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Featured Predictions

All Markets (286)

🏦

Fed rate cut in March 2026?

2 predicted
No change93%
25 bps cut6%
50+ bps cut1%
🏆

2026 World Cup Winner

Closes Fri 31 Jul · 23:59
1 predicted
France22%
England16%
Brazil14%
Argentina13%
Spain12%
Germany10%
Other13%
🏆

2026 World Cup Winner

1 predicted
France22%
England16%
Brazil14%
Argentina13%
Spain12%
Germany10%
Other13%

Bitcoin above $100K by end of March?

34%
Yes 34%66% No
1 predicted

What price will Bitcoin hit in February?

1 predicted
↑ $85,0005%
↑ $80,00014%
↑ $75,00032%
↓ $65,00028%
↓ $60,00021%
⚖️

Can Trump avoid impeachment before June?

82%
Yes 82%18% No
2,287 predicted · just now
🇨🇳

Will Trump turn the Xi summit into a diplomatic car crash?

34%
Yes 34%66% No
2,104 predicted · just now
🇺🇸

Will Trump claim another "victory" over Iran this week?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
1,957 predicted · just now
🇮🇷

Will the Iran ceasefire collapse before Friday?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
1,903 predicted · 1d ago
🇬🇧

Can Starmer survive this week without a leadership coup?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
1,872 predicted · just now

Will Hormuz become the world's next military flashpoint this week?

29%
Yes 29%71% No
1,842 predicted · just now
🇬🇧

Is Andy Burnham preparing to make his move this week?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
1,574 predicted · just now
🏥

Will NHS waiting lists fall below 6 million by 2027?

24%
Yes 24%76% No
1,500 predicted · just now
🗺️

Will any US state secession movement gain ballot access?

6%
Yes 6%94% No
1,490 predicted · just now
🚨

Will the UK declare a formal climate emergency in law?

10%
Yes 10%90% No
1,474 predicted · just now
🏙️

Will a major UK city declare itself a 'sanctuary city'?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
1,465 predicted · just now
🏛️

Government shutdown on Saturday?

17%
Yes 17%83% No
1,437 predicted · 13w ago
🌹

Will Rayner make her leadership move before Sunday night?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
1,431 predicted · just now
⛏️

Will the UK approve a new coal mine in 2026?

14%
Yes 14%86% No
1,388 predicted · just now
🛡️

Will UK defence spending reach 2.5% of GDP by 2027?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
1,363 predicted · just now
💊

Is Wes Streeting's NHS reform plan working?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
1,355 predicted · just now
🎓

Will student loan forgiveness expand in 2026?

41%
Yes 41%59% No
1,345 predicted · just now
🔱

Will the AUKUS submarine deal stay on track?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
1,337 predicted · just now
🚤

Will small boat Channel crossings exceed 30,000 in 2026?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
1,331 predicted · just now
🏛️

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee?

1,326 predicted · just now
Gavin Newsom28%
Gretchen Whitmer22%
Pete Buttigieg15%
AOC12%
Other23%
🗳️

Is Starmer desperate enough to call a snap election?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
1,316 predicted · just now
✈️

Will Rwanda-style deportation flights resume under Labour?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
1,316 predicted · just now
🛂

Will UK net migration fall below 500,000 by end of 2026?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
1,298 predicted · just now
🎯

Will the UK meet its 2030 emissions reduction target?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
1,281 predicted · just now
🩺

Will junior doctors strike again in 2026?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
1,277 predicted · just now
🍎

Will free school meals be extended to all primary children?

25%
Yes 25%75% No
1,246 predicted · just now
🇺🇸

Will Trump's comments lead to a World Cup boycott by Friday?

34%
Yes 34%66% No
1,208 predicted · 8w ago
📊

Is immigration the #1 voter concern in 2026?

61%
Yes 61%39% No
1,205 predicted · just now
🧠

Will NHS mental health spending reach 10% of budget?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
1,204 predicted · just now
🌐

Next UN Secretary-General nationality?

1,201 predicted · just now
Asia-Pacific35%
Eastern Europe25%
Latin America20%
Africa15%
Other5%
🏛️

Will a major cabinet secretary resign by June?

31%
Yes 31%69% No
1,196 predicted · just now
📊

Should GCSEs be replaced with a different qualification?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
1,195 predicted · just now
👶

Will the school starting age be raised to 7?

