: 66.25999999999999%
- Total votes: 2967
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/af07e892-0d57-4639-ac0e-3306644f04ce

### Watford vs Stoke
Predict the result of Watford vs Stoke in the Championship.
- YES: 30.19% | NO: 69.81%
- Total votes: 2663
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f844d5dd-3a4f-4d5f-a068-efefb9ec8a0c

### Brentford vs Chelsea
Predict the result of Brentford vs Chelsea in the Premier League.
- YES: 34.32% | NO: 65.68%
- Total votes: 2206
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/13ffadcb-3cb1-4368-a7fc-3ac20ad586d8

### Lecce vs Monza
Predict the result of Lecce vs Monza in the Serie A.
- YES: 33.32% | NO: 66.68%
- Total votes: 3427
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4a67a103-efb6-446a-9f4d-2c19a7e79a8e

### Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano
Predict the result of Real Madrid vs Rayo Vallecano in the La Liga.
- YES: 36.46% | NO: 63.54%
- Total votes: 2584
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/133f6369-7e12-4fb3-a9fd-7cf1a87a1242

## Crypto (14 markets)

### ETH Flippening in 2026
The long-awaited flippening debate.
- YES: 30.2% | NO: 69.8%
- Total votes: 32102
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/45ede71b-b54e-4c2b-8e86-9af50ef2d567

### Solana Above $500?
Solana's high-speed blockchain continues to gain traction.
- YES: 33.37% | NO: 66.63%
- Total votes: 34441
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/b2fa2a5e-62b0-4634-9453-761dbed2ee39

### Will a quantum computer crack Bitcoin's encryption before 1st January 2030?
This question resolves YES if a quantum computer successfully breaks Bitcoin's SHA-256 encryption, as verified by a peer-reviewed paper or major cryptographic institution (e.g., NIST) on or before 1 January 2030 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 59.73% | NO: 40.27%
- Total votes: 19743
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6eeb75a7-f678-42a7-a0a6-97082cb31e91

### ₿ Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 27.15% | NO: 72.85%
- Total votes: 19472
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6f12d6ce-8d5b-4d07-ae31-eb82ab01c8ae

### DOGE above $1 in 2026?
Dogecoin's price has been volatile, influenced by social media trends and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk. The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing renewed interest, with major coins seeing significant gains. Reaching $1 would represent a major milestone for DOGE, which has struggled to maintain high valuations despite its popularity.
- YES: 28.84% | NO: 71.16%
- Total votes: 37357
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/2fb7cecb-8ed6-448d-bd53-017d7cbb0b2a

### Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 69.69% | NO: 30.310000000000002%
- Total votes: 19517
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/c49e9ee8-05b6-4f55-96ea-950bb4c59a4d

### Will Hedera (HBAR) beat its 2024 high before 31st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if HBAR/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.18 at any point on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 68.59% | NO: 31.409999999999997%
- Total votes: 31632
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/4fe7d6cd-efb8-412c-9e44-2a7d167f4bf0

### Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 65.49% | NO: 34.510000000000005%
- Total votes: 19441
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/cbb03be4-3e7d-4db8-80ee-21f1f84bd49e

### Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 29.08% | NO: 70.92%
- Total votes: 19108
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/17e2ce24-546d-4ffa-85c5-96d92f93f7ec

### Will Ethereum hit $10,000 before the end of 2026?
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 before the end of 2026?
- YES: 29.59% | NO: 70.41%
- Total votes: 17257
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/b488934a-3fd0-4911-b2b9-ce35617b43c8

### Will Ethereum hit $10,000 before the end of 2026?
- YES: 33.16% | NO: 66.84%
- Total votes: 17181
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/54a19298-e4d9-4f8f-a1b0-a918879ed074

### WILL ETHEREUM HIT $10,000 IN 2026?
WILL ETHEREUM HIT $10,000 IN 2026?
- YES: 29.33% | NO: 70.67%
- Total votes: 14478
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/acd24d98-99d9-46de-8b15-6d95b68e6dfa

### WILL ETHEREUM HIT $10,000 IN 2026?
- YES: 70.36% | NO: 29.64%
- Total votes: 14992
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/c1e528e2-1f14-4cf1-859f-b9e175f92096

### WILL BITCOIN HIT $150,000 BY YEAR END?
- YES: 74.35% | NO: 25.650000000000006%
- Total votes: 14863
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/8b5f1a9b-57d6-4844-9447-2a9e82f50935

