# PeoplesOdds — Active Markets

> Free-to-play prediction platform. The free alternative to Polymarket.
> Browse and vote on real-world outcomes at https://www.peoplesodds.com

Generated: 2026-07-11T17:16:59.256Z
Total active markets: 200

## Sports (79 markets)

### Will Pep Guardiola still be Manchester City manager on Monday 1 June 2026?
A new era of F1 regulations shakes up the grid.
- YES: 54.21% | NO: 45.79%
- Total votes: 25289
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/e8db7a9a-7d47-4162-ba1e-e5a3451c6b0e

### NBA Finals 2026 MVP
The MVP race for the biggest stage in basketball.
- YES: 55.66% | NO: 44.34%
- Total votes: 22826
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fd628c47-63f8-4fc9-ac39-b7ffd1682202

### Will Chelsea face a points deduction before the 2026/27 season starts?
This question resolves YES if the Premier League officially deducts points from Chelsea for the 2026/27 season on or before 8 August 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Premier League statement.
- YES: 37.73% | NO: 62.27%
- Total votes: 25377
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8ebc4ee5-86ca-4c49-b2d0-77e802450bd6

### Where will Adam Wharton play in the 2026/27 season?
Resolves to the club Adam Wharton is registered with for the 2026/27 Premier League season as of 1 September 2026. Source: official Premier League squad lists.
- YES: 61.82% | NO: 38.18%
- Total votes: 27989
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/877812a0-cb2a-4c2e-b15d-baa651648e97

### Will England win a single knockout game at the World Cup this year?
The England men's senior football team wins a match in the knockout stage (Round of 16 or beyond) of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
- YES: 62.22% | NO: 37.78%
- Total votes: 23441
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b005de0d-a3b5-483b-b8f4-b852a75b03d3

### Will Conor McGregor fight in 2026?
Conor McGregor, a former UFC champion, has not fought since July 2021 due to injury and other ventures, fueling speculation about his retirement. His potential return is a major topic in combat sports, with fans and analysts debating his future impact on UFC events and pay-per-view sales. Recent discussions have centered on his training updates and UFC's efforts to book high-profile fights, making 2026 a key year for his career trajectory.
- YES: 78.1% | NO: 21.900000000000006%
- Total votes: 33271
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/1cd931d1-e738-4079-b375-48ff2de3ec04

### Will Junior Kroupi sign for Manchester United before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Manchester United officially announce the signing of Junior Kroupi from AFC Bournemouth on or before 1 September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official club announcements.
- YES: 63.07% | NO: 36.93%
- Total votes: 24219
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/3fda5cb1-01fb-44a9-b4eb-8a94ae6bada5

### Will the LEGO Messi mini-figure outsell the Ronaldo one before the World Cup final?
This question resolves YES if, according to LEGO's official sales data or a major retail analyst report (e.g., NPD Group), the Lionel Messi World Cup mini-figure records higher unit sales than the Cristiano Ronaldo mini-figure in the period from launch until 19 July 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO if Ronaldo's outsells Messi's. Source: LEGO or reputable retail analyst report.
- YES: 45.45% | NO: 54.55%
- Total votes: 22916
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/054aaed2-d825-423e-a3cc-dbd6cdb632fd

### Will England appoint a foreign manager before Euro 2028?
This question resolves YES if the Football Association officially appoints a non-English citizen as head coach of the England men's national team on or before the start of UEFA Euro 2028 (14 June 2028). Resolves NO if the manager is English. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 60% | NO: 40%
- Total votes: 34605
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/865534e5-1a07-452b-aa0a-baf2e4cf9920

### Will England reach the semi-finals of the 2026 World Cup?
This question resolves YES if England are confirmed as semi-final participants at the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Resolves NO if England are eliminated before the semi-finals. Source: official FIFA match records.
- YES: 59.41% | NO: 40.59%
- Total votes: 25470
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/675e2e3d-2863-48d1-8b86-e1e1a806320b

### Will the next permanent England manager be English?
This question resolves YES if the next permanent head coach of the England men's national football team appointed by the FA holds English citizenship. Resolves NO if they hold any other citizenship. Source: official FA announcement.
- YES: 61.35% | NO: 38.65%
- Total votes: 26289
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5b743b41-dfed-4d02-b47f-8f06b8f4addc

### Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
This question resolves YES if Erling Haaland wins the 2026 Ballon d'Or award. Resolves NO if any other player wins. Source: official Ballon d'Or announcement.
- YES: 42.81% | NO: 57.19%
- Total votes: 24374
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a82361e1-d129-4e24-a806-7ca21572dc63

### Will Wimbledon be forced to pay players more prize money?
- YES: 43.55% | NO: 56.45%
- Total votes: 1860
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/096b6eba-7216-4dec-84ea-0fe28b6c4373

### Who is the greatest of all time — Messi or Ronaldo? Lock in your verdict.
This is a crowd confidence question. It resolves based on the crowd's majority vote at the close of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 19 July 2026. The option with the highest crowd confidence percentage at resolution time is declared the winner. Source: PeoplesOdds crowd data.
- YES: 37.06% | NO: 62.94%
- Total votes: 24141
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d23af85b-ae42-4d46-9ab6-ae605354a29b

### Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas
Predict the winner of Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubas in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 49.47% | NO: 50.53%
- Total votes: 469
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/049760bf-f703-4aef-9d95-010913a80cdb

### Will England reach the 2026 World Cup Final?
England have been consistent contenders, reaching the 2018 semi-finals and Euro 2020 final. With a golden generation led by Bellingham, Rice, and Saka, this could be their year.
- YES: 25.65% | NO: 74.35%
- Total votes: 11773
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/62c66a50-7607-4380-802f-27ee3869d6b8

### 2026 World Cup Winner
The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be the first to feature 48 teams, co-hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico. Recent trends show emerging teams challenging traditional powerhouses.
- YES: 71.92% | NO: 28.08%
- Total votes: 29278
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/636d9d72-bbd6-40be-b02d-8ed0e5c07788

### Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili
Predict the winner of Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvili in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 58.76% | NO: 41.24%
- Total votes: 885
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/6e109fba-c455-4379-a7f2-4fcaebc54a93

### Will US host security concerns cause a team withdrawal by year end?
Official statement from any qualified national team or football association confirming withdrawal from the 2026 World Cup due to US security concerns.
- YES: 54.47% | NO: 45.53%
- Total votes: 20655
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/b125be44-04ef-4efb-9c0b-3d52a6543cb4

### Will another country back Iran's call by year end?
Any other FIFA member nation publicly endorses or supports Iran's call for USA removal by 23:59 GMT on 2026-12-31.
- YES: 65% | NO: 35%
- Total votes: 21020
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5062a6fe-6d01-4318-879a-7f45c1c55807

