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Featured Predictions

🏥

All Markets (144)

🏥

Will NHS waiting lists fall below 6 million by 2027?

Politics · healthcare

24%

Yes 24%76% No

1,500 predicted · just now154d

🗺️

Will any US state secession movement gain ballot access?

Yes 6%94% No

1,490 predicted · just now33d

🚨

Will the UK declare a formal climate emergency in law?

Politics · climate

10%

Yes 10%90% No

1,474 predicted · just now64d

🏙️

Will a major UK city declare itself a 'sanctuary city'?

Politics · immigration

15%

Yes 15%85% No

1,465 predicted · just now64d

⛏️

Will the UK approve a new coal mine in 2026?

Politics · climate

14%

Yes 14%86% No

1,388 predicted · just now64d

🛡️

Will UK defence spending reach 2.5% of GDP by 2027?

Politics · defence

55%

Yes 55%45% No

1,363 predicted · just now429d

💊

Is Wes Streeting's NHS reform plan working?

Politics · healthcare

38%

Yes 38%62% No

1,355 predicted · just now64d

🎓

Will student loan forgiveness expand in 2026?

41%

Yes 41%59% No

1,345 predicted · just now64d

🔱

Will the AUKUS submarine deal stay on track?

Politics · defence

58%

Yes 58%42% No

1,337 predicted · just now64d

🚤

Will small boat Channel crossings exceed 30,000 in 2026?

Politics · immigration

58%

Yes 58%42% No

1,331 predicted · just now64d

🏛️

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?

1,326 predicted · just now673d

Will Rwanda-style deportation flights resume under Labour?

Politics · immigration

12%

Yes 12%88% No

1,316 predicted · just now64d

🛂

Will UK net migration fall below 500,000 by end of 2026?

Politics · immigration

28%

Yes 28%72% No

1,298 predicted · just now64d

🎯

Will the UK meet its 2030 emissions reduction target?

Politics · climate

18%

Yes 18%82% No

1,281 predicted · just now1525d

🩺

Will junior doctors strike again in 2026?

Politics · healthcare

42%

Yes 42%58% No

1,277 predicted · just now64d

🍎

Will free school meals be extended to all primary children?

Politics · education

25%

Yes 25%75% No

1,246 predicted · just now64d

📊

Is immigration the #1 voter concern in 2026?

Politics · immigration

61%

Yes 61%39% No

1,205 predicted · just now64d

🧠

Will NHS mental health spending reach 10% of budget?

Politics · healthcare

18%

Yes 18%82% No

1,204 predicted · just now64d

🌐

Next UN Secretary-General nationality?

1,201 predicted · just now64d

Will the school starting age be raised to 7?

Politics · education

Yes 8%92% No

1,194 predicted · just now429d

🏳️

Will a nation-state adopt BTC as legal tender in 2026?

15%

Yes 15%85% No

1,177 predicted · just now64d

📵

Will the government ban smartphones in schools?

Politics · education

62%

Yes 62%38% No

1,174 predicted · just now64d

🪖

Will the UK Army shrink below 70,000 regulars?

Politics · defence

64%

Yes 64%36% No

1,163 predicted · just now64d

👴

Will the pensions triple lock be maintained in 2026?

Politics · economy

78%

Yes 78%22% No

1,158 predicted · just now64d

📉

Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026?

Politics · economy

28%

Yes 28%72% No

1,133 predicted · just now64d

💧

Will any UK water company be nationalised in 2026?

Politics · climate

32%

Yes 32%68% No

1,112 predicted · just now64d

💲

Stablecoin market cap above $200B?

61%

Yes 61%39% No

1,082 predicted · just now64d

✈️

Will Heathrow third runway be officially cancelled?

Politics · climate

48%

Yes 48%52% No

1,036 predicted · just now64d

📋

Will SEC approve more spot crypto ETFs in 2026?

72%

Yes 72%28% No

1,021 predicted · just now64d

🔓

Major CEX hack in 2026 (>$100M)?

32%

Yes 32%68% No

1,014 predicted · just now64d

📝

Will OFSTED be replaced or fundamentally reformed?

Politics · education

58%

Yes 58%42% No

1,013 predicted · just now64d

🎖️

Will National Service be reintroduced in any form?

Politics · defence

15%

Yes 15%85% No

1,000 predicted · just now64d

🌍

Global recession in 2026?

