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Will NATO trigger Article 5 in 2026?
Closes in 9mo
YES 6%94% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥148.0K
Military spending, NATO, and UK security predictions
10 active markets
🎯 All Defence Markets (10)
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Will National Service be reintroduced in any form?
Closes in 9mo
YES 15%85% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥102.0K
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Will the UK send long-range missiles to Ukraine in 2026?
Closes in 9mo
YES 62%38% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥88.0K
🛡️
Will UK defence spending reach 2.5% of GDP by 2027?
Closes in 1y 10mo
YES 55%45% NO
⏱Closes in 1y 10mo👥74.0K
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Will the UK Army shrink below 70,000 regulars?
Closes in 9mo
YES 64%36% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥52.0K
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Will the AUKUS submarine deal stay on track?
Closes in 9mo
YES 58%42% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥44.0K
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Should the UK develop its own hypersonic weapons?
Closes in 6mo
YES 68%32% NO
⏱Closes in 6mo👥38.0K
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Will the UK Trident nuclear deterrent face a test failure?
Closes in 9mo
YES 22%78% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥34.0K
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Will UK defence AI spending exceed £1 billion in 2026?
Closes in 9mo
YES 45%55% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥30.0K
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Will the UK establish a new permanent military base abroad?
Closes in 9mo
YES 28%72% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥26.0K