### Will 'The Wall' at Intuit Dome cause 5+ opponent turnovers in the Clippers' first 10 home games?
This question resolves YES if LA Clippers opponents commit 5 or more turnovers directly attributable to 'The Wall' fan section during the first 10 regular season home games at Intuit Dome in the 2026-27 NBA season. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official NBA play-by-play data and team attribution.
- YES: 55.99% | NO: 44.01%
- Total votes: 25525
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/883072bc-7e85-449f-9263-a301bc0859e1

### Will Pellegrino Matarazzo win a trophy in a top European league before 1st July 2027?
This question resolves YES if Pellegrino Matarazzo wins any domestic cup (e.g., Copa del Rey, DFB-Pokal) or league title in La Liga, Bundesliga, Serie A, Ligue 1, or Premier League on or before 1 July 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official league/federation announcements.
- YES: 53.47% | NO: 46.53%
- Total votes: 20946
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ef5b64a1-8dc0-448c-88fa-3c34a7e65d63

### Will flag football be an Olympic sport by the 2032 Brisbane Games?
This question resolves YES if flag football is included as an official medal sport in the 2032 Brisbane Olympic Games programme. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official IOC announcement.
- YES: 69.7% | NO: 30.299999999999997%
- Total votes: 18446
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d62efb78-23aa-44ff-968f-529e16c73e62

### Alexandre Muller vs Aleksandr Shevchenko
Predict the winner of Alexandre Muller vs Aleksandr Shevchenko in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 57.36% | NO: 42.64%
- Total votes: 910
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/67da93c9-a213-4ff8-832f-c8f3e78db954

### Dominic Stricker vs Jaume Munar
Predict the winner of Dominic Stricker vs Jaume Munar in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 52.19% | NO: 47.81%
- Total votes: 799
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/346b145b-26d4-463d-8209-de30172a7253

### Will Jannik Sinner win the men's French Open singles title on Sunday 7 June 2026?
- YES: 65.97% | NO: 34.03%
- Total votes: 16725
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/31ef7a20-f206-439b-bc16-964df8771c53

### Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Buse
Predict the winner of Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Ignacio Buse in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 42.57% | NO: 57.43%
- Total votes: 343
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/bc8a387c-0889-47cc-aec1-9933185836e5

### Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Josef Schwaerzler
Predict the winner of Lorenzo Sonego vs Joel Josef Schwaerzler in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 44.07% | NO: 55.93%
- Total votes: 733
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/bb3a31cb-3985-461b-b01f-c63b19f5451d

### Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann
Predict the winner of Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 39.84% | NO: 60.16%
- Total votes: 743
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f0368d2b-4949-497f-8c36-ae332be7c591

### Will US host security measures cause a major fan incident by year end?
Credible news report (e.g., Reuters, AP) confirming a security-related incident at a US World Cup venue—such as a stampede, major breach, or violent protest—resulting in significant injury, arrest, or disruption.
- YES: 37.03% | NO: 62.97%
- Total votes: 21760
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d5babb9a-6bee-4eb8-a7ee-5b938f093d66

### Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar
Predict the winner of Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Zdenek Kolar in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 55.35% | NO: 44.65%
- Total votes: 486
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/21dd6092-0a2d-422f-8816-54e88843d463

### Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka
Predict the winner of Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 39.17% | NO: 60.83%
- Total votes: 822
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fec44a6a-7267-4f54-b2cd-9492d3c97cc5

### Norway vs England
Predict the result of Norway vs England in the World Cup 2026.
- YES: 51.05% | NO: 48.95%
- Total votes: 956
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/823789b5-f900-4df0-9922-41a19bc57b3e

### Will Roberto De Zerbi still be Tottenham manager on 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Roberto De Zerbi is still the head coach of Tottenham Hotspur on 1 September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if he has been sacked or resigned. Source: official Tottenham club announcement.
- YES: 65.05% | NO: 34.95%
- Total votes: 25298
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9196863d-f213-4d5a-afe0-08fd90d82900

### Who will be England's top scorer at World Cup 2026?
Resolves to the England player who scores the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If multiple players tie, resolves to the player with fewer minutes played. Source: official FIFA statistics.
- YES: 51.7% | NO: 48.3%
- Total votes: 27089
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/9e067061-512b-4b80-ab50-7c8f6d90486c

### Which continent will produce the 2026 World Cup winner?
This question resolves to the continental confederation of the team that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup final on 19 July 2026. CONMEBOL teams resolve as 'South America', UEFA teams as 'Europe', CONCACAF teams as 'North/Central America', all others as 'Africa/Asia/Other'. Source: official FIFA records.
- YES: 39.3% | NO: 60.7%
- Total votes: 26019
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/eb66a849-5ac2-4e67-8b93-044441bab036

### Will DR Congo's former Man Utd star score at the 2026 World Cup?
This question resolves YES if the former Manchester United player who scored DR Congo's World Cup qualifying goal scores at least one goal during the 2026 FIFA World Cup, confirmed by official FIFA match records. Resolves NO if he does not score in any World Cup match, or if DR Congo are eliminated before he has the opportunity. Source: FIFA official World Cup 2026 match records.
- YES: 58.98% | NO: 41.02%
- Total votes: 28401
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/2bba2b2f-9dc5-449c-82a4-06e983ea8296

### Federico Cina vs Calvin Hemery
Predict the winner of Federico Cina vs Calvin Hemery in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 59.71% | NO: 40.29%
- Total votes: 340
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f339d0e4-bcb9-4172-96d1-430c664fda82

### Will Lionel Messi come out of international retirement for the World Cup?
- YES: 65.32% | NO: 34.68000000000001%
- Total votes: 8914
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fa705408-2450-439a-9787-f8edcd67acfc

### Will Lionel Messi come out of international retirement for the World Cup?
- YES: 37.1% | NO: 62.9%
- Total votes: 7266
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/73d2cc55-595a-427e-be5e-aa147f4fe2b2

### Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteiro
Predict the winner of Dylan Dietrich vs Thiago Monteiro in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 60.89% | NO: 39.11%
- Total votes: 179
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/fa4d3f2c-42f3-4480-b7c2-8d20c9cf569e

### Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Predict the winner of Anna Blinkova vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 48.86% | NO: 51.14%
- Total votes: 438
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/551e64e5-3d7f-4897-943b-302ac6c9e823

### Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li
Predict the winner of Maria Timofeeva vs Ann Li in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 55.07% | NO: 44.93%
- Total votes: 612
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/aa45ad80-bdc1-4097-a7a9-b065877753eb

### Clara Tauson vs Ajla Tomljanovic
Predict the winner of Clara Tauson vs Ajla Tomljanovic in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 58.33% | NO: 41.67%
- Total votes: 396
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f077c2cb-ebc8-430f-8400-b0dd471f1901

### Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova
Predict the winner of Carole Monnet vs Rebeka Masarova in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 54.46% | NO: 45.54%
- Total votes: 415
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a4344a1c-7451-4b8d-a9dc-53fa7fde136b

### Will France win the 2026 World Cup?
- YES: 40.18% | NO: 59.82%
- Total votes: 4975
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/a37a85bf-5d43-4380-8b53-a7a997c1029d

### Will Carlos Alcaraz defend his Wimbledon title?
- YES: 35.77% | NO: 64.22999999999999%
- Total votes: 3316
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c49bac23-dfb7-4f84-9595-c9ff23c0150d

### Will Carlos Alcaraz defend his Wimbledon title?
Will Carlos Alcaraz defend his Wimbledon title?
- YES: 35.85% | NO: 64.15%
- Total votes: 3375
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/10990386-7250-448e-8058-a53384c59533

### Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktoriya Tomova
Predict the winner of Barbora Krejcikova vs Viktoriya Tomova in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 64.64% | NO: 35.36%
- Total votes: 741
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5f5305c6-f3ee-4fe9-bd4e-5015dede4343

### Zheng Qinwen vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
Predict the winner of Zheng Qinwen vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 42.81% | NO: 57.19%
- Total votes: 605
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/8cda005c-bc19-4cde-a72e-af6f7b7751ec

### Magda Linette vs Mai Hontama
Predict the winner of Magda Linette vs Mai Hontama in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 53.96% | NO: 46.04%
- Total votes: 771
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/13890e70-783c-44bf-8e62-284d3185a1df

### Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Alycia Parks
Predict the winner of Valentini Grammatikopoulou vs Alycia Parks in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 62.84% | NO: 37.16%
- Total votes: 366
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/7be2ce20-239a-4db1-ac4e-232d0bedefe4

### Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkari
Predict the winner of Polina Kudermetova vs Maria Sakkari in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 40.99% | NO: 59.01%
- Total votes: 544
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c04c3c5b-b1d1-4f65-8278-325b4b73b208

### Tereza Valentova vs Sofia Costoulas
Predict the winner of Tereza Valentova vs Sofia Costoulas in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 53.19% | NO: 46.81%
- Total votes: 408
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/c756390d-199d-4651-a759-dac492bbad22

### Will Argentina defend the World Cup and win it again?
- YES: 35.06% | NO: 64.94%
- Total votes: 3120
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/3c6da2ee-1737-4657-935d-6f751c99fcbc

### Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov
Predict the winner of Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrov in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 52.77% | NO: 47.23%
- Total votes: 739
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/d4dbfe60-54d4-46b8-b8fc-48ac50c13be5

### Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino
Predict the winner of Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Andrea Pellegrino in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 57.88% | NO: 42.12%
- Total votes: 368
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/909c65fd-aeca-4603-8c6a-dc6682ecfbc6

### Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez
Predict the winner of Max Dahlin vs Sebastian Baez in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 49.9% | NO: 50.1%
- Total votes: 485
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/7767a07c-d5d7-49df-9019-5ad726b8b3f6

### Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston
Predict the winner of Daniel Altmaier vs Hugo Gaston in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 57.06% | NO: 42.94%
- Total votes: 326
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4b52f6c5-bd35-4cfe-8cab-de4367421622

### Lilli Tagger vs Madison Sieg
Predict the winner of Lilli Tagger vs Madison Sieg in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 47.78% | NO: 52.22%
- Total votes: 383
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/bc10ab0f-eb43-4aea-ae19-a7ee1cc851de

### Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
Predict the winner of Sebastian Ofner vs Thiago Agustin Tirante in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 39.79% | NO: 60.21%
- Total votes: 681
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4811b91e-0c87-49cf-b447-cbe31acbea22

### Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame
Predict the winner of Nuno Borges vs Moise Kouame in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 60.33% | NO: 39.67%
- Total votes: 784
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/52981136-a163-4791-aee3-305451a36c4b

### Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler
Predict the winner of Clement Tabur vs Marc-Andrea Huesler in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 49.91% | NO: 50.09%
- Total votes: 551
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/6faa1bf2-140d-434f-80f9-5277125647c0

### Aoi Ito vs Yasmine Mansouri
Predict the winner of Aoi Ito vs Yasmine Mansouri in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 49.3% | NO: 50.7%
- Total votes: 781
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/06c9e38b-b897-4e01-982e-4fe67cc26a05

### Nao Hibino vs Miriana Tona
Predict the winner of Nao Hibino vs Miriana Tona in the Vanda Pharmaceuticals Athens Open.
- YES: 49.7% | NO: 50.3%
- Total votes: 845
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/204d3c66-675f-4461-9b04-73d48c7051cd

### Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandromme
Predict the winner of Mayar Sherif vs Jeline Vandromme in the Grand Est Open 88.
- YES: 39.75% | NO: 60.25%
- Total votes: 571
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/4271491c-b603-4cc8-bf89-2bde573bb163

### Nikola Slavic vs Miguel Damas
Predict the winner of Nikola Slavic vs Miguel Damas in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 57.02% | NO: 42.98%
- Total votes: 563
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/59f260fd-6a23-4db3-8087-a4ceb2270366

### TBD vs TBD
Predict the result of TBD vs TBD in the World Cup 2026.
- YES: 22.7% | NO: 77.3%
- Total votes: 987
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/97404813-dc31-4590-afa4-728ee32889f3

### Elmer Moller vs Thomas Faurel
Predict the winner of Elmer Moller vs Thomas Faurel in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 47.22% | NO: 52.78%
- Total votes: 612
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/19db60ea-fab8-484e-956e-6f070067dbbc

### Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel
Predict the winner of Federico Coria vs Taro Daniel in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 48.63% | NO: 51.37%
- Total votes: 584
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/10bb17dd-763a-4541-b991-6ba186e8a379

### France vs Spain
Predict the result of France vs Spain in the World Cup 2026.
- YES: 34.4% | NO: 65.6%
- Total votes: 1773
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f8278cca-62fc-4034-9202-3eb5a015ed23

### Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko
Predict the winner of Timofey Skatov vs Vitaliy Sachko in the EFG Swiss Open Gstaad.
- YES: 50.21% | NO: 49.79%
- Total votes: 729
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/04390931-3346-40af-82fc-12f83dc32e17

### Argentina vs Switzerland
Predict the result of Argentina vs Switzerland in the World Cup 2026.
- YES: 34.62% | NO: 65.38%
- Total votes: 2386
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/36cd8292-ee41-410c-ad82-5d1519df3ef3

### Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes
Predict the winner of Gonzalo Bueno vs Igor Ribeiro Marcondes in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 57.48% | NO: 42.52%
- Total votes: 802
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/830b6be8-d984-4ca3-8559-ba04c6c94edd

### Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski
Predict the winner of Francesco Passaro vs Maks Kasnikowski in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 53.56% | NO: 46.44%
- Total votes: 491
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/f6db1425-326a-4880-af36-5f446a8e3b9d

### Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira Silva
Predict the winner of Martin Krumich vs Frederico Ferreira Silva in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 53.22% | NO: 46.78%
- Total votes: 451
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/ed227d07-3ff4-4c64-b8eb-02f425df9835

### William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Lautaro Midon
Predict the winner of William Rejchtman Vinciguerra vs Lautaro Midon in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 49.72% | NO: 50.28%
- Total votes: 891
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/5652bc47-c6ee-43ab-b698-6746113667c8

### Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
Predict the winner of Roberto Carballes Baena vs Carlos Sanchez Jover in the Nordea Open.
- YES: 47.14% | NO: 52.86%
- Total votes: 210
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/18413cfa-0b83-45cb-a96d-49a0adb19946

### Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev
Predict the winner of Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev in the Wimbledon.
- YES: 49.78% | NO: 50.22%
- Total votes: 1135
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/sports/04c02a9a-7c32-4931-aed4-dc65e5c10ef6

## Crypto (16 markets)

### ETH Flippening in 2026
The long-awaited flippening debate.
- YES: 33.04% | NO: 66.96000000000001%
- Total votes: 17746
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/45ede71b-b54e-4c2b-8e86-9af50ef2d567

### Solana Above $500?
Solana's high-speed blockchain continues to gain traction.
- YES: 37.14% | NO: 62.86%
- Total votes: 19811
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/b2fa2a5e-62b0-4634-9453-761dbed2ee39

### Will a quantum computer crack Bitcoin's encryption before 1st January 2030?
This question resolves YES if a quantum computer successfully breaks Bitcoin's SHA-256 encryption, as verified by a peer-reviewed paper or major cryptographic institution (e.g., NIST) on or before 1 January 2030 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 56.97% | NO: 43.03%
- Total votes: 20510
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6eeb75a7-f678-42a7-a0a6-97082cb31e91

### ₿ Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 34.31% | NO: 65.69%
- Total votes: 4917
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/6f12d6ce-8d5b-4d07-ae31-eb82ab01c8ae

### Will the total crypto market cap hit $5 trillion before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if the total global cryptocurrency market capitalization on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $5 trillion at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 38.72% | NO: 61.28%
- Total votes: 18440
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/7fbf9d12-3ca8-4a3f-a40a-22e08e0bbf52

### DOGE above $1 in 2026?
Dogecoin's price has been volatile, influenced by social media trends and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk. The cryptocurrency market is currently experiencing renewed interest, with major coins seeing significant gains. Reaching $1 would represent a major milestone for DOGE, which has struggled to maintain high valuations despite its popularity.
- YES: 30.88% | NO: 69.12%
- Total votes: 22855
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/2fb7cecb-8ed6-448d-bd53-017d7cbb0b2a

### Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 61.45% | NO: 38.55%
- Total votes: 4980
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/c49e9ee8-05b6-4f55-96ea-950bb4c59a4d

### Will Hedera (HBAR) recover to $0.10 before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if HBAR/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.10 at any point on or before 1 September 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 61.41% | NO: 38.59%
- Total votes: 19937
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/5319bf01-3e2f-486a-aee3-ae3398149711

### Will Hedera (HBAR) beat its 2024 high before 31st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if HBAR/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.18 at any point on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 64.88% | NO: 35.120000000000005%
- Total votes: 16955
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/4fe7d6cd-efb8-412c-9e44-2a7d167f4bf0

### Will Rain (RAIN) drop below $0.005 before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if RAIN/USD spot price on CoinGecko falls to or below $0.005 at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 69.06% | NO: 30.939999999999998%
- Total votes: 16049
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/41f63d4f-60d3-4bd6-a9a9-b0d8f1d24bcd

### Will Avalanche (AVAX) hit $50 before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if AVAX/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $50.00 at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 69.11% | NO: 30.89%
- Total votes: 19247
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/76e582c0-6a62-421b-9871-5284156b18b5

### Will Rain (RAIN) double to $0.40 before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if RAIN/USD spot price on CoinGecko reaches or exceeds $0.40 at any point on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise. Backup source: CoinMarketCap.
- YES: 66.97% | NO: 33.03%
- Total votes: 17033
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/3ae63ec2-e52f-4464-a8bf-c0312c9315f4

### Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 54.93% | NO: 45.07%
- Total votes: 4870
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/cbb03be4-3e7d-4db8-80ee-21f1f84bd49e

### Will Bitcoin hit an all-time high before December 31st?
- YES: 36.81% | NO: 63.19%
- Total votes: 4686
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/17e2ce24-546d-4ffa-85c5-96d92f93f7ec

### Will Ethereum hit $10,000 before the end of 2026?
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 before the end of 2026?
- YES: 40.6% | NO: 59.4%
- Total votes: 2956
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/b488934a-3fd0-4911-b2b9-ce35617b43c8

### Will Ethereum hit $10,000 before the end of 2026?
- YES: 46.48% | NO: 53.52%
- Total votes: 2773
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/crypto/54a19298-e4d9-4f8f-a1b0-a918879ed074

## Politics (29 markets)

### Will the prison population in England and Wales reach 90,000 on or before 30 September 2026?
The next UK general election is expected by 2029.
- YES: 37.77% | NO: 62.23%
- Total votes: 21384
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5e4fef73-ddc0-446c-8a99-01cc65d11a03

### Trump Executive Orders Count
Tracking presidential executive action volume.
- YES: 34.16% | NO: 65.84%
- Total votes: 25146
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/0a959df4-2563-4979-83fe-51ed500ef186

### Reform are surging and the pressure's on — is Keir Starmer still PM by the end of 2026?
- YES: 35.87% | NO: 64.13%
- Total votes: 10307
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/4ec8aa32-e751-4c19-b062-24cf9fe996a5

### Will the UK have fewer than 15 frigates and destroyers by year end?
Official Ministry of Defence or Royal Navy statement confirming the total number of active frigates and destroyers is 15 or fewer by 2026-12-31.
- YES: 59.51% | NO: 40.49%
- Total votes: 25159
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/3e78e07b-6a38-47ca-9ee3-2ff3e0db1de8

### Will Nigel Farage be Reform UK leader on 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Nigel Farage holds the official position of Reform UK leader on 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO if he has resigned, been replaced, or the party has dissolved. Source: Reform UK official announcements.
- YES: 60.76% | NO: 39.24%
- Total votes: 21782
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/3b4b70be-20cc-4612-92c3-6c5d42aaa792

### Will the UK government move to block X entirely over the Grok child-imagery scandal?
- YES: 35.81% | NO: 64.19%
- Total votes: 8891
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/c77fe811-4982-421a-b9cc-18439abfbc9f