12%

Yes 12%88% No

982 predicted · just now64d

🇬🇧

Who wins the next UK general election?

978 predicted · just now1160d

Will A&E 4-hour wait target be met by any major trust?

Politics · healthcare

31%

Yes 31%69% No

968 predicted · just now64d

📊

Best performing sector in 2026?

951 predicted · just now64d

Will Rachel Reeves raise council tax in the Autumn Budget?

Politics · economy

42%

Yes 42%58% No

933 predicted · just now33d

⚡

Will GB Energy deliver cheaper energy bills by 2027?

Politics · climate

22%

Yes 22%78% No

923 predicted · just now429d

🏦

Will non-dom tax status be fully abolished?

Politics · economy

72%

Yes 72%28% No

919 predicted · just now64d

📊

US trade deficit wider in 2026 than 2025?

55%

Yes 55%45% No

919 predicted · just now64d

🦷

Will NHS dentistry be reformed by 2027?

Politics · healthcare

35%

Yes 35%65% No

914 predicted · just now245d

🏢

Warren Buffett's next major acquisition?

895 predicted · just now64d

Will COP31 in Australia produce binding emission cuts?

Politics · climate

28%

Yes 28%72% No

893 predicted · just now64d

💵

Dollar index (DXY) above 110 in 2026?

29%

Yes 29%71% No

884 predicted · just now64d

💱

Will the US dollar weaken against the euro?

45%

Yes 45%55% No

860 predicted · just now64d

🔶

Copper price above $5/lb?

28%

Yes 28%72% No

846 predicted · just now64d

☢️

Will the UK Trident nuclear deterrent face a test failure?

Politics · defence

22%

Yes 22%78% No

844 predicted · just now64d

🗺️

Will the UK establish a new permanent military base abroad?

Politics · defence

28%

Yes 28%72% No

844 predicted · just now64d

🚴

Tour de France 2027 Winner

Closes Sun 1 Aug · 00:59

836 predicted · just now

Layer 2 with most TVL end of 2026?

824 predicted · just now64d

Federal minimum wage increase by 2027?

15%

Yes 15%85% No

813 predicted · just now429d

📉

US recession in 2026?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

812 predicted · just now64d

🇫🇷

Will the UK-France Channel agreement reduce crossings by 20%?

Politics · immigration

22%

Yes 22%78% No

797 predicted · just now64d

📊

US national debt hits $40T in 2026?

72%

Yes 72%28% No

792 predicted · just now64d

🚀

Next crypto to hit $100B market cap?

785 predicted · just now64d

Will the teacher recruitment crisis worsen in 2026?

Politics · education

72%

Yes 72%28% No

779 predicted · just now64d

⚾

Will Shohei Ohtani win MVP in 2026?

Closes Mon 30 Nov · 23:59

34%

Yes 34%66% No

772 predicted · just now

🖼️

NFT market monthly volume above $1B again?

25%

Yes 25%75% No

763 predicted · just now64d

🎓

Will university tuition fees rise above £9,250?

Politics · education

71%

Yes 71%29% No

762 predicted · just now64d

🏠

US housing market crash (>15% drop) in 2026?

11%

Yes 11%89% No

755 predicted · just now64d

🏛️

Harris vs DeSantis 2028 matchup poll leader?

735 predicted · just now429d

Will the National Living Wage reach £13/hour by April 2027?

Politics · economy

68%

Yes 68%32% No

735 predicted · just now184d

🐕

DOGE above $1 in 2026?

Yes 8%92% No

732 predicted · just now64d

🟢

NVIDIA stock split in 2026?

35%

Yes 35%65% No

715 predicted · just now64d

🏀

NBA MVP 2026-27 Season

Closes Thu 1 Jul · 00:59

705 predicted · just now

Nikola Jokić28%

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander24%

Will petrol and diesel car sales be banned by 2030?

Politics · climate

42%

Yes 42%58% No

693 predicted · just now1161d

🗳️

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee?

648 predicted · just now673d

Senate flips in 2026 midterms?

38%

Yes 38%62% No

643 predicted · just now33d

💉

Will the UK approve a universal flu-COVID combined vaccine?

Politics · healthcare

40%

Yes 40%60% No

643 predicted · just now64d

🚀

Will the UK send long-range missiles to Ukraine in 2026?