8%
Yes 8%92% No
1,194 predicted · just now
📜

New executive order on AI regulation by March?

29%
Yes 29%71% No
1,189 predicted · 7w ago
🔄

Will a Reform UK MP defect to Labour this week?

9%
Yes 9%91% No
1,188 predicted · just now
🏳️

Will a nation-state adopt BTC as legal tender in 2026?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
1,177 predicted · just now
📵

Will the government ban smartphones in schools?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
1,174 predicted · just now
🪖

Will the UK Army shrink below 70,000 regulars?

64%
Yes 64%36% No
1,163 predicted · just now
👴

Will the pensions triple lock be maintained in 2026?

78%
Yes 78%22% No
1,158 predicted · just now
📉

Will the UK enter a technical recession in 2026?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
1,133 predicted · just now
🗣️

Will Nigel Farage force a parliamentary debate on immigration caps?

67%
Yes 67%33% No
1,121 predicted · just now
LIVE
📈

BTC 5 Minute Up or Down

51%
Yes 51%49% No
1,118 predicted · 12w ago
💧

Will any UK water company be nationalised in 2026?

32%
Yes 32%68% No
1,112 predicted · just now
🇺🇸

Trump approval rating above 45% in March?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
1,083 predicted · 7w ago
💲

Stablecoin market cap above $200B?

61%
Yes 61%39% No
1,082 predicted · just now
LIVE

ETH 1 Minute Up or Down

48%
Yes 48%52% No
1,039 predicted · 12w ago
✈️

Will Heathrow third runway be officially cancelled?

48%
Yes 48%52% No
1,036 predicted · just now
🇺🇸

Will Biden endorse a 2028 candidate before July?

44%
Yes 44%56% No
1,034 predicted · just now
📋

Will SEC approve more spot crypto ETFs in 2026?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
1,021 predicted · just now
🔓

Major CEX hack in 2026 (>$100M)?

32%
Yes 32%68% No
1,014 predicted · just now
📝

Will OFSTED be replaced or fundamentally reformed?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
1,013 predicted · just now
🎖️

Will National Service be reintroduced in any form?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
1,000 predicted · just now
🇬🇧

Will the Bank of England hike rates at the March 2026 meeting?

5%
Yes 5%95% No
992 predicted · 9w ago
🌍

Global recession in 2026?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
982 predicted · just now
🇬🇧

Who wins the next UK general election?

978 predicted · just now
Labour41%
Conservative32%
Reform UK18%
Lib Dems9%
🚑

Will A&E 4-hour wait target be met by any major trust?

31%
Yes 31%69% No
968 predicted · just now

Ethereum above $4,000 by April?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
968 predicted · 3w ago
📊

Best performing sector in 2026?

951 predicted · just now
Technology32%
Healthcare22%
Energy18%
Financials16%
Other12%
📉

VIX above 30 at any point in Q1?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
948 predicted · 7w ago
🇪🇺

ECB rate decision March 2026?

945 predicted · 9w ago
Hold45%
25 bps cut42%
50 bps cut13%
💰

Will Rachel Reeves raise council tax in the Autumn Budget?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
933 predicted · just now
💰

US national debt interest exceeds $1T?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
927 predicted · just now

Will GB Energy deliver cheaper energy bills by 2027?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
923 predicted · just now
🏦

Will non-dom tax status be fully abolished?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
919 predicted · just now
📊

US trade deficit wider in 2026 than 2025?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
919 predicted · just now
🦷

Will NHS dentistry be reformed by 2027?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
914 predicted · just now
🏢

Warren Buffett's next major acquisition?

895 predicted · just now
Tech company18%
Insurance28%
Energy24%
Consumer18%
Other12%
🌍

Will COP31 in Australia produce binding emission cuts?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
893 predicted · just now

Ethereum gas fees below 5 gwei average in March?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
889 predicted · 7w ago
🇪🇺

Will the ECB cut rates at the April 2026 meeting?

50%
Yes 50%50% No
887 predicted · 6w ago
💵

Dollar index (DXY) above 110 in 2026?

29%
Yes 29%71% No
884 predicted · just now
📈

S&P 500 above 6,000 by end of Q1?

44%
Yes 44%56% No
861 predicted · 7w ago
💱

Will the US dollar weaken against the euro?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
860 predicted · just now
📊

US 10-year Treasury yield end of Q1?