### Reform are surging and the pressure's on — is Keir Starmer still PM by the end of 2026?
- YES: 37.06% | NO: 62.94%
- Total votes: 10003
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/7e42e034-def6-4d55-ba97-7a806706c4c2

### Will Keir Starmer still be Prime Minister on 1 September 2026?
- YES: 36.71% | NO: 63.29%
- Total votes: 11336
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/bc2ff2e0-c05a-4234-84c7-443d7a4f9713

### Will Kamala Harris be the Democratic nominee for President in 2028?
This question resolves YES if Kamala Harris is officially nominated as the Democratic Party's candidate for President at the 2028 Democratic National Convention. Resolves NO if any other candidate is nominated. Source: official DNC convention results.
- YES: 61.17% | NO: 38.83%
- Total votes: 22361
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/9e654fde-dfdd-4ff0-9839-bdd81edfe70d

### Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?
Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?
- YES: 35.81% | NO: 64.19%
- Total votes: 29707
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/d9af4259-648e-44a5-965f-c5bd6c3fcef9

### Will Kulbergs call a snap election before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Andris Kulbergs calls a snap election (Saeima dissolved early) before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Latvian government announcements.
- YES: 65.48% | NO: 34.519999999999996%
- Total votes: 14188
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/d0c9cf93-2e3e-436b-a79b-8b6ff78da9be

### Wes Streeting as Labour leader before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Wes Streeting holds the office of Labour Party leader on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Labour Party announcements.
- YES: 63.33% | NO: 36.67%
- Total votes: 19212
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/b9ee0d99-f524-402f-9ea8-b5d252b305f7

### Reform UK to hit 35% in any national Westminster voting-intention poll before 31 July 2026?
- YES: 64.97% | NO: 35.03%
- Total votes: 12900
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/9fd72edd-96b2-4c57-81cf-577ae534af27

### Reform surging, Westminster on edge — a UK election before 2026's out?
- YES: 65.02% | NO: 34.980000000000004%
- Total votes: 10480
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/e3633e64-bc5b-484e-807a-3c65eb9af987

### Will the Conservative Party trigger a formal leadership contest before Parliament's summer recess?
- YES: 35.91% | NO: 64.09%
- Total votes: 9480
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/51783968-6dd7-4c56-9242-f30dffda3b94

### Is Kulbergs still PM of Latvia on 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if Andris Kulbergs holds the office of Prime Minister of Latvia on 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Latvian government announcements.
- YES: 61.73% | NO: 38.27%
- Total votes: 15755
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/39b4751c-6692-417e-8e41-c42d6c694d98

### Will Latvia call a snap election before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Saeima (Latvian parliament) is dissolved and a snap election is called on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Latvian government announcements.
- YES: 61.19% | NO: 38.81%
- Total votes: 14302
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/5cae081a-489b-449e-bbd1-f0f309788ba3

### Will the UK government announce mandatory custodial sentences for Channel crossing boat operators following this week's landmark convictions — before 31 July 2026?
- YES: 62.29% | NO: 37.71%
- Total votes: 10293
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/1e7b0436-4600-4698-b45b-740d9a90d0c5

### Will Keir Starmer still be leader of the Labour Party on 1 August 2026?
- YES: 36.13% | NO: 63.87%
- Total votes: 11557
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/023e8d6c-10dc-42cd-bc37-cc90b7341be7

### Will the UK Government announce an extension of the 5p-per-litre fuel duty cut beyond its 31 August 2026 expiry date?
- YES: 61.46% | NO: 38.54%
- Total votes: 8401
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/b231dcc7-0762-49bb-9f7a-3d9ea882b21a

### Can Farage survive as Reform leader until 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Nigel Farage remains the leader of Reform UK on 1 September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if he resigns, is removed, or permanently steps down. Source: official Reform UK announcement.
- YES: 62.29% | NO: 37.71%
- Total votes: 10298
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/844198bf-0d1a-4cff-b70a-9877ce76d0c8

### Will Democrats take back the House in the midterms?
- YES: 58.3% | NO: 41.7%
- Total votes: 5268
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/f414966b-50ce-4594-8cfa-1581d5df72ff

### Will Democrats take back the House in the midterms?
- YES: 61.31% | NO: 38.69%
- Total votes: 5337
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/e7d39993-ccb4-4cf6-a29a-e7cb9bbdfe83

### Can Starmer survive as PM until the May 2027 local elections?
This question resolves YES if Keir Starmer holds the office of Prime Minister on 6 May 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if he has resigned, been replaced, or a general election has produced a different PM. Source: official UK government announcements.
- YES: 51.76% | NO: 48.24%
- Total votes: 9281
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/92d6eb4e-26a6-4083-a85a-baffec708636

### Will Keir Starmer resign before the end of 2026?
Will Keir Starmer resign before the end of 2026?
- YES: 60.67% | NO: 39.33%
- Total votes: 3870
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/80e28507-7630-4617-99bb-e8a533da40f0

### Can Labour choose a new leader before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Labour Party has elected a new leader (who is not Keir Starmer) on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Labour Party announcement.
- YES: 50.16% | NO: 49.84%
- Total votes: 7528
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/cdc36024-222b-45b3-a5ef-9a0848e46ec1

### Will Democrats take back the House in the midterms?
- YES: 64.61% | NO: 35.39%
- Total votes: 5024
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/447a762b-adb9-48dc-9179-5141a9634f0a

### Will Rachel Reeves be confirmed as Chancellor under the incoming Labour leader before 31 August 2026?
- YES: 61.01% | NO: 38.99%
- Total votes: 4616
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/bf190eb0-e3a8-468e-990c-d653b155f952

### Will police make an arrest in the Reform UK donations investigation before 1 November 2026?
- YES: 55.08% | NO: 44.92%
- Total votes: 1436
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/politics/58f2f62c-e2a6-4b40-9138-82c968de622c

## Showbiz (19 markets)

### Best Picture Oscar 2027
The race for Hollywood's top prize.
- YES: 68.41% | NO: 31.590000000000003%
- Total votes: 14854
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/06f01dfe-e850-4171-b391-43d9ab9580c5

### Will a Spice Girls documentary or biopic get announced by end of 2026?
Official announcement from a studio, network, or streaming service confirming a Spice Girls documentary or biopic for release by 2026-12-31.
- YES: 70.68% | NO: 29.319999999999993%
- Total votes: 12430
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/5fa00842-a412-4598-b374-b3547919c5ad

### Who will win Love Island 2026?
The winning couple or individual as announced in the Love Island 2026 finale.
- YES: 18.71% | NO: 81.28999999999999%
- Total votes: 8154
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/a5e04580-d7d2-4758-abf9-cbe6fe04e404

### Who wins Love Island 2026?
The couple officially crowned winners in the live final episode (as per ITV broadcast).
- YES: 68.8% | NO: 31.200000000000003%
- Total votes: 11036
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/23730af5-9a92-4db5-baf8-63fb7d313629