## Politics (28 markets)

### Will the prison population in England and Wales reach 90,000 on or before 30 September 2026?
The next UK general election is expected by 2029.
- YES: 36.08% | NO: 63.92%
- Total votes: 39289
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5e4fef73-ddc0-446c-8a99-01cc65d11a03

### Trump Executive Orders Count
Tracking presidential executive action volume.
- YES: 33.36% | NO: 66.64%
- Total votes: 42731
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/0a959df4-2563-4979-83fe-51ed500ef186

### Will the UK have fewer than 15 frigates and destroyers by year end?
Official Ministry of Defence or Royal Navy statement confirming the total number of active frigates and destroyers is 15 or fewer by 2026-12-31.
- YES: 58.08% | NO: 41.92%
- Total votes: 15036
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/3e78e07b-6a38-47ca-9ee3-2ff3e0db1de8

### Will Nigel Farage be Reform UK leader on 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Nigel Farage holds the official position of Reform UK leader on 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO if he has resigned, been replaced, or the party has dissolved. Source: Reform UK official announcements.
- YES: 62.96% | NO: 37.04%
- Total votes: 39650
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/3b4b70be-20cc-4612-92c3-6c5d42aaa792

### Will the UK government move to block X entirely over the Grok child-imagery scandal?
- YES: 33.87% | NO: 66.13%
- Total votes: 26503
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/c77fe811-4982-421a-b9cc-18439abfbc9f

### Reform are surging and the pressure's on — is Keir Starmer still PM by the end of 2026?
- YES: 34.81% | NO: 65.19%
- Total votes: 27835
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/7e42e034-def6-4d55-ba97-7a806706c4c2

### Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028?
This question resolves YES if Kamala Harris is officially nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for President at the 2028 Democratic National Convention. Resolves NO if any other candidate is nominated. Source: official DNC convention results.
- YES: 63.29% | NO: 36.71%
- Total votes: 40032
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/9e654fde-dfdd-4ff0-9839-bdd81edfe70d

### Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?
- YES: 34.94% | NO: 65.06%
- Total votes: 47645
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/d9af4259-648e-44a5-965f-c5bd6c3fcef9

### Will Kulbergs call a snap election before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Andris Kulbergs calls a snap election (Saeima dissolved early) before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Latvian government announcements.
- YES: 66.65% | NO: 33.349999999999994%
- Total votes: 32368
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/d0c9cf93-2e3e-436b-a79b-8b6ff78da9be

### Wes Streeting as Labour leader before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Wes Streeting holds the office of Labour Party leader on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Labour Party announcements.
- YES: 64.77% | NO: 35.230000000000004%
- Total votes: 36971
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/b9ee0d99-f524-402f-9ea8-b5d252b305f7

### Reform surging, Westminster on edge — a UK election before 2026's out?
- YES: 66.3% | NO: 33.7%
- Total votes: 28611
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/e3633e64-bc5b-484e-807a-3c65eb9af987

### Is Kulbergs still PM of Latvia on 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if Andris Kulbergs holds the office of Prime Minister of Latvia on 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Latvian government announcements.
- YES: 63.96% | NO: 36.04%
- Total votes: 33559
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/39b4751c-6692-417e-8e41-c42d6c694d98

### Will Latvia call a snap election before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Saeima (Latvian parliament) is dissolved and a snap election is called on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Latvian government announcements.
- YES: 63.83% | NO: 36.17%
- Total votes: 32358
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5cae081a-489b-449e-bbd1-f0f309788ba3

### Will NHS waiting lists fall below 6 million by 2027?
Wes Streeting promised to 'fix the front door' of the NHS, but waiting lists have barely budged from their 2024 peak. Industrial action, workforce shortages, and rising demand continue to strain the system.
- YES: 12.17% | NO: 87.83%
- Total votes: 18474
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/efa421c7-aff3-43cf-85c3-d544339a8337

### Will Democrats take back the House in the midterms?
- YES: 63.83% | NO: 36.17%
- Total votes: 23230
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/f414966b-50ce-4594-8cfa-1581d5df72ff

### Will Democrats take back the House in the midterms?
- YES: 64.98% | NO: 35.019999999999996%
- Total votes: 23888
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/e7d39993-ccb4-4cf6-a29a-e7cb9bbdfe83

### Will free school meals be extended to all primary children?
London already provides universal free school meals for primary children. Research shows it improves attendance and attainment, especially for children just above the eligibility threshold. The cost would be £1.5 billion.
- YES: 29.85% | NO: 70.15%
- Total votes: 17356
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/6036aabf-7895-4b6d-a1ed-3c762bab0361