Politics · defence

62%

Yes 62%38% No

635 predicted · just now64d

🔥

Will UK household heat pump installations reach 600,000/year?

Politics · climate

12%

Yes 12%88% No

626 predicted · just now795d

🇯🇵

Japan exits negative interest rate era permanently?

78%

Yes 78%22% No

626 predicted · just now64d

🤖

Will UK defence AI spending exceed £1 billion in 2026?

Politics · defence

45%

Yes 45%55% No

613 predicted · just now64d

🏠

Will UK house prices fall in 2026?

Politics · economy

35%

Yes 35%65% No

611 predicted · just now64d

⚔️

Apple vs Microsoft: Higher stock return in 2026?

590 predicted · just now64d

Will XRP reach $5 in 2026?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

588 predicted · just now64d

💱

EUR/USD above 1.15 by end of 2026?

33%

Yes 33%67% No

585 predicted · just now64d

📈

Dow Jones above 45,000 in 2026?

38%

Yes 38%62% No

584 predicted · just now64d

🍎

Apple AR glasses announced in 2026?

31%

Yes 31%69% No

575 predicted · just now64d

🏢

Biggest IPO of 2026?

551 predicted · just now64d

iPhone 18 sales exceed iPhone 17 launch week?

58%

Yes 58%42% No

547 predicted · just now3d

📱

Will a major social media platform shut down in 2026?

14%

Yes 14%86% No

535 predicted · just now64d

📊

Russell 2000 outperforms S&P 500 in 2026?

35%

Yes 35%65% No

532 predicted · just now64d

📋

Will the UK introduce a points-based asylum system?

Politics · immigration

19%

Yes 19%81% No

529 predicted · just now64d

🐦

Will X/Twitter lose majority market share to Bluesky?

12%

Yes 12%88% No

528 predicted · just now64d

🏪

Will any major UK retailer go into administration in 2026?

Politics · economy

58%

Yes 58%42% No

514 predicted · just now64d

🚄

Will HS2 Phase 2 (to Manchester) be revived?

Politics · economy

12%

Yes 12%88% No

500 predicted · just now64d

⚖️

Impeachment proceedings in 2026?

12%

Yes 12%88% No

494 predicted · just now64d

📈

Will UK inflation stay below 3% throughout 2026?

Politics · economy

52%

Yes 52%48% No

487 predicted · just now64d

🏎️

F1 2026 Championship Winner

Closes Thu 31 Dec · 23:59

478 predicted · just now

Will the government legalise assisted dying in 2026?

Politics · healthcare

55%

Yes 55%45% No

469 predicted · just now64d

🏈

NFL Draft 2027 #1 Overall Pick Position?

Closes Sat 1 May · 00:59

465 predicted · just now

Cannabis rescheduled federally by end of 2026?

55%

Yes 55%45% No

454 predicted · just now64d

🍔

Will the UK ban junk food advertising before 9pm?

Politics · healthcare

48%

Yes 48%52% No

402 predicted · just now64d

₿

Bitcoin Price Milestones 2026

382 predicted · just now64d

⚾

MLB World Series 2026 Winner

Closes Sat 31 Oct · 23:59

380 predicted · just now

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

22%

Yes 22%78% No

370 predicted · just now64d

🏛️

Will UK universities face a financial crisis in 2026?

Politics · education

68%

Yes 68%32% No

368 predicted · just now64d

🥇

Gold hits $3,000/oz in 2026?

58%

Yes 58%42% No

355 predicted · just now64d

🏴

Will NATO trigger Article 5 in 2026?

Politics · defence

Yes 6%94% No

349 predicted · just now64d

🏠

Will US housing prices drop in 2026?

22%

Yes 22%78% No

347 predicted · just now64d

🏛️

Trump Leaving the US for China?

343 predicted · just now64d

🏢

Will Elon Musk step down from any CEO role?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

334 predicted · just now64d

🏫

Will VAT on private school fees reduce private enrollment by 10%?

Politics · education

34%

Yes 34%66% No

330 predicted · just now64d

🏦

Major bank failure in 2026?

Yes 8%92% No

318 predicted · just now64d

🏴

New state admitted to US by 2030?

Yes 8%92% No

314 predicted · just now1525d

🥽

Apple Vision Pro 2 in 2026?