### Will the BBC scrap the licence fee before 2027?
Official announcement from the UK government or the BBC confirming the abolition of the television licence fee, or a government white paper/legislation tabled in Parliament with that explicit aim.
- YES: 72.47% | NO: 27.53%
- Total votes: 12032
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/b52121ff-294f-4f80-af18-e9f71fcba82a

### Will 'The Odyssey' break Nolan's opening weekend record in the UK?
This question resolves YES if 'The Odyssey' grosses more than £6.2m at the UK box office in its opening weekend (Fri-Sun). Source: official BFI weekend box office report. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 78.44% | NO: 21.560000000000002%
- Total votes: 6795
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/b8889a8d-5bfb-4bbb-b21a-8e6aac2671b9

### Will the true crime series 'The Night Caller' get a season 2 before 2027?
This question resolves YES if a second season of the true crime series 'The Night Caller' is officially announced for release on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: platform press release or official social media.
- YES: 76.59% | NO: 23.409999999999997%
- Total votes: 10569
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/20119292-204e-4326-95c5-5d222b6fe8c4

### Will The Apprentice winner's business survive until Christmas?
Public announcement of business closure or Lord Sugar confirming the investment has been withdrawn by 31 Dec 2026.
- YES: 29.29% | NO: 70.71000000000001%
- Total votes: 11238
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/67de067a-98d4-470f-9dd0-42bfb0732e80

### Masters of the Universe top the UK box office for the weekend ending Sunday 7 June 2026?
- YES: 79.25% | NO: 20.75%
- Total votes: 6088
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/eb5cefe4-29f2-4efc-bd8b-995b493f8d22

### Will Love Island still be on air on the night of the World Cup final, 19 July 2026?
- YES: 18.03% | NO: 81.97%
- Total votes: 5878
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/beb909e9-d934-4dc0-86f4-da15d918fbe6

### Will the Apple TV+ thriller with the Peaky Blinders star be rated Fresh on Rotten Tomatoes?
This question resolves YES if the Apple TV+ thriller series (featuring the Peaky Blinders star and created by the acclaimed writer) achieves a 'Fresh' rating (60% or higher) on Rotten Tomatoes for its first season within 30 days of its premiere, on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Rotten Tomatoes official score.
- YES: 73.66% | NO: 26.340000000000003%
- Total votes: 11051
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/1e80f591-836b-42f9-9384-497432e7ecb5

### Will Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor be evicted from Royal Lodge before 31 December 2026?
If any islander voluntarily leaves the villa (not voted out) before the Casa Amor twist begins (as confirmed by ITV).
- YES: 26.91% | NO: 73.09%
- Total votes: 11473
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/cd76a97f-40e1-4720-9a28-974cc308b76d

### Will Sandrine Holt appear in Daredevil: Born Again before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Sandrine Holt is officially credited as appearing in any episode of Daredevil: Born Again that premieres on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Disney+ credits or Marvel Studios press release.
- YES: 75.22% | NO: 24.78%
- Total votes: 12029
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/7d138c3c-04c2-4af7-96f7-d5e3894dbdff

### Will 'Is Something Very Bad Is Going To Happen' get a Season 2 on Netflix?
This question resolves YES if Netflix officially announces a second season of 'Is Something Very Bad Is Going To Happen' on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Netflix press release or verified Netflix social media account.
- YES: 74.46% | NO: 25.540000000000006%
- Total votes: 12134
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/962eb464-f47d-4727-8588-49b0e0f279b9

### Will Netflix renew Age of Attraction for season 2 before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Netflix officially announces a second season of Age of Attraction for release on or before 31 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Netflix press release or official social media.
- YES: 73.95% | NO: 26.049999999999997%
- Total votes: 11982
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/42f65ed5-2a77-46ed-9194-5aabaef3b745

### Will Paul Anderson appear in The Immortal Man Season 2?
This question resolves YES if Paul Anderson is officially announced as part of the cast for Season 2 of The Immortal Man, or appears in any Season 2 episode, on or before 30 June 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official casting announcement or credits in the released season.
- YES: 72.9% | NO: 27.099999999999994%
- Total votes: 12633
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/37b99f12-6ff3-4fd0-8bd0-84e47ef2b17c

### The bombshells keep coming — can a late arrival steal the whole series?
- YES: 19.98% | NO: 80.02%
- Total votes: 5580
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/749d6c5e-552b-4b04-829f-1128a92e869b

### Will The Odyssey gross over $500M globally by 1st September 2027?
This question resolves YES if The Odyssey (2027) grosses $500 million or more globally by 1 September 2027 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Box Office Mojo or official distributor figures.
- YES: 57.24% | NO: 42.76%
- Total votes: 4762
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/9025df4b-c8eb-436d-80db-2e18e2365094

### Will Miles Morales appear in Spider-Man: Brand New Day before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Miles Morales appears as a character (live-action or voice) in the film Spider-Man: Brand New Day, confirmed by official Marvel Studios or Sony announcement or the film's credits, on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official studio announcement or final credits.
- YES: 50.85% | NO: 49.15%
- Total votes: 4855
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/showbiz/0a61dc93-40c6-4050-a11d-426665f312bc

## Tech (10 markets)

### Will OpenAI release a model branded "GPT-6" before 31 December 2026?
The most debated question in AI research.
- YES: 63.13% | NO: 36.87%
- Total votes: 13978
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/7606a1da-87ef-4340-aa33-03a1045e802e

### SpaceX Mars Landing by 2028?
Elon Musk's ambitious Mars timeline.
- YES: 39.26% | NO: 60.74%
- Total votes: 15982
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/ce0d5d8d-abab-4ed4-8220-f556adf3d0ff

### Apple AR Glasses 2026
Rumors of a lighter, cheaper Apple AR device.
- YES: 70.03% | NO: 29.97%
- Total votes: 13538
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/6bac3cb8-424f-4bd9-a26a-223a4d28914b

### Will OpenAI's valuation hit $1 trillion before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if OpenAI achieves a valuation of $1 trillion or more in a public funding round, acquisition, or IPO as reported by credible financial sources (Bloomberg, Financial Times, Wall Street Journal) on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 UTC. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 55.39% | NO: 44.61%
- Total votes: 16863
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/8b3e54a6-efc7-452c-879a-5ebc59fb440c

### Will Ofcom legally force Elon Musk's X to restrict or block Grok AI in the UK over the deepfake investigation — before 30 September 2026?
- YES: 29.82% | NO: 70.18%
- Total votes: 6902
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/3c55a84d-51a8-43f5-9797-a441759009bc

### Kash Patel sued by Beastie Boys before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Beastie Boys or their estate files a copyright infringement lawsuit against Kash Patel on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: court records or official announcement.
- YES: 41.43% | NO: 58.57%
- Total votes: 16071
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/92190869-7336-4088-adc2-0ac5d4afd176