### Will the UK declare a formal climate emergency in law?
The 2019 parliamentary declaration was symbolic. Campaigners want legal force — requiring the government to treat climate change as a national emergency with emergency powers and fast-tracked legislation.
- YES: 13.48% | NO: 86.52%
- Total votes: 18271
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/4d839552-8fa6-463d-a86d-f2b6b2be1e84

### Can Starmer survive as PM until the May 2027 local elections?
This question resolves YES if Keir Starmer holds the office of Prime Minister on 6 May 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if he has resigned, been replaced, or a general election has produced a different PM. Source: official UK government announcements.
- YES: 39.1% | NO: 60.9%
- Total votes: 22445
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/92d6eb4e-26a6-4083-a85a-baffec708636

### Will Keir Starmer resign before the end of 2026?
Will Keir Starmer resign before the end of 2026?
- YES: 65.09% | NO: 34.91%
- Total votes: 22115
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/80e28507-7630-4617-99bb-e8a533da40f0

### Will Democrats take back the House in the midterms?
- YES: 64.96% | NO: 35.040000000000006%
- Total votes: 9196
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/447a762b-adb9-48dc-9179-5141a9634f0a

### Will Keir Starmer resign before the end of 2026?
- YES: 64.14% | NO: 35.86%
- Total votes: 18391
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/34a160da-b21f-4b99-b611-e4b06931d1f8

### Will police make an arrest in the Reform UK donations investigation before 1 November 2026?
- YES: 65.2% | NO: 34.8%
- Total votes: 18761
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/58f2f62c-e2a6-4b40-9138-82c968de622c

### Saudi-Israel normalization deal signed before 2028?
This question resolves YES if Saudi Arabia and Israel sign a formal normalization agreement (e.g., a peace treaty or full diplomatic relations) on or before 1 January 2028 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official announcements from both governments or the US State Department.
- YES: 51.47% | NO: 48.53%
- Total votes: 5380
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/a7187331-d026-4e12-ac45-982ad90d6152

### Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic nomination?
This question resolves YES if Kamala Harris is formally nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for President at the 2028 Democratic National Convention. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Democratic National Committee announcement.
- YES: 63.28% | NO: 36.72%
- Total votes: 12102
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/a3135efd-2945-463b-94b7-25e051552f37

### Can the Home Office issue revised asylum guidance without 'don't rape' line by 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Home Office publishes revised guidance to asylum seekers that no longer contains the warnings against rape, sexual assault, and making kissing noises, on or before 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Home Office publications.
- YES: 61.03% | NO: 38.97%
- Total votes: 11956
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5e86413f-86ee-4fe2-9da0-998af4f49662

### Can Burnham secure a devolution deal before the 2026 party conferences?
This question resolves YES if a formal devolution agreement, including the transfer of significant civil service resources, is signed between the UK government and Greater Manchester Combined Authority by 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official UK government or GMCA announcements.
- YES: 57.92% | NO: 42.08%
- Total votes: 4807
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/c238d0d0-d118-49ee-a1f0-85762279a9cc

### Can Natalie Harp survive as Trump aide until 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Natalie Harp holds an official position in the Trump administration or campaign on 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO if she has resigned, been fired, or no longer holds any such position. Source: official White House staff directory or campaign announcements.
- YES: 60.55% | NO: 39.45%
- Total votes: 7577
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/0ce3f7c9-0234-45de-a308-17a1d96d6288

## Showbiz (25 markets)

### Best Picture Oscar 2027
The race for Hollywood's top prize.
- YES: 73.17% | NO: 26.83%
- Total votes: 28095
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/06f01dfe-e850-4171-b391-43d9ab9580c5

### Will a Spice Girls documentary or biopic get announced by end of 2026?
Official announcement from a studio, network, or streaming service confirming a Spice Girls documentary or biopic for release by 2026-12-31.
- YES: 75.1% | NO: 24.900000000000006%
- Total votes: 12026
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/5fa00842-a412-4598-b374-b3547919c5ad

### Will the BBC scrap the licence fee before 2027?
Official announcement from the UK government or the BBC confirming the abolition of the television licence fee, or a government white paper/legislation tabled in Parliament with that explicit aim.
- YES: 25.86% | NO: 74.14%
- Total votes: 12647
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/b52121ff-294f-4f80-af18-e9f71fcba82a