55%

Yes 55%45% No

311 predicted · just now64d

🏎️

Will Hamilton win a race for Ferrari in 2026?

Closes Thu 31 Dec · 23:59

62%

Yes 62%38% No

308 predicted · just now

⚛️

First commercial quantum computer by 2027?

15%

Yes 15%85% No

308 predicted · just now429d

🚕

Will autonomous ride-hailing expand to 10+ US cities?

35%

Yes 35%65% No

304 predicted · just now64d

📋

Will the filibuster be reformed in 2026?

Yes 9%91% No

300 predicted · just now64d

🤖

Will AI tutoring tools be officially adopted in UK state schools?

Politics · education

38%

Yes 38%62% No

300 predicted · just now64d

🏠

Global refugee crisis exceeds 120M displaced?

72%

Yes 72%28% No

299 predicted · just now64d

🌱

UN Climate Summit breakthrough agreement?

22%

Yes 22%78% No

272 predicted · just now64d

🎬

AI-generated movie nominated for Oscar?

Yes 8%92% No

269 predicted · just now123d

🏀

Will LeBron retire after 2026-27 season?

Closes Thu 1 Jul · 00:59

42%

Yes 42%58% No

260 predicted · just now

💻

Which company reaches $5T market cap first?

248 predicted · just now64d

Military coup in a G20 nation by 2027?

Yes 5%95% No

239 predicted · just now429d

☢️

Iran nuclear deal revived in 2026?

11%

Yes 11%89% No

238 predicted · just now64d

🏎️

F1 2026 Constructor Championship Winner

Closes Thu 31 Dec · 23:59

237 predicted · just now

Turkey joins EU accession negotiations again?

Yes 5%95% No

235 predicted · just now795d

🌍

African Union permanent UN Security Council seat?

15%

Yes 15%85% No

232 predicted · just now429d

🤝

South Korea-Japan relations improve significantly?

42%

Yes 42%58% No

232 predicted · just now64d

🇻🇪

Venezuela regime change in 2026?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

231 predicted · just now64d

🇨🇳

China GDP growth above 5% in 2026?

45%

Yes 45%55% No

231 predicted · just now64d

🤖

Most valuable AI startup end of 2026?

219 predicted · just now64d

Israeli-Palestinian peace talks by end of 2026?

Yes 9%91% No

210 predicted · just now64d

🧠

Neuralink human trials expand beyond 10 patients?

42%

Yes 42%58% No

208 predicted · just now64d

📊

Bitcoin ETF inflows exceed $50B cumulative?

67%

Yes 67%33% No

206 predicted · just now64d

🌏

Taiwan Strait military escalation in 2026?

12%

Yes 12%88% No

204 predicted · just now64d

🇮🇳

Will India surpass China in population growth rate?

82%

Yes 82%18% No

204 predicted · just now64d

🛢️

Oil price above $100 per barrel in 2026?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

201 predicted · just now64d

🏒

NHL Stanley Cup 2027 Winner

Closes Thu 1 Jul · 00:59

200 predicted · just now

Florida Panthers17%

Edmonton Oilers16%

Dallas Stars14%

Colorado Avalanche13%

Other40%

🌍

Will BRICS admit new members in 2026?

68%

Yes 68%32% No

197 predicted · just now64d

🇪🇺

New EU member state admitted by 2028?

21%

Yes 21%79% No

194 predicted · just now795d

🏳️‍🌈

Next country to legalize same-sex marriage?

166 predicted · just now64d

OpenAI IPO in 2026?

45%

Yes 45%55% No

165 predicted · just now64d

🚗

Tesla FSD Level 4 approval in 2026?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

164 predicted · just now64d

💻

Major cyberattack on critical infrastructure in 2026?

45%

Yes 45%55% No

158 predicted · just now64d

🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Will Scotland hold independence referendum by 2028?

18%

Yes 18%82% No

121 predicted · just now795d

🧊

Arctic shipping route commercially viable by 2030?

38%

Yes 38%62% No

117 predicted · just now1525d

💼

Largest tech layoff in 2026 (company)?

109 predicted · just now64d

Will EU fine another big tech company >$1B?

72%

Yes 72%28% No

108 predicted · just now64d

🦠

Will a pandemic-level outbreak occur in 2026?

Yes 8%92% No

62 predicted · just now64d