### Can Magnifica Humanitas shape EU AI Act amendments before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if the European Parliament passes any amendment to the EU AI Act that explicitly references or incorporates language from Magnifica Humanitas on or before 1 September 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official EU legislative records.
- YES: 72.1% | NO: 27.900000000000006%
- Total votes: 9939
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/e7810777-45e9-4d63-971a-acab62de1117

### Can Pope Leo XIV's AI encyclical trigger a Vatican policy shift by 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Holy See publishes an official document (e.g., instruction, motu proprio, or dicastery note) that establishes new policy or guidelines on artificial intelligence on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Vatican.va official publications.
- YES: 65.57% | NO: 34.43000000000001%
- Total votes: 11932
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/257e72d0-78d8-44f0-85b0-3be47d95d8fd

### Pennsylvania settles with Character.AI before 2027?
This question resolves YES if Pennsylvania and Character.AI reach a settlement agreement in the lawsuit over the chatbot posing as a doctor, confirmed by court filing or official announcement on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: court records or official press release.
- YES: 66.15% | NO: 33.849999999999994%
- Total votes: 15904
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/18b5ab9a-732d-45b0-968d-c1853b147f2a

### Scott Turow wins Meta copyright lawsuit before 2027?
This question resolves YES if a court or jury rules in favor of Scott Turow and the publishing houses in their copyright infringement lawsuit against Meta, on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 EST. Resolves NO if Meta wins or the case is dismissed. Source: official court ruling.
- YES: 73.44% | NO: 26.560000000000002%
- Total votes: 14423
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/tech/7e71f725-be99-434d-9708-4ee48f4b43b1

## World (19 markets)

### Can Pope Leo XIV's AI encyclical shift EU AI Act amendments before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the European Parliament or European Commission formally references Pope Leo XIV's encyclical 'Magnifica humanitas' in any amendment or official communication regarding the EU AI Act on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official EU legislative records.
- YES: 74.84% | NO: 25.159999999999997%
- Total votes: 8752
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/d7831ba4-7b97-409e-9ead-dcf63f50acb0

### Will 2026 be the hottest year ever recorded?
- YES: 21.13% | NO: 78.87%
- Total votes: 2949
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/c6cfc0eb-9649-4520-a1b7-2c2247b90f8e

### Will the Iran-Israel conflict see a ceasefire before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if Iran and Israel announce a formal ceasefire agreement confirmed by both governments on or before 1 September 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official statements from Iranian and Israeli governments.
- YES: 28% | NO: 72%
- Total votes: 12276
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/c8a1c1d4-33e0-495f-9283-50b32661559f

### Will Meta's AI data centre spending exceed $100bn globally by end of 2026?
This question resolves YES if Meta's cumulative announced or confirmed capital expenditure on AI data centres and infrastructure — across all global projects — reaches or exceeds $100 billion by 31 December 2026 at 23:59 GMT, as reported by Meta's official earnings filings (SEC 10-K or quarterly reports) or confirmed by Reuters/Bloomberg. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 34.69% | NO: 65.31%
- Total votes: 12419
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/8f188ae4-aa1e-44ba-b051-a0ae1dfca23a

### Will US ground forces enter Iran before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if US Department of Defense confirms US ground troops have crossed into Iranian territory on or before 15th of April 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Pentagon statements or major wire services (Reuters, AP).
- YES: 66.6% | NO: 33.400000000000006%
- Total votes: 12747
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/d5e6f0cc-1d98-4abf-a6fb-a1b06c71607e

### Did FIFA break its own rules because Trump made a phone call?
- YES: 24.68% | NO: 75.32%
- Total votes: 709
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/df6c5e6b-688f-470d-a829-4bf3cf28f27f

### Will Trump impose new sanctions or military strikes on Iran before 1st August 2026?
This question resolves YES if the US government imposes a new round of economic sanctions targeting Iran's oil, banking, or military sectors, OR if US forces conduct any confirmed military strike on Iranian territory or Iranian-backed forces in a third country, as confirmed by Reuters and AP, on or before 1 August 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise.
- YES: 72.33% | NO: 27.67%
- Total votes: 11780
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/df56ae71-fb57-4949-bc2e-3f94b77c2f84

### Will a 5% wealth tax on US billionaires pass Congress before 2028?
This question resolves YES if the US Congress passes legislation imposing a 5% annual wealth tax on billionaires (individuals with net worth exceeding $1 billion) on or before 1 January 2028. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official Congressional records.
- YES: 22.97% | NO: 77.03%
- Total votes: 10126
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/7cf9dba2-79e2-4efb-a49c-11d530c8c500

### Will Rachel Reeves' mansion tax pass into UK law before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the mansion tax legislation receives Royal Assent and becomes UK law on or before 1 October 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO if it has not received Royal Assent by that deadline, including if it is withdrawn, delayed, or defeated. Source: UK Parliament official records and GOV.UK legislation portal.
- YES: 24.33% | NO: 75.67%
- Total votes: 10708
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/ff0b5d12-d4b1-40fc-8f4b-cfd0276897bf

### Jessica Pegula in WTA top 5 on 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Jessica Pegula's official WTA singles ranking is 5th or higher in the rankings published on 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: WTA official rankings.
- YES: 70.85% | NO: 29.150000000000006%
- Total votes: 12328
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/a6da41a6-ed24-4b7c-a3d7-1e91755497b9

### Jessica Pegula wins a Grand Slam before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if Jessica Pegula wins a singles Grand Slam title (Australian Open, French Open, Wimbledon, or US Open) on or before 1 January 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official tournament results.
- YES: 77.02% | NO: 22.980000000000004%
- Total votes: 11392
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/745380fc-f9e3-48b1-a31b-1a90e2469d1d

### Who will win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Resolves to the candidate who wins the 2026 Brazilian presidential election as declared by the TSE. If none of the listed candidates win, resolves to 'Other'. Source: official TSE results.
- YES: 75.34% | NO: 24.659999999999997%
- Total votes: 11606
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/6069ae2b-9753-496e-ab77-d44d4fd0a31a

### Will Asia's coal consumption increase by 10%+ in 2026 due to the Iran war?
This question resolves YES if the International Energy Agency's 2026 report shows Asia's coal consumption increased by 10% or more compared to 2025 levels. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: IEA annual coal market report.
- YES: 30.91% | NO: 69.09%
- Total votes: 12217
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/80d14297-2636-45ee-8989-317ef5d4823f

### Will Meta's smartglasses be banned in UK public spaces before 1st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if the UK government or a UK legislative body (Parliament, devolved assembly) passes legislation specifically banning Meta smartglasses from public spaces (pubs, restaurants, transport, etc.) on or before 1 December 2026. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: official government publications or parliamentary records.
- YES: 77.39% | NO: 22.61%
- Total votes: 10399
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/5520a0cf-a28e-4af9-94f2-2b07b3577f72