### Will the true crime series 'The Night Caller' get a season 2 before 2027?
This question resolves YES if a second season of the true crime series 'The Night Caller' is officially announced for release on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: platform press release or official social media.
- YES: 79.62% | NO: 20.379999999999995%
- Total votes: 20631
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/20119292-204e-4326-95c5-5d222b6fe8c4

### Will The Apprentice winner's business survive until Christmas?
Public announcement of business closure or Lord Sugar confirming the investment has been withdrawn by 31 Dec 2026.
- YES: 28.2% | NO: 71.8%
- Total votes: 13058
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/67de067a-98d4-470f-9dd0-42bfb0732e80

### Will the Apple TV+ thriller with the Peaky Blinders star be rated Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes?
This question resolves YES if the Apple TV+ thriller series (featuring the Peaky Blinders star and created by the acclaimed writer) achieves a 'Fresh' rating (60% or higher) on Rotten Tomatoes for its first season within 30 days of its premiere, on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Rotten Tomatoes official score.
- YES: 77.6% | NO: 22.400000000000006%
- Total votes: 21266
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/1e80f591-836b-42f9-9384-497432e7ecb5

### Will Sandrine Holt appear in Daredevil: Born Again before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Sandrine Holt is officially credited as appearing in any episode of Daredevil: Born Again that premieres on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Disney+ credits or Marvel Studios press release.
- YES: 78.51% | NO: 21.489999999999995%
- Total votes: 22014
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/7d138c3c-04c2-4af7-96f7-d5e3894dbdff

### Will 'Is Something Very Bad Is Going To Happen' get a Season 2 on Netflix?
This question resolves YES if Netflix officially announces a second season of 'Is Something Very Bad Is Going To Happen' on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Netflix press release or verified Netflix social media account.
- YES: 78.15% | NO: 21.849999999999994%
- Total votes: 22155
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/962eb464-f47d-4727-8588-49b0e0f279b9

### Will Netflix renew Age of Attraction for season 2 before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Netflix officially announces a second season of Age of Attraction for release on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Netflix press release or official social media.
- YES: 77.69% | NO: 22.310000000000002%
- Total votes: 22186
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/42f65ed5-2a77-46ed-9194-5aabaef3b745

### Will Paul Anderson appear in The Immortal Man Season 2?
This question resolves YES if Paul Anderson is officially announced as part of the cast for Season 2 of The Immortal Man, or appears in any Season 2 episode, on or before 30 June 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official casting announcement or credits in the released season.
- YES: 76.88% | NO: 23.120000000000005%
- Total votes: 22651
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/37b99f12-6ff3-4fd0-8bd0-84e47ef2b17c

### Will The Odyssey gross over $500M globally by 1st September 2027?
This question resolves YES if The Odyssey (2027) grosses $500 million or more globally by 1 September 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Box Office Mojo or official distributor figures.
- YES: 72.15% | NO: 27.849999999999994%
- Total votes: 14871
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/9025df4b-c8eb-436d-80db-2e18e2365094

### Will Miles Morales appear in Spider-Man: Brand New Day before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Miles Morales appears as a character (live-action or voice) in the film Spider-Man: Brand New Day, confirmed by official Marvel Studios or Sony announcement or the film's credits, on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official studio announcement or final credits.
- YES: 74.82% | NO: 25.180000000000007%
- Total votes: 12103
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/0a61dc93-40c6-4050-a11d-426665f312bc

### Will the Strictly curse strike again in 2026?
Resolves 'Yes' if any celebrity or pro in the 2026 series is reported by a major UK tabloid (Sun, Mirror, Mail) to have split from their long-term partner during or within 3 months after the series ends. 'No' if no such reports.
- YES: 71.16% | NO: 28.840000000000003%
- Total votes: 1328
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/61519a85-65ed-43ce-b2b7-a2f8d0f1eadd

### Who will be the first celebrity eliminated from Strictly 2026?
Resolves based on the first celebrity eliminated in the live shows (week 2 or 3, depending on format). The outcome is determined by the gender of that celebrity and whether the pairing is same-sex.
- YES: 17.93% | NO: 82.07%
- Total votes: 3357
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/bc282f9a-3d5e-470e-ba88-8894b181559d

### Will a Strictly pro leave the show before the 2026 final?
Resolves 'Yes' if any professional dancer is officially confirmed to have left the show (due to injury, dismissal, or personal reasons) before the live final on 19 December 2026. 'No' if all pros remain until the final.
- YES: 79.07% | NO: 20.930000000000007%
- Total votes: 3665
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/3d3be0f1-7b2c-47d4-95df-2c8cead74ad9

