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Will UK net migration fall below 500,000 by end of 2026?
Closes in 9mo
YES 28%72% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥142.0K
Migration policy, border control, and asylum predictions
10 active markets
🎯 All Immigration Markets (10)
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Will small boat Channel crossings exceed 30,000 in 2026?
Closes in 9mo
YES 58%42% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥124.0K
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Should the UK leave the ECHR to control immigration?
Closes in 6mo
YES 44%56% NO
⏱Closes in 6mo👥98.0K
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Is immigration the #1 voter concern in 2026?
Closes in 9mo
YES 61%39% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥88.0K
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Will Rwanda-style deportation flights resume under Labour?
Closes in 9mo
YES 12%88% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥76.0K
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Will graduate visa route be scrapped or shortened?
Closes in 6mo
YES 52%48% NO
⏱Closes in 6mo👥56.0K
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Will the UK-France Channel agreement reduce crossings by 20%?
Closes in 9mo
YES 22%78% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥48.0K
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Will Nigel Farage force a parliamentary debate on immigration caps?
Closes in 3mo
YES 67%33% NO
⏱Closes in 3mo👥42.0K
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Will the UK introduce a points-based asylum system?
Closes in 9mo
YES 19%81% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥34.0K
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Will a major UK city declare itself a 'sanctuary city'?
Closes in 9mo
YES 15%85% NO
⏱Closes in 9mo👥18.0K