Crowd confidence data
Ukraine ceasefire agreement in 2026? prediction data
Last updated 2026-07-11. Built from PeoplesOdds crowd prediction data.
Direct answer
The PeoplesOdds crowd currently gives “Yes” a 31% crowd confidence share on Ukraine ceasefire agreement in 2026?. The page tracks 6,800 recorded calls, the current answer split, and the market rules so readers can judge the crowd signal before making their own call.
Current crowd data
| Metric | Value | Source | Caveat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Crowd confidence | 31% | proprietary | Displayed confidence is derived from PeoplesOdds market data and may update as new calls are made. |
| Recorded calls | 6800 | proprietary | Display counts are the public PeoplesOdds participation count for this market. |
| Outcome options | 2 | proprietary | — |
| Scheduled close | 2026-12-31 | product | Close timing can change if the underlying event schedule changes. |
Outcome split
Yes31% confidence
No69% confidence
Methodology
PeoplesOdds converts public market participation into a crowd confidence view using current outcome probabilities, recorded calls, scheduled close data, and market rules. Pages are generated only when the market has enough page-specific data to be useful.
Market rule: Official signed agreement.
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