### WILL 'THE ODYSSEY' BE 2026'S HIGHEST-GROSSING MOVIE?
- YES: 81.59% | NO: 18.409999999999997%
- Total votes: 8728
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/5d40cd1f-f2f3-40ba-b485-47818c2fc3a2

### WILL 'THE ODYSSEY' BE 2026'S HIGHEST-GROSSING MOVIE?
- YES: 19.36% | NO: 80.64%
- Total votes: 9214
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/fb34950a-06b6-48c9-b99f-ab6c8136f3b7

### Will the Strictly curse strike again in 2026?
Resolves 'Yes' if any celebrity or professional in the 2026 season publicly confirms a new relationship with a partner/crew member (or their previous relationship ends amid rumours) before the final.
- YES: 78.06% | NO: 21.939999999999998%
- Total votes: 3214
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/59b6d2c0-2906-434d-98b0-121ff2f55457

### Will a professional dancer leave before the final?
Resolves 'Yes' if any professional dancer (as listed on the official Strictly site) is removed from the lineup or announces departure before the final show.
- YES: 19.71% | NO: 80.28999999999999%
- Total votes: 3054
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/057af2dc-1e3e-4ba5-8522-2e7101f06f70

### Will Akira crack the IMDb Top 250 by 31st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if Akira (1989) appears on the IMDb Top 250 movies list as of 31st December 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: IMDb official Top 250 list.
- YES: 62.41% | NO: 37.59%
- Total votes: 4629
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/84beaa5d-8cfe-4a58-8e9b-d3201781cb27

### Will Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce announce they're expecting before 2026 ends?
- YES: 82.89% | NO: 17.11%
- Total votes: 3313
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/26df2a70-109c-412e-866a-4535fb1b16d8

### Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day cross $2 billion worldwide by the end of its run?
- YES: 77.59% | NO: 22.409999999999997%
- Total votes: 1080
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/26665137-231d-44c9-9730-2286fd329ac2

### Will any celebrity score a perfect 40 before Week 6?
Resolves 'Yes' if any couple receives a score of 40 from the judges during any of the first five weeks of live shows (Weeks 1-5). 'No' if the first 40 happens in Week 6 or later, or never.
- YES: 79.68% | NO: 20.319999999999993%
- Total votes: 3869
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/74cc9516-c6c6-4d93-8ec0-b21fd2edf699

### Will 9/11 Reunited be the most-watched Nat Geo UK doc of 2026?
Resolves YES if the premiere of 9/11 Reunited on National Geographic UK (21 Aug 2026) records the highest UK viewership of any National Geographic UK documentary premiering in 2026, based on official BARB figures. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 57.96% | NO: 42.04%
- Total votes: 3394
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/12a3200a-1085-453b-929a-447db2d345e3

### Will Lindsay Clancy face a retrial?
CLANCY TRIAL SHOCK: NO VERDICT. WHAT NOW?

Lindsay Clancy’s murder trial ended in a mistrial on 4 September after jurors failed to agree whether she was criminally responsible for killing her three children. Her defence argued postpartum psychosis; prosecutors said she acted deliberately. With no verdict reached, a second trial remains possible.
- YES: 49.51% | NO: 50.49%
- Total votes: 406
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/6eb47956-042a-44ca-a9a5-4250f8f15882

## Tech (8 markets)

### Will OpenAI release a model branded "GPT-6" before 31 December 2026?
The most debated question in AI research.
- YES: 64.06% | NO: 35.94%
- Total votes: 15271
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/7606a1da-87ef-4340-aa33-03a1045e802e

### SpaceX Mars Landing by 2028?
Elon Musk's ambitious Mars timeline.
- YES: 65.33% | NO: 34.67%
- Total votes: 16217
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/ce0d5d8d-abab-4ed4-8220-f556adf3d0ff

### Apple AR Glasses 2026
Rumors of a lighter, cheaper Apple AR device.
- YES: 71.2% | NO: 28.799999999999997%
- Total votes: 13629
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/6bac3cb8-424f-4bd9-a26a-223a4d28914b

### Will Ofcom legally force Elon Musk's X to restrict or block Grok AI in the UK over the deepfake investigation — before 30 September 2026?
- YES: 21.83% | NO: 78.17%
- Total votes: 12711
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/3c55a84d-51a8-43f5-9797-a441759009bc