### Will a photo from today's top world pictures become a viral meme before 1st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if a photograph featured in major news outlets' 'top pictures of the day' on the date of question publication generates over 100,000 shares/uses as a meme template on social media platforms (X/Twitter, Instagram, TikTok) on or before 1st December 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: social media analytics and meme tracking sites.
- YES: 75.01% | NO: 24.989999999999995%
- Total votes: 10954
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/04ea01f4-be3e-4333-8a1f-1eb15b84142a

### Can Albania's Sazan tourism project proceed before 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Albanian government confirms a signed contract with a developer for tourism construction on Sazan Island on or before 1 January 2027 at 23:59 CET. Resolves NO if the project is officially cancelled or delayed beyond that date. Source: Albanian Ministry of Tourism official statement.
- YES: 71.87% | NO: 28.129999999999995%
- Total votes: 8494
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/506b57b8-5985-4abd-8489-080ab059c87c

### Will 2026 be the hottest year ever recorded?
- YES: 20.27% | NO: 79.73%
- Total votes: 2857
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/817d8210-0f21-4f4b-b4ab-cbc5109aed48

### Will Iran start charging "service fees" on ships crossing the Strait of Hormuz before 16 August 2026?
- YES: 78.02% | NO: 21.980000000000004%
- Total votes: 1665
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/6efb7e10-f632-413b-8c70-ed86febc2103

### Will a second confirmed JADEPUFFER-attributed ransomware attack hit a UK organisation before 1 October 2026?
- YES: 35.19% | NO: 64.81%
- Total votes: 341
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/world/08cd7a6e-29a8-4317-9102-25c66395dbf4

## Finance (11 markets)

### Will average UK 2-year fixed mortgage rates drop below 4% before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the Bank of England or Moneyfacts publishes data showing the average UK 2-year fixed residential mortgage rate (75% LTV) at below 4.0% on or before 1 April 2027 at 23:59 BST. Source: Moneyfacts UK Mortgage Trends Treasury Report or Bank of England quoted household interest rates. Resolves NO if no such data confirms a sub-4% average by the deadline.
- YES: 58.96% | NO: 41.04%
- Total votes: 16247
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/140574d4-39f4-4a7b-90ee-33309f46a9f5

### Will the UK unemployment rate exceed 5% before 1st October 2026?
This question resolves YES if the ONS Labour Market Statistics release published on or before 1 October 2026 shows the UK unemployment rate at 5.0% or above for any reported monthly period. Resolves NO if no such release shows the rate at or above 5.0% by the deadline. Source: ONS official Labour Market Overview. If the ONS delays publication, resolves when the next available release is published.
- YES: 68.1% | NO: 31.900000000000006%
- Total votes: 14551
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/2fe73503-26a9-4de3-b65d-ab57af12c87b

### Oil hits $100/barrel again in 2026?
Oil hasn't sustainably traded above $100 since 2022. For it to return there, a major supply shock or surge in demand would be needed. Most analysts see this as unlikely given the energy transition.
- YES: 33.41% | NO: 66.59%
- Total votes: 21561
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/9f8be0f0-811b-4654-adbb-926bfdf9ff92

### Will the major home and DIY retailer announce further store closures before 1st September 2026?
This question resolves YES if the major home and DIY retailer (e.g., B&Q, Homebase) officially announces additional store closures beyond the initial 23 on or before 1st September 2026 at 23:59 BST. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: company financial results or press release.
- YES: 68.39% | NO: 31.61%
- Total votes: 15069
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/fc601392-812f-49a4-8478-2fb82b566325

### Will the average UK council tax bill exceed £2,500/year before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the UK government's official statistics for the average Band D council tax bill in England reaches or exceeds £2,500 per year in any financial year starting on or before 1 April 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Department for Levelling Up, Housing and Communities official release.
- YES: 69.12% | NO: 30.879999999999995%
- Total votes: 14541
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/5dc2676f-8b11-4bb1-a8a3-7b3a7b330fb0

### Will HMRC's allowance cuts affect over 5 million taxpayers before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if HMRC or ONS data confirms that 5 million or more UK taxpayers are negatively impacted by the allowance cuts announced in the 2026 Budget (e.g., reduced personal allowance, savings allowance) on or before 1st January 2027 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: HMRC official statistics or ONS report.
- YES: 36.96% | NO: 63.04%
- Total votes: 14437
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/1a4fa6df-f418-44fd-85d0-10a095d5f5e3

### Will the average UK water bill exceed £600/year before 1st April 2027?
This question resolves YES if the average household water and sewerage bill in England and Wales, as published by Water UK, reaches or exceeds £600 per year in any financial year starting on or before 1 April 2027. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: Water UK's annual 'Water Matters' report.
- YES: 56.35% | NO: 43.65%
- Total votes: 17976
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/6ff95982-9763-4a0d-99a6-6a1b561bc42d

### Will HMRC send Winter Fuel Payment letters to all 1.3 million pensioners before 1st November 2026?
This question resolves YES if HMRC confirms all 1.3 million Winter Fuel Payment letters have been dispatched and delivered to eligible pensioners on or before 1st November 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Resolves NO otherwise. Source: HMRC official announcement or press release.
- YES: 72.39% | NO: 27.61%
- Total votes: 13607
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/129ed107-5fd2-4c23-893f-7e3aad5a7c9d

### Will the Bank of England base rate fall below 4% before 1st December 2026?
This question resolves YES if the Bank of England MPC officially sets the base rate below 4.0% in any announcement published on or before 1 June 2026 at 23:59 GMT. Source: Bank of England official MPC decisions. Resolves NO if the base rate has not dropped below 4.0% by the deadline. If an MPC meeting is postponed, resolves based on the next available announcement.
- YES: 36.38% | NO: 63.62%
- Total votes: 17278
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/baba0ba3-d309-4f09-a4d3-6dc1f26fd243

### Will the US private credit market suffer a high-profile default before 1st January 2027?
This question resolves YES if a private credit fund or direct lender with $1bn or more in assets under management publicly announces a default, suspension of redemptions, or emergency restructuring on or before 31 December 2026 at 23:59 EST. Source: Bloomberg, Financial Times, or Reuters confirmed reporting. Resolves NO if no such event is reported by that date.
- YES: 61.17% | NO: 38.83%
- Total votes: 14889
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/f13bb811-1474-4227-a076-c7fbd82846ec

### Will the UK average pump petrol price fall below 150p per litre before 31 July 2026?
- YES: 23.53% | NO: 76.47%
- Total votes: 6085
- Link: https://www.peoplesodds.com/markets/finance/2ee8f0c3-8abc-401a-a70c-cfd492d33e7f