852 predicted · 7w ago
Above 4.5%42%
4.0–4.5%38%
Below 4.0%20%
🔶

Copper price above $5/lb?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
846 predicted · just now
☢️

Will the UK Trident nuclear deterrent face a test failure?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
844 predicted · just now
🗺️

Will the UK establish a new permanent military base abroad?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
844 predicted · just now
🚴

Tour de France 2026 Winner

Closes Fri 31 Jul · 23:59
836 predicted · just now
Tadej Pogačar42%
Jonas Vingegaard28%
Remco Evenepoel18%
Other12%
🌬️

Should the UK build more onshore wind farms?

74%
Yes 74%26% No
835 predicted · just now
🛢️

Oil price above $90/barrel by June?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
832 predicted · just now
🔗

Layer 2 with most TVL end of 2026?

824 predicted · just now
Arbitrum32%
Optimism24%
Base22%
Polygon zkEVM12%
Other10%
💸

US CPI inflation above 3% in March?

41%
Yes 41%59% No
824 predicted · 6w ago
💵

Federal minimum wage increase by 2027?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
813 predicted · just now
📉

US recession in 2026?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
812 predicted · just now
🏀

NBA Finals 2026 Winner

Closes Tue 30 Jun · 23:59
805 predicted · just now
Boston Celtics24%
Denver Nuggets18%
OKC Thunder16%
Milwaukee Bucks12%
Other30%
⚖️

Should the UK leave the ECHR to control immigration?

44%
Yes 44%56% No
802 predicted · just now
🇫🇷

Will the UK-France Channel agreement reduce crossings by 20%?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
797 predicted · just now
📊

US national debt hits $40T in 2026?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
792 predicted · just now
🎾

Wimbledon 2026 Men's Singles Winner

Closes Fri 31 Jul · 23:59
785 predicted · just now
Jannik Sinner30%
Carlos Alcaraz28%
Novak Djokovic18%
Daniil Medvedev10%
Other14%
🚀

Next crypto to hit $100B market cap?

785 predicted · just now
Solana35%
XRP28%
Cardano12%
Dogecoin15%
Other10%
📱

TikTok ban enforced by July 2026?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
780 predicted · just now
👩‍🏫

Will the teacher recruitment crisis worsen in 2026?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
779 predicted · just now

Will Shohei Ohtani win MVP in 2026?

Closes Mon 30 Nov · 23:59
34%
Yes 34%66% No
772 predicted · just now
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿

Will England reach the 2026 World Cup Final?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
768 predicted · just now
🖼️

NFT market monthly volume above $1B again?

25%
Yes 25%75% No
763 predicted · just now
🎓

Will university tuition fees rise above £9,250?

71%
Yes 71%29% No
762 predicted · just now
⚔️

BTC vs ETH: Which gains more in Q1?

761 predicted · 7w ago
Bitcoin
55%
VS
Ethereum
45%
LIVE
💹

S&P 500 Up or Down Today

53%
Yes 53%47% No
756 predicted · 12w ago
💀

Should inheritance tax be abolished?

48%
Yes 48%52% No
755 predicted · just now
🏠

US housing market crash (>15% drop) in 2026?

11%
Yes 11%89% No
755 predicted · just now
🏛️

Harris vs DeSantis 2028 matchup poll leader?

735 predicted · just now
🔵Kamala Harris
47%
VS
🔴Ron DeSantis
53%
💵

Will the National Living Wage reach £13/hour by April 2027?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
735 predicted · just now
🐕

DOGE above $1 in 2026?

8%
Yes 8%92% No
732 predicted · just now
LIVE
🇯🇵

Nikkei 225 Up or Down Today

48%
Yes 48%52% No
726 predicted · 12w ago
💨

Should the UK develop its own hypersonic weapons?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
715 predicted · just now
🟢

NVIDIA stock split in 2026?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
715 predicted · just now
🏀

NBA MVP 2025-26 Season

Closes Tue 30 Jun · 23:59
705 predicted · just now
Nikola Jokić31%
Luka Dončić24%
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander20%
Jayson Tatum12%
Other13%

World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Closes Fri 31 Jul · 23:59
696 predicted · just now
Kylian Mbappé22%
Erling Haaland18%
Lionel Messi12%
Vinícius Jr15%
Harry Kane11%
Other22%
🏢

Will MicroStrategy buy more BTC in Q1?