### Kash Patel sued by Beastie Boys before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Beastie Boys or their estate files a copyright infringement lawsuit against Kash Patel on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: court records or official announcement.
- YES: 52.55% | NO: 47.45%
- Total votes: 5176
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/92190869-7336-4088-adc2-0ac5d4afd176

### Pennsylvania settles with Character.AI before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Pennsylvania and Character.AI reach a settlement agreement in the lawsuit over the chatbot posing as a doctor, confirmed by court filing or official announcement on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: court records or official press release.
- YES: 60.05% | NO: 39.95%
- Total votes: 5922
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/18b5ab9a-732d-45b0-968d-c1853b147f2a

### Scott Turow wins Meta copyright lawsuit before 2027?
This question resolves YES if a court or jury rules in favor of Scott Turow and the publishing houses in their copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta, on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO if Meta wins or the case is dismissed. Source: official court ruling.
- YES: 64.21% | NO: 35.790000000000006%
- Total votes: 4798
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/7e71f725-be99-434d-9708-4ee48f4b43b1

### Can Andrew Ng publicly endorse fully open-source AI models before 1st October 2026?
Resolves YES if Andrew Ng publicly states that all AI models should be fully open-source (weights, code, data) before 1 October 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official statements or credible news reports.
- YES: 50.14% | NO: 49.86%
- Total votes: 6071
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/1fabbf49-edaf-4a60-b37a-a501fbeab62f

## World (24 markets)

### Can Pope Leo XIV's AI encyclical shift EU AI Act amendments before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the European Parliament or European Commission formally references Pope Leo XIV's encyclical 'Magnifica humanitas' in any amendment or official communication regarding the EU AI Act on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official EU legislative records.
- YES: 78.94% | NO: 21.060000000000002%
- Total votes: 18745
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/d7831ba4-7b97-409e-9ead-dcf63f50acb0

### Will 2026 be the hottest year ever recorded?
- YES: 17.87% | NO: 82.13%
- Total votes: 12980
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/c6cfc0eb-9649-4520-a1b7-2c2247b90f8e

### Will Meta's AI data centre spending exceed $100bn globally by end of 2026?
This question resolves YES if Meta's cumulative announced or confirmed capital expenditure on AI data centres and infrastructure — across all global projects — reaches or exceeds $100 billion by 31 December 2026 at 23:59 GMT, as reported by Meta's official earnings filings (SEC 10-K or quarterly reports) or confirmed by Reuters/Bloomberg. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 27.95% | NO: 72.05%
- Total votes: 22345
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/8f188ae4-aa1e-44ba-b051-a0ae1dfca23a

### Will US ground forces enter Iran before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if US Department of Defense confirms US ground troops have crossed into Iranian territory on or before 15th of April 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Pentagon statements or major wire services (Reuters, AP).
- YES: 72.78% | NO: 27.22%
- Total votes: 22902
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/d5e6f0cc-1d98-4abf-a6fb-a1b06c71607e

### Will a 5% wealth tax on US billionaires pass Congress before 2028?
This question resolves YES if the US Congress passes legislation imposing a 5% annual wealth tax on billionaires (individuals with net worth exceeding $1 billion) on or before 1 January 2028. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Congressional records.
- YES: 19.95% | NO: 80.05%
- Total votes: 19976
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/7cf9dba2-79e2-4efb-a49c-11d530c8c500

### Thailand enforces fire safety inspections at all entertainment venues before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Thai government announces and begins a nationwide fire safety inspection of all licensed entertainment venues on or before 1 October 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Thai government announcement or news report from Reuters/AP.
- YES: 28.9% | NO: 71.1%
- Total votes: 12095
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/793f033e-9ebd-4bbf-81fd-08bea32b7aec

### Will Rachel Reeves' mansion tax pass into UK law before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the mansion tax legislation receives Royal Assent and becomes UK law on or before 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if it has not received Royal Assent by that deadline, including if it is withdrawn, delayed, or defeated. Source: UK Parliament official records and GOV.UK legislation portal.
- YES: 76.57% | NO: 23.430000000000007%
- Total votes: 10953
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/ff0b5d12-d4b1-40fc-8f4b-cfd0276897bf

### Jessica Pegula in WTA top 5 on 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Jessica Pegula's official WTA singles ranking is 5th or higher in the rankings published on 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: WTA official rankings.
- YES: 75.62% | NO: 24.379999999999995%
- Total votes: 22232
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/a6da41a6-ed24-4b7c-a3d7-1e91755497b9

