How Our Signals Work

Signals are crowd-sourced intelligence derived from the prediction patterns of thousands of users. They reveal where sentiment is shifting, which predictors are most accurate, and where markets may be mispriced.

Think of them as the collective wisdom of the PeoplesOdds community, distilled into actionable insights.

The most fundamental signal. Shows the aggregate Yes/No split across all predictions on a market, updated in real time as new predictions come in.

When 80% of predictors agree, that is a strong consensus signal.

Tracks the moves of users in the top 5% by accuracy. When sharp predictors cluster on one side of a market, it often signals informed conviction based on deeper analysis or expertise.

Compares crowd sentiment against sharp predictor positions. When the crowd and the sharps disagree significantly, a market may be mispriced — creating an opportunity for skilled predictors to find value.

Measures the rate of sentiment change over time. High volatility means opinions are shifting rapidly, often around breaking news or approaching deadlines.

Useful for timing your predictions.

Free users see basic crowd sentiment on featured markets. Pro users unlock all signal types, real-time updates, historical signal data, and alert notifications.

View pricing plans for full details.