88%
Yes 88%12% No
695 predicted · 7w ago
🚗

Will petrol and diesel car sales be banned by 2030?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
693 predicted · just now

El Clásico next match winner?

Closes Sun 15 Mar · 23:59
674 predicted · 9w ago
Real Madrid
45%
VS
🔵Barcelona
38%
🏎️

Will there be a safety car in the Monaco Grand Prix?

Closes Sun 24 May · 23:59
78%
Yes 78%22% No
665 predicted · just now
🗳️

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee?

648 predicted · just now
Ron DeSantis31%
Vivek Ramaswamy22%
Nikki Haley18%
Tim Scott11%
Other18%
🗳️

Senate flips in 2026 midterms?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
643 predicted · just now
💉

Will the UK approve a universal flu-COVID combined vaccine?

40%
Yes 40%60% No
643 predicted · just now
🚀

Will the UK send long-range missiles to Ukraine in 2026?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
635 predicted · just now
📅

Should the NHS charge for missed appointments?

56%
Yes 56%44% No
633 predicted · just now
🏦

Will the Fed pivot to rate cuts by June?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
632 predicted · just now
🔥

Will UK household heat pump installations reach 600,000/year?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
626 predicted · just now
🇯🇵

Japan exits negative interest rate era permanently?

78%
Yes 78%22% No
626 predicted · just now
🤖

Will UK defence AI spending exceed £1 billion in 2026?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
613 predicted · just now

Solana vs Avalanche: Higher TVL in March?

612 predicted · 7w ago
🟣Solana
78%
VS
🔺Avalanche
22%
🏠

Will UK house prices fall in 2026?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
611 predicted · just now
🏏

Cricket World Cup 2027 Winner

Closes Tue 30 Nov · 23:59
593 predicted · just now
India32%
Australia24%
England16%
South Africa12%
Other16%
⚔️

Apple vs Microsoft: Higher stock return in 2026?

590 predicted · just now
🍎Apple
48%
VS
🟦Microsoft
52%
💎

Will XRP reach $5 in 2026?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
588 predicted · just now
💱

EUR/USD above 1.15 by end of 2026?

33%
Yes 33%67% No
585 predicted · just now
📈

Dow Jones above 45,000 in 2026?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
584 predicted · just now
🍎

Apple AR glasses announced in 2026?

31%
Yes 31%69% No
575 predicted · just now
🇪🇺

Will the ECB hike rates at the April 2026 meeting?

5%
Yes 5%95% No
557 predicted · 6w ago
🇬🇧

UK inflation below 2% target by mid-2026?

41%
Yes 41%59% No
556 predicted · just now
🛒

US consumer confidence index above 110?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
555 predicted · just now
🏢

Biggest IPO of 2026?

551 predicted · just now
Stripe28%
SpaceX22%
Databricks18%
Klarna15%
Other17%
📱

iPhone 18 sales exceed iPhone 17 launch week?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
547 predicted · just now
🥊

UFC 310 Main Event Winner

Closes Sun 8 Mar · 23:59
543 predicted · 10w ago
🇺🇸Jon Jones
62%
VS
🇬🇧Tom Aspinall
38%
🇬🇧

Will the Bank of England hold rates at the March 2026 meeting?

65%
Yes 65%35% No
539 predicted · 9w ago
📱

Will a major social media platform shut down in 2026?

14%
Yes 14%86% No
535 predicted · just now
📊

Russell 2000 outperforms S&P 500 in 2026?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
532 predicted · just now
📋

Will the UK introduce a points-based asylum system?

19%
Yes 19%81% No
529 predicted · just now
🐦

Will X/Twitter lose majority market share to Bluesky?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
528 predicted · just now
🪙

Silver above $35/oz by June?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
526 predicted · just now
🏎️

Verstappen vs Norris: More race wins by mid-season?

Closes Fri 31 Jul · 23:59
521 predicted · just now
🇳🇱Max Verstappen
55%
VS
🇬🇧Lando Norris
45%
🏪

Will any major UK retailer go into administration in 2026?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
514 predicted · just now
🏈

Super Bowl LXI Winner

Closes Sun 28 Feb · 23:59
506 predicted · just now
🔴Kansas City Chiefs
54%
VS
🟢Philadelphia Eagles
46%
🚄

Will HS2 Phase 2 (to Manchester) be revived?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
500 predicted · just now
⚖️

Impeachment proceedings in 2026?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
494 predicted · just now
🏛️

US government shutdown before April?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
493 predicted · 7w ago
🚗

Tesla stock above $400 by June?

32%
Yes 32%68% No
492 predicted · just now
🥊

Tyson Fury vs Oleksandr Usyk III

Closes Thu 30 Apr · 23:59
491 predicted · 3w ago
🇬🇧Tyson Fury
42%
VS
🇺🇦Oleksandr Usyk
58%
🏆

FIFA Club World Cup 2025 Winner

Closes Thu 31 Jul · 23:59
489 predicted · 42w ago
Real Madrid28%
Man City22%
Bayern Munich16%
Flamengo10%
Other24%
📈

Will UK inflation stay below 3% throughout 2026?

52%
Yes 52%48% No
487 predicted · just now

Will Messi play in 2026 World Cup?

65%
Yes 65%35% No
479 predicted · just now
🏎️

F1 2026 Championship Winner

Closes Thu 31 Dec · 23:59
478 predicted · just now
Max Verstappen35%
Lewis Hamilton22%
Lando Norris18%
Charles Leclerc15%
Other10%
⚖️

Will the government legalise assisted dying in 2026?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
469 predicted · just now
🏈

NFL Draft #1 Overall Pick Position?

Closes Thu 30 Apr · 23:59
465 predicted · 3w ago
Quarterback62%
Defensive End18%
Wide Receiver12%
Other8%
🌿

Cannabis rescheduled federally by end of 2026?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
454 predicted · just now

Champions League Winner 2025/26

Closes Sun 31 May · 23:59
427 predicted · just now
Real Madrid24%
Man City19%
Arsenal15%
Bayern Munich14%
Barcelona12%
Other16%
🎓

Will graduate visa route be scrapped or shortened?

52%
Yes 52%48% No
417 predicted · just now
🛢️

Will OPEC+ extend production cuts?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
417 predicted · just now
📊

NASDAQ 100 new all-time high in Q1?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
416 predicted · 7w ago
🍔

Will the UK ban junk food advertising before 9pm?

48%
Yes 48%52% No
402 predicted · just now
🔍

Google vs OpenAI: More AI product launches in Q1?

387 predicted · 7w ago
🔵Google
52%
VS
🟢OpenAI
48%

Premier League Top Scorer 2025/26

Closes Sun 31 May · 23:59
385 predicted · just now
Erling Haaland35%
Mohamed Salah22%
Alexander Isak16%
Ollie Watkins11%
Other16%

Bitcoin dominance above 55% end of Q1?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
383 predicted · 7w ago

Bitcoin Price Milestones 2026

382 predicted · just now

MLB World Series 2026 Winner

Closes Sat 31 Oct · 23:59
380 predicted · just now
LA Dodgers22%
NY Yankees16%
Atlanta Braves12%
Houston Astros11%
Other39%
🥊

Will Drake and Kendrick squash their beef in 2026?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
373 predicted · 5w ago
⚖️

Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
370 predicted · just now
🎪

Glastonbury 2026: who headlines the Pyramid Stage Saturday?

370 predicted · 6w ago
Billie Eilish28%
SZA24%
Charli XCX22%
Other26%
🏛️

Will UK universities face a financial crisis in 2026?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
368 predicted · just now
🍅

Will Thunderbolts* score above 80% on Rotten Tomatoes?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
365 predicted · 7w ago
🎭

Will a musical win Best New Musical at the Tonys 2026?

82%
Yes 82%18% No
356 predicted · 5w ago
🥇

Gold hits $3,000/oz in 2026?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
355 predicted · just now
🏴

Will NATO trigger Article 5 in 2026?

6%
Yes 6%94% No
349 predicted · just now

World Cup 2026 Golden Boot Winner

349 predicted · just now
Kylian Mbappé22%
Erling Haaland18%
Vinícius Jr15%
Harry Kane11%
Other34%
🏠

Will US housing prices drop in 2026?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
347 predicted · just now
🏛️

Trump Leaving the US for China?

343 predicted · just now
👽

Lilo & Stitch live-action: will it outgross Moana 2?

28%
Yes 28%72% No
342 predicted · 5w ago
🚀

SpaceX Starship orbital success by Q2 2026?

78%
Yes 78%22% No
336 predicted · just now
🧛

Will Sinners be the highest-rated horror film of 2026?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
335 predicted · 5w ago
🏢

Will Elon Musk step down from any CEO role?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
334 predicted · just now
🏫

Will VAT on private school fees reduce private enrollment by 10%?

34%
Yes 34%66% No
330 predicted · just now
🏦

Major bank failure in 2026?

8%
Yes 8%92% No
318 predicted · just now
🇪🇺

Will the ECB hold rates at the April 2026 meeting?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
316 predicted · 6w ago
🏴

New state admitted to US by 2030?

8%
Yes 8%92% No
314 predicted · just now
🇺🇸

Will the Federal Reserve hold rates at the March 2026 meeting?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
313 predicted · 9w ago
🥽

Apple Vision Pro 2 in 2026?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
311 predicted · just now
🏎️

Will Hamilton win a race for Ferrari in 2026?

Closes Thu 31 Dec · 23:59
62%
Yes 62%38% No
308 predicted · just now
⚛️

First commercial quantum computer by 2027?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
308 predicted · just now
🇬🇧

Will a debut album go #1 in the UK in March 2026?

65%
Yes 65%35% No
308 predicted · 7w ago
🚕

Will autonomous ride-hailing expand to 10+ US cities?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
304 predicted · just now
🎯

Will Xbox announce an exclusive game going multiplatform in spring 2026?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
304 predicted · 5w ago
📋

Will the filibuster be reformed in 2026?

9%
Yes 9%91% No
300 predicted · just now
🤖

Will AI tutoring tools be officially adopted in UK state schools?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
300 predicted · just now
📊

Most streamed song on Spotify in March 2026?

300 predicted · 7w ago
The Weeknd track26%
Sabrina Carpenter track24%
Bruno Mars track22%
Other28%
🏠

Global refugee crisis exceeds 120M displaced?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
299 predicted · just now

2026 World Cup Group Stage

Closes Wed 15 Jul · 23:59
296 predicted · just now
📈

Top performing crypto asset in Q1 2026?

295 predicted · 7w ago
Bitcoin28%
Solana24%
XRP18%
Ethereum15%
Other15%
⛏️

Opening weekend for A Minecraft Movie?

287 predicted · 7w ago
$100M+25%
$70-100M35%
$40-70M28%
Under $40M12%
🇺🇸

Will the Federal Reserve cut rates at the March 2026 meeting?

25%
Yes 25%75% No
284 predicted · 9w ago

Will Disney+ cancel or renew Andor for a third season?

281 predicted · 6w ago
Renewed25%
Cancelled (as planned)55%
Spun off into film20%
🎭

BBC drama of the year so far: what takes the crown by April?

273 predicted · 5w ago
The Jetty S228%
Wolf Hall finale26%
A new drama24%
Other22%
🌱

UN Climate Summit breakthrough agreement?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
272 predicted · just now
🎬

AI-generated movie nominated for Oscar?

8%
Yes 8%92% No
269 predicted · just now
🏀

Will LeBron retire after this season?

Closes Tue 30 Jun · 23:59
28%
Yes 28%72% No
260 predicted · just now
📊

Will any March 2026 game score 90+ on Metacritic?

48%
Yes 48%52% No
253 predicted · 7w ago
💻

Which company reaches $5T market cap first?

248 predicted · just now
Apple38%
NVIDIA32%
Microsoft22%
Other8%
🧠

Will GPT-5 be released by June 2026?

62%
Yes 62%38% No
241 predicted · just now
⚔️

Military coup in a G20 nation by 2027?

5%
Yes 5%95% No
239 predicted · just now
☢️

Iran nuclear deal revived in 2026?

11%
Yes 11%89% No
238 predicted · just now
🏎️

F1 2026 Constructor Championship Winner

Closes Thu 31 Dec · 23:59
237 predicted · just now
Red Bull28%
McLaren26%
Ferrari22%
Mercedes18%
Other6%
🎤

BET Awards 2026: Best New Artist?

236 predicted · 5w ago
Sexyy Red28%
Tyla26%
Lay Bankz20%
Other26%
🎸

Will Oasis actually complete their reunion tour?

58%
Yes 58%42% No
236 predicted · 6w ago
🇹🇷

Turkey joins EU accession negotiations again?

5%
Yes 5%95% No
235 predicted · just now
🌍

African Union permanent UN Security Council seat?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
232 predicted · just now
🤝

South Korea-Japan relations improve significantly?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
232 predicted · just now
🇻🇪

Venezuela regime change in 2026?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
231 predicted · just now
🇨🇳

China GDP growth above 5% in 2026?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
231 predicted · just now
📺

Biggest new Netflix show of spring 2026?

230 predicted · 5w ago
Devil in the White City28%
The Electric State26%
Stranger Things spinoff24%
Other22%
🇬🇧

Will the Bank of England cut rates at the March 2026 meeting?

30%
Yes 30%70% No
226 predicted · 9w ago
📊

US unemployment above 4.5% by June?

24%
Yes 24%76% No
223 predicted · just now
🛒

Best-selling game of March 2026 worldwide?

222 predicted · 7w ago
Assassin's Creed Shadows28%
Split Fiction24%
Monster Hunter Wilds24%
Other24%
🤖

Most valuable AI startup end of 2026?

219 predicted · just now
OpenAI42%
Anthropic28%
xAI15%
Mistral8%
Other7%
💿

Biggest album drop of March 2026?

217 predicted · 7w ago
The Weeknd32%
Doja Cat24%
Post Malone20%
Other24%
🖥️

Will a game break the Steam concurrent player record in March?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
216 predicted · 7w ago
🌹

Chappell Roan: will her next single hit top 5 globally?

60%
Yes 60%40% No
213 predicted · 6w ago
🇺🇸

Will the Federal Reserve hike rates at the March 2026 meeting?

3%
Yes 3%97% No
212 predicted · 9w ago
🕊️

Israeli-Palestinian peace talks by end of 2026?

9%
Yes 9%91% No
210 predicted · just now
🧠

Neuralink human trials expand beyond 10 patients?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
208 predicted · just now
📈

US GDP growth above 2.5% in Q1 2026?

52%
Yes 52%48% No
208 predicted · 3w ago
📊

Bitcoin ETF inflows exceed $50B cumulative?

67%
Yes 67%33% No
206 predicted · just now
🌏

Taiwan Strait military escalation in 2026?

12%
Yes 12%88% No
204 predicted · just now
🇮🇳

Will India surpass China in population growth rate?

82%
Yes 82%18% No
204 predicted · just now
🛢️

Oil price above $100 per barrel in 2026?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
201 predicted · just now
🏒

NHL Stanley Cup 2026 Winner

Closes Tue 30 Jun · 23:59
200 predicted · just now
Florida Panthers18%
Edmonton Oilers16%
Dallas Stars14%
Colorado Avalanche12%
Other40%
📺

Will any 2026 awards show hit 20M+ US viewers?

34%
Yes 34%66% No
200 predicted · 6w ago
🌍

Will BRICS admit new members in 2026?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
197 predicted · just now

Will Messi play in 2026 World Cup?

Closes Tue 30 Jun · 23:59
65%
Yes 65%35% No
194 predicted · just now
🇪🇺

New EU member state admitted by 2028?

21%
Yes 21%79% No
194 predicted · just now
📡

Channel 4 reality show ratings: will any beat Gogglebox?

22%
Yes 22%78% No
192 predicted · 5w ago
⚔️

NVIDIA vs AMD: Better stock performance Q1?

187 predicted · 7w ago
🟢NVIDIA
58%
VS
🔴AMD
42%
🚀

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 7

181 predicted · just now
🏨

Will The White Lotus S3 be the most-watched HBO show in Q1 2026?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
179 predicted · 7w ago
🧡

Kids' Choice Awards 2026: Favourite Movie?

168 predicted · 7w ago
Moana 235%
Sonic the Hedgehog 425%
Inside Out 322%
Other18%
🏳️‍🌈

Next country to legalize same-sex marriage?

166 predicted · just now
Japan32%
Thailand28%
Czech Republic22%
Other18%
🤖

OpenAI IPO in 2026?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
165 predicted · just now
🕹️

Nintendo Switch 2: confirmed before April 2026?

78%
Yes 78%22% No
165 predicted · 7w ago
🚗

Tesla FSD Level 4 approval in 2026?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
164 predicted · just now
🕵️

Mission: Impossible — The Final Reckoning opening weekend?

160 predicted · 5w ago
$90M+28%
$65-90M40%
$40-65M25%
Under $40M7%
💻

Major cyberattack on critical infrastructure in 2026?

45%
Yes 45%55% No
158 predicted · just now
💰

Will any March 2026 release cross $1B worldwide?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
153 predicted · 7w ago

Will Thunderbolts* hit $500M worldwide opening month?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
152 predicted · 7w ago
🇬🇧

UK Singles Chart #1 this Friday?

151 predicted · 10w ago
Sabrina Carpenter30%
The Weeknd26%
Chappell Roan22%
Other22%
🏅

Will any March 2026 release hit 100% Certified Fresh?

15%
Yes 15%85% No
150 predicted · 7w ago
🎨

Biggest animated film of spring 2026?

146 predicted · 5w ago
Dog Man30%
Elio (Pixar)28%
Animal Friends22%
Other20%
🎧

Spotify Global Top 50: most weeks at #1 in Q1 2026?

141 predicted · 7w ago
The Weeknd28%
Bruno Mars & ROSÉ24%
Sabrina Carpenter22%
Other26%
🗡️

The Traitors S4: will Claudia Winkleman return as host?

85%
Yes 85%15% No
139 predicted · 8w ago
🏆

Will The Brutalist sweep the BAFTAs 2026?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
133 predicted · 9w ago
🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿

Will Scotland hold independence referendum by 2028?

18%
Yes 18%82% No
121 predicted · just now
🎤

Will Kendrick Lamar headline Coachella 2026?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
119 predicted · 9w ago
🎬

Cannes 2026 Palme d'Or: Will it go to a non-English film?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
118 predicted · 6w ago
🧊

Arctic shipping route commercially viable by 2030?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
117 predicted · just now
🎮

GTA 6: will Rockstar drop a new trailer in March 2026?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
115 predicted · 7w ago
🏆

Will any song spend 15+ weeks at #1 on Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

35%
Yes 35%65% No
113 predicted · 5w ago
🍎

Snow White live-action RT score: Fresh or Rotten?

40%
Yes 40%60% No
112 predicted · 8w ago
💼

Largest tech layoff in 2026 (company)?

109 predicted · just now
Meta22%
Google18%
Microsoft16%
Amazon24%
Other20%
🇪🇺

Will EU fine another big tech company >$1B?

72%
Yes 72%28% No
108 predicted · just now
🏆

Biggest esports tournament prize pool in spring 2026?

102 predicted · 5w ago
Valorant Champions30%
Dota 2 Major28%
League of Legends MSI24%
Other18%
🍎

Snow White live-action: box office flop or surprise hit?

99 predicted · 8w ago
Hit ($400M+)30%
Mid ($200-400M)38%
Flop (under $200M)32%

BAFTA Rising Star 2026 winner?

92 predicted · 9w ago
Mikey Madison32%
Nabhaan Rizwan28%
Mia McKenna-Bruce22%
Other18%
🐉

Monster Hunter Wilds: will it outsell Monster Hunter World?

55%
Yes 55%45% No
86 predicted · 6w ago
🇰🇷

Will a K-pop act hit #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 in March?

42%
Yes 42%58% No
85 predicted · 7w ago
🤮

Worst RT score for a major release in spring 2026?

79 predicted · 5w ago
Under 15%20%
15-30%35%
30-45%30%
Above 45%15%
📀

Biggest debut-week album sales in March 2026 (US)?

66 predicted · 7w ago
300K+ units20%
200-300K units35%
100-200K units32%
Under 100K units13%
🕊️

Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 2026?

14%
Yes 14%86% No
65 predicted · just now
🦠

Will a pandemic-level outbreak occur in 2026?

8%
Yes 8%92% No
62 predicted · just now
💋

MTV Movie Awards 2026 Best Kiss winner?

55 predicted · 6w ago
Challengers 2 leads30%
Wicked Part Two25%
A Complete Unknown20%
Other25%
🚀

North Korea missile test in Q1 2026?

65%
Yes 65%35% No
53 predicted · 7w ago
📊

Biggest critic vs audience score gap for a March 2026 release?

52 predicted · 6w ago
30%+ gap25%
20-30% gap35%
10-20% gap28%
Under 10% gap12%
🏝️

Will Love Island 2026 hit 5M viewers for the launch episode?

38%
Yes 38%62% No
51 predicted · 6w ago
🧠

Will Severance S2 finale break Apple TV+ viewing records?

68%
Yes 68%32% No
51 predicted · 9w ago