### Jessica Pegula wins a Grand Slam before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Jessica Pegula wins a singles Grand Slam title (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, or US Open) on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official tournament results.
- YES: 79.72% | NO: 20.28%
- Total votes: 21469
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/745380fc-f9e3-48b1-a31b-1a90e2469d1d

### Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election as declared by the TSE. If none of the listed candidates win, resolves to 'Other'. Source: official TSE results.
- YES: 78.72% | NO: 21.28%
- Total votes: 21691
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/6069ae2b-9753-496e-ab77-d44d4fd0a31a

### Will Asia's coal consumption increase by 10%+ in 2026 due to the Iran war?
This question resolves YES if the International Energy Agency's 2026 report shows Asia's coal consumption increased by 10% or more compared to 2025 levels. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: IEA annual coal market report.
- YES: 25.61% | NO: 74.39%
- Total votes: 22083
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/80d14297-2636-45ee-8989-317ef5d4823f

### Will Meta's smartglasses be banned in UK public spaces before 1st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if the UK government or a UK legislative body (Parliament, devolved assembly) passes legislation specifically banning Meta smartglasses from public spaces (pubs, restaurants, transport, etc.) on or before 1 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official government publications or parliamentary records.
- YES: 80% | NO: 20%
- Total votes: 20452
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/5520a0cf-a28e-4af9-94f2-2b07b3577f72

### Will a photo from today's top world pictures become a viral meme before 1st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if a photograph featured in major news outlets' 'top pictures of the day' on the date of question publication generates over 100,000 shares/uses as a meme template on social media platforms (X/Twitter, Instagram, TikTok) on or before 1st December 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: social media analytics and meme tracking sites.
- YES: 78% | NO: 22%
- Total votes: 11014
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/04ea01f4-be3e-4333-8a1f-1eb15b84142a

### Can Albania's Sazan tourism project proceed before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Albanian government confirms a signed contract with a developer for tourism construction on Sazan Island on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 CET. Resolves NO if the project is officially cancelled or delayed beyond that date. Source: Albanian Ministry of Tourism official statement.
- YES: 77.2% | NO: 22.799999999999997%
- Total votes: 18521
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/506b57b8-5985-4abd-8489-080ab059c87c

### Is Sir Garfield Sobers the greatest all-rounder in cricket history?
This question resolves YES if a majority of a panel of five cricket historians (selected by ESPNcricinfo) declares Sir Garfield Sobers the greatest all-rounder in a published article on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: ESPNcricinfo.
- YES: 75.99% | NO: 24.010000000000005%
- Total votes: 10428
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/84929cf5-66c4-4276-8f95-a95359f8ef94

### Can Josh Kerr break 3:42 in the mile before 1st July 2027?
This question resolves YES if Josh Kerr runs a mile in under 3:42.00 in an official World Athletics-sanctioned event before 1 July 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 71.75% | NO: 28.25%
- Total votes: 11744
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/46ef2e0f-e382-4218-b83d-c630ae216b8d

### Will 2026 be the hottest year ever recorded?
- YES: 17.5% | NO: 82.5%
- Total votes: 9754
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/817d8210-0f21-4f4b-b4ab-cbc5109aed48

### China's Long March 10B booster reused in a second launch within 12 months?
This question resolves YES if the same Long March 10B booster that was successfully recovered using the net-based system is used in a second orbital launch, as confirmed by the China National Space Administration (CNSA) or official Chinese media, on or before 12 July 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 75.75% | NO: 24.25%
- Total votes: 11004
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/1522c0f2-38eb-4fc4-b16c-661764779443

### Will a second confirmed JADEPUFFER-attributed ransomware attack hit a UK organisation before 1 October 2026?
- YES: 17.67% | NO: 82.33%
- Total votes: 10500
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/08cd7a6e-29a8-4317-9102-25c66395dbf4

### Can Josh Kerr win Olympic 1500m gold in 2028?
This question resolves YES if Josh Kerr wins the men's 1500m gold medal at the 2028 Los Angeles Olympic Games. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Olympic results from the IOC.
- YES: 75.35% | NO: 24.650000000000006%
- Total votes: 9674
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/2d7cf796-14be-4a2f-b2b3-5e8664b8d2ef

### Russian Olympic Committee suspension lifted by 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the IOC officially confirms the full lifting of the Russian Olympic Committee suspension on or before 1 October 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: IOC official press release.
- YES: 67.86% | NO: 32.14%
- Total votes: 12589
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/b3e39a0f-407b-43a0-ada2-4b85a85ad38a

