🛡️
Will UK defence spending reach 2.5% of GDP by 2027?
Politics · defence
55%
Yes 55%45% No
1,363 predicted · just now428d
All markets
Politics — Defence
Military spending, NATO, and UK security predictions
9 active markets
🎯 All Defence Markets (9)
🔱
Will the AUKUS submarine deal stay on track?
Politics · defence
58%
Yes 58%42% No
1,337 predicted · just now63d
🪖
Will the UK Army shrink below 70,000 regulars?
Politics · defence
64%
Yes 64%36% No
1,163 predicted · just now63d
🎖️
Will National Service be reintroduced in any form?
Politics · defence
15%
Yes 15%85% No
1,000 predicted · just now63d
☢️
Will the UK Trident nuclear deterrent face a test failure?
Politics · defence
22%
Yes 22%78% No
844 predicted · just now63d
🗺️
Will the UK establish a new permanent military base abroad?
Politics · defence
28%
Yes 28%72% No
844 predicted · just now63d
🚀
Will the UK send long-range missiles to Ukraine in 2026?
Politics · defence
62%
Yes 62%38% No
635 predicted · just now63d
🤖
Will UK defence AI spending exceed £1 billion in 2026?
Politics · defence
45%
Yes 45%55% No
613 predicted · just now63d
🏴
Will NATO trigger Article 5 in 2026?
Politics · defence
6%
Yes 6%94% No
349 predicted · just now63d