### Zimbabwe ferry disaster inquiry completed before 1st November 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Government of Zimbabwe publishes an official inquiry report into the Mbuya Nehanda ferry capsizing on or before 1 November 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Zimbabwean government publication.
- YES: 67.73% | NO: 32.269999999999996%
- Total votes: 7080
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/a020eb6f-4c25-4de3-a0a2-bbd03294b705

### Will Demi Vollering win the 2027 Tour de France Femmes?
This question resolves YES if Demi Vollering is declared the overall winner of the 2027 Tour de France Femmes. Source: official race results from the Amaury Sport Organisation (ASO). Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 73.73% | NO: 26.269999999999996%
- Total votes: 6551
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/3bd1aefc-d93c-4e1e-b050-a9afbe00ca5a

### Safety audit of Lake Kariba ferries completed before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Zimbabwean government or its designated authority publishes a completed safety audit of passenger ferries operating on Lake Kariba on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official government publication.
- YES: 59.09% | NO: 40.91%
- Total votes: 3036
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/2fe48152-1b69-422b-a3c9-4cd5b21d8a1b

## Finance (8 markets)

### Will the UK unemployment rate exceed 5% before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the ONS Labour Market Statistics release published on or before 1 October 2026 shows the UK unemployment rate at 5.0% or above for any reported monthly period. Resolves NO if no such release shows the rate at or above 5.0% by the deadline. Source: ONS official Labour Market Overview. If the ONS delays publication, resolves when the next available release is published.
- YES: 49.87% | NO: 50.13%
- Total votes: 3076
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/2fe73503-26a9-4de3-b65d-ab57af12c87b

### Oil hits $100/barrel again in 2026?
Oil hasn't sustainably traded above $100 since 2022. For it to return there, a major supply shock or surge in demand would be needed. Most analysts see this as unlikely given the energy transition.
- YES: 29.74% | NO: 70.26%
- Total votes: 34674
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/9f8be0f0-811b-4654-adbb-926bfdf9ff92

### Will the average UK council tax bill exceed £2,500/year before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the UK government's official statistics for the average Band D council tax bill in England reaches or exceeds £2,500 per year in any financial year starting on or before 1 April 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities official release.
- YES: 73.74% | NO: 26.260000000000005%
- Total votes: 27823
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/5dc2676f-8b11-4bb1-a8a3-7b3a7b330fb0

### Will HMRC's allowance cuts affect over 5 million taxpayers before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if HMRC or ONS data confirms that 5 million or more UK taxpayers are negatively impacted by the allowance cuts announced in the 2026 Budget (e.g., reduced personal allowance, savings allowance) on or before 1st January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: HMRC official statistics or ONS report.
- YES: 71.22% | NO: 28.78%
- Total votes: 15446
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/1a4fa6df-f418-44fd-85d0-10a095d5f5e3

### Will the average UK water bill exceed £600/year before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the average household water and sewerage bill in England and Wales, as published by Water UK, reaches or exceeds £600 per year in any financial year starting on or before 1 April 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Water UK's annual 'Water Matters' report.
- YES: 61.46% | NO: 38.54%
- Total votes: 31088
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/6ff95982-9763-4a0d-99a6-6a1b561bc42d

### Will HMRC send Winter Fuel Payment letters to all 1.3 million pensioners before 1st November 2026?
This question resolves YES if HMRC confirms all 1.3 million Winter Fuel Payment letters have been dispatched and delivered to eligible pensioners on or before 1st November 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: HMRC official announcement or press release.
- YES: 77.12% | NO: 22.879999999999995%
- Total votes: 26572
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/129ed107-5fd2-4c23-893f-7e3aad5a7c9d

### Will the Bank of England base rate fall below 4% before 1st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Bank of England MPC officially sets the base rate below 4.0% in any announcement published on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Source: Bank of England official MPC decisions. Resolves NO if the base rate has not dropped below 4.0% by the deadline. If an MPC meeting is postponed, resolves based on the next available announcement.
- YES: 45.45% | NO: 54.55%
- Total votes: 7358
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/baba0ba3-d309-4f09-a4d3-6dc1f26fd243

### Will the US private credit market suffer a high-profile default before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if a private credit fund or direct lender with $1bn or more in assets under management publicly announces a default, suspension of redemptions, or emergency restructuring on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 EST. Source: Bloomberg, Financial Times, or Reuters confirmed reporting. Resolves NO if no such event is reported by that date.
- YES: 66.28% | NO: 33.72%
- Total votes: 28015
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/f13bb811-1474-4227-a076-c7